Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by 103 FM on March 8 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [03] New Hope (Saar)
09 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.6% [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
1.2% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Project Haidgam conducted a poll of 712 people with a 3.6% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on March 9 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
06 [09] Shas (Deri)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.7% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Midgam conducted a poll of 509 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on March 10 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [03] New Hope (Saar)
09 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
3.1% [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
2.1% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Kantar conducted a poll of 550 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on March 11 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.8% [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
1.6% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Panels conducted a poll of 573 people with a 4.2% margin of error that was published by Maariv on March 11 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
27 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
05 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.1% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 579 people with a 4.2% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on March 11 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [03] New Hope (Saar)
09 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
05 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.7% [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
2.2% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Project Hamidgam conducted a poll of 707 people with a 3.6% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on March 14 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [03] New Hope (Saar)
08 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)
06 [09] Shas (Deri)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
06 [02] Religious Zionist + Otzma + Noam (Smotrich)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)
04 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.1% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
So – why the huge gap in posting, Jeremy?
Welcome back
Welcome back. Looking at these polls, the forecast looks like more deadlock. It’s crazy to me that the right-of-center/religious can be so dominant (70 seats+) yet still probably isn’t going to be able to form a government. The combination of the Religious Zionist party looks like a wise move. Usually these small right wing factions throw away several seats.
It seems like Likud+Yamina+Shas+UTJ+Religious Zionist comes pretty close but just short of a government. Do you know if any of the factions who should be ideological partners with Netanyahu intend to come off their “Get Rid of the PM at all Costs” platform or if the PM will be able to peel a few defectors away from other parties? None of this is funny but there is an absurdist element of Israel Beitenu, Meretz, New Hope and the Arab parties being unified by a common hatred.
It seems like the days of classic Israeli right-left struggle are over. These days it just bibi vs no bibi and anti-religious vs status quo. As you write, sean, its pretty pathetic how different factions will join together for such a stupid cause…
And then there’s Ra’am. I note that Netanyahu and Abbas seem to be getting closer. IF Ra’am passes the threshold, would they support a Likud-led govt “from the outside?” If so, would the coalition stay together?