Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Channel 12 on Jan 31 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.9% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
2.1% [03] Religious Zionist + Bayit Yehudi (Smotrich)
1.2% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
1.2% [00] Otzma + Noam (Ben Gvir)
Under 1%
0.8% [00] Green Leaf
0.3% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.2% [03] Telem (Yaalon)
0.2% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.1% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)
Scenario A: Labor + Huldai
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [03] Labor + The Israelis (Michaeli)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
Scenario B: Raam leaves Joint List
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [11] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [03] Labor (Michaeli)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.8% [04] Raam (Abbas)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
“The Religious Zionists” Are A Large Segment Of Israeli Society, And Of World Jewry As Well; But Like All Jews In Israel And Worldwide, They Are A Diverse Group. The Majority Of Whom Vote For Non-Religious Zionist Parties, Across The Spectrum Of Israeli Politics.
In My Humble Opinion, I Believe The Religious Zionists Should Rise above Partisan Politics. “Religious Zionism” Nowadays Is Neither A Political Nor A Religion-wise Airtight Label. That Is -In Part- Why I Am Against Forming A United “Religious Zionist” List For This Election Cycle.
I Have Another Reason To Feel This Way: “Right Now, It Doesn’t Look That Will Cut The Mustard- Cross The Threshold.
I Know I Advocated A Similar List In The Last Elections, But In Hindsight, I Believe Likud Pollsters Were Right To Recommend Against It, Because They Felt It Won’t Cross.
The Current Religious Zionist Parties -All Of Them Together Or separately, I Believe- Should Run With Other Lists, Regardless Of What Happened Between Bennett And Smotrich Earlier.
I Don’t Know, My Be Bennett Can Be Talked Into Bringing Otzmah On Board Also, Under a certain Agreement. All Four Current Religious Zionist Parties Garner <2% Combined In Our Survey. "New Right" "UTJ" "Likud" Even "Shas", And Others Are Eviscerating The Religious Zionists Parties.
I Am Not Worried For The Coalition, Because Our Survey Shows 62 Seats For It Even Without The religious Zionists.
Believe Me, I Understand The Headwinds And Difficulties My Suggestions Will Face.
The 1.8% For Ra’am This Poll Shows Is Generous Compared To What Our Survey Shows. May Be Mansour Will Settle Down And Run With The Joint List And Altogether Garner 11 Seats. It Would Be Better For Him, And Better For Israel And The Region. The Larger The Size Of The Joint List, The Better It Is For The Prime Minister Since Ra’am Alone Can’t cross The Threshold. Likud Can Add Two Seats Worth Of Arab Votes That Way.
Thank You So Much Jeremy, For Providing This Invaluable Platform-Forum.
Thank You So Much Jeremy For Providing This Invaluable Platform-Forum.
you could say that again…
Remember first election everyone said Bayit Yehudi wouldn’t pass the threshold either and it ended up with 5 seats. New Right Zero