Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4% margin of error that was published by the Jerusalem Post on Jan 8 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
18 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.5% [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
1.9% [00] New Economic (Zelekha)
1.4% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
1.0% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)

Under 1%

0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Scenario Poll A: Bennett & Smotrich Split

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [02] Smotrich Party
04 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)

Scenario Poll B: Bennett & Saar merge + Huldai & Lapid Merge

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
29 [08] New Hope (Saar+Bennett)
22 [19] Yesh Atid – The Israelis (Lapid+Huldai)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)