Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 711 people with a 4% margin of error that was conducted and broadcast on July 25 2019 by Channel 13.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
23 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
12 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
10 [00] HaYamin HeHadash (Shaked)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
06 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
05 [08] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
Phase 2 Recommendations:
57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)
Scenario Poll: United Right List
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
28 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
23 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
14 [05] United Right List (Shaked, Peretz & Smotrich)
12 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
06 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
05 [08] Shas (Deri)
04 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
Phase 2 Recommendations:
57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)
Additional Questions:
Who is most suited for Prime Minister?
40% Netanyahu, 33% Gantz, 17% Neither, 10% Don’t know
Who is more suited to lead the United Right List?
45% Shaked, 23% Neither, 20% Don’t know, 11% Peretz
Note: Among those who had an opinion 77% Shaked, 23% Peretz.
Have to wonder if the Likud and Blue & White will try in earnest to find a way out of new elections rather than sit around and lose 23 seats combined (if this poll is on the mark). This overall downward trend has to be worrying alot of people on each list.
Some of these polls are so unreal and lack credibility. To suggest that the Charedim will only receive 11 seats is ridiculous. How can we take them seriously.
Hard to call it a “unity government” if it’s based on preemptively excluding entire communities. If Likud gets 28 and BW 23 that’s only 51 together. 10 for Evet is a narrow coalition of 61, not a unity government.
And if BW continue leaking to Dems + Likud to Shaked, such a coalition becomes impossible.