Midgam conducted a poll of 517 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on March 24 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
2.6% [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
Under 1%
0.5% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
0.5% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
0.0% [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan) and others
59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Additional Questions:
Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?
39% Netanyahu, 34% Gantz, 18% Neither, 9% Don’t know
What are Netanyahu’s interests in the submarine affair?
42% Personal, 31% Don’t know, 27% Professional
Was it ok for Prime Minister Netanyahu not to involve the Defense Minister & IDF COS on selling submarines to Egypt?
50% No, 28% Don’t know, 22% Yes
Has Netanyahu convinced you that he is suited to be Prime Minister after the election?
46% No, 28% Don’t know, 26% Yes
Channel 12’s legislative polls are consistently in favor of the Left and consistently oppose the results of most other polls. Is there any validity?
This shows that the vote threshold could be more of a decisive factor than the actual vote result.