Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls
Current update: Monday March 17th 2019.
Place | Party | Leader | Seats | KnessetJeremy AVG | Change | Week 11 AVG | Current |
1st | Blue & White | Gantz | 32 | 31.8 | -1.8 | 33.6 | 11 |
2nd | Likud | Netanyahu | 29 | 28.5 | -0.5 | 29 | 29 |
3rd | Labor | Gabbai | 9 | 8.5 | 0.1 | 8.4 | 18 |
4th | Hadash-Taal | Odeh | 7 | 7.2 | -1.1 | 8.3 | 6 |
5th | United Right List | Peretz | 7 | 7 | 0.4 | 6.6 | 5 |
6th | United Torah Judaism | Litzman | 7 | 6.8 | -0.2 | 7 | 6 |
7th | Meretz | Zandberg | 6 | 6 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 5 |
8th | HaYamin HeHadash | Bennett | 6 | 5.8 | -0.2 | 6 | 3 |
9th | Shas | Deri | 5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 5 | 7 |
10th | Zehut | Feiglin | 4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0 |
11th | Kulanu | Kahlon | 4 | 3.2 | -1.4 | 4.6 | 10 |
12th | Yisrael Beitenu | Liberman | 4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 |
13th | Raam-Balad | Abbas | 0 | 2.2 | -0.1 | 2.3 | 7 |
14th | Other | 30 Others | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0.6 | 8 |
Right-Religious Bloc | 66 | 64.2 | 3.2 | 61 | 66 | ||
Center-Left-Arab Bloc | 54 | 55.8 | -3.2 | 59 | 54 |
Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.
Note #2: This average is based on the last 4 polls that were released from March 11 to March 15 (Maagar Mochot, Midgam, Panel Project HaMidgam & Direct Polls).
Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/
Note #4: Voter exchange agreements have been signed between Labor & Meretz, HaYamin HeHadash & Yisrael Beitenu, Likud & United Right List, Shas & UTJ. The deadline for submitting voter exchange agreements is March 29.
Note #5: Yisrael Beitenu & Kulanu both passed the electoral threshold in 3 of 4 polls this week. Raam Balad passed in 2 of the 4 polls this week. Zehut, for the first time, passed in all of the polls conducted this week. Gesher did not pass in any poll this week.
Note #6: The right-religious bloc of Likud-UTJ-URL-HaYamin HeHadash-Kulanu-Yisrael Beitenu (including Zehut when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 66 and a low of 63. The center-left-Arab bloc of Blue & White-Labor-Hadash-Taal-Meretz (including Raam-Balad when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 57 and a low of 54.
Note #6: 47 parties registered to participate in the April 9 Election. 4 parties have withdrawn to date.
Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)
Did you intentionally leave Shas out of your bloc descriptions?