Yisrael HaYom Poll: Likud 29, Israel Resilience 17, Yesh Atid 11, Joint List 9, UTJ 7

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 1 Comment

February 9, 2019

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 706 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Yisrael HaYom & I24 News that was published on Feb 8 2019. The poll was conducted Feb 6-7 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
14 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
11 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

57 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
63 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Distribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Under the 3.25% electoral threshold:

03 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
03 [01] Taal (Tibi)
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
02 [03] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz)
02 [02] Tekuma (Smotrich)
02 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
02 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
01 [06] Livni Party
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

47+17=64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
51+05=56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Note: I will update the results later to reflect the seat chart without the parties that didn’t cross the threshold.

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid + AshkenaziDistribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

42 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
35 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
11 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Distribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

Under the 3.25% electoral threshold:

03 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
03 [03] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz)
03 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [01] Taal (Tibi)
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
03 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
01 [06] Livni Party
01 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
01 [02] Tekuma (Smotrich)
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

50+11=61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
49+10=59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid + Ashkenazi, Labor + Meretz and Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
34 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
12 [23] Labor (Gabbai) + Meretz (Zandberg)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
60 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Distribution of seats without electoral threshold:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
30 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
10 [23] Labor (Gabbai) + Meretz (Zandberg)
08 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Under the 3.25% electoral threshold:

03 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
03 [01] Taal (Tibi)
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
02 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
02 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
02 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.
00 [06] Livni Party

52+12=64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
52+04=56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Where do you place Israel Resilience on the political map?

55% Center, 28% Left, 17% Right

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 23% Other answers, 22% Gantz, 10% Lapid, 5% Bennett, 2% Gabbai, 2% Liberman

Who should lead the center-left bloc?

37% No one, 32% Gantz, 15% Lapid, 7% Livni, 5% Barak, 4% Zandberg

Comments RSS feed

1 Trackback or Pingback for this entry:

Maagar Mochot/103 FM Poll: Edelstein should lead Likud in Post-Netanyahu world | Jeremy's Knesset Insider

[…] Note: The seat results are identical to the seat distribution Maagar Mochot produced for Yisrael HaYom on the same day. I have updated that poll to reflect the numbers without the parties that didn’t cross the threshold. https://knessetjeremy.com/2019/02/09/yisrael-hayom-poll-likud-29-israel-resilience-17-yesh-atid-11-j… […]

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Enter your comment here...

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

Email (required) (Address never made public)

Name (required)

Website

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. ( Log Out / Change )

You are commenting using your Twitter account. ( Log Out / Change )

You are commenting using your Facebook account. ( Log Out / Change )

Cancel

Connecting to %s

Follow Blog via Email

Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Email Address:
Follow Jeremy's Knesset Insider on WordPress.com
Recent Posts
Blogroll
Categories
- Knesset
Pages
Meta
https://knessetjeremy.com/feed/
- Election Scorecard November 12, 2022
  In the table below I measure the gap between the Knesset Jeremy Average (4 days before election), the exit polls of Channels 11,12,13&14 and the final election results. Party Election Results Knesset Jeremy AVG Gap Likud 32 31 1 Yesh Atid 24 25 -1 Religious Zionist 14 14 0 National Unity 12 11 1 Shas […]
- Last KnessetJeremy Polling Average: Likud 31.1, Yesh Atid 24.9, Smotrich 14, Gantz 11.3, Shas 8.6, UTJ 6.8 October 29, 2022
  The last average compares three different polling averages. Last week’s average is compared to an average of the 15 polls released during the Monday-Friday period of October 24 – October 28. The most recent average is a 7 poll average consisting of the last seven polls released during the last two days before the polling […]
- The Last 4 Polls October 29, 2022
  Below are the last four polls that were released yesterday, before the deadline for publishing or broadcasting polls. The next post will compare a 7-Poll Average from the polls released during the last two days of polling to a 15-Poll Average of the polls released throughout the week to last week’s average. Poll 1: Panels […]
- 11 Polls from Monday-Thursday October 27, 2022
  Polls must be published or broadcast by midnight Israeli time between Friday and Saturday. I will publish the last polls and polling average on Saturday evening. Below are the 11 polls that were published or broadcast over the last four days from Monday October 24 – Thursday October 27. Poll 1: Kantar conducted a poll […]
- 9 Days to Election – KnessetJeremy Polling Average: Likud 31.6, Yesh Atid 24.3, Smotrich 13.4, Gantz 11.6, Shas 8.1, UTJ 7; Blocs Deadlocked October 23, 2022
  Smotrich made the most significant gain with a 0.6 jump. Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu went up for the second straight week, this time by 0.3. Likud dropped for the second consecutive week, this time by 0.5. Gantz also went down this week, this time by 0.3. Lapid’s Yesh Atid also lost 0.1. Overall, we remain stuck […]
- 7 Polls – 2 Weeks Out October 23, 2022
  Kantar conducted a poll of 651 people with a 3.8% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on October 18 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 11 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United Torah […]
- 18 Days to Election – KnessetJeremy Poll Average: Likud 32.1, Yesh Atid 24.4, Smotrich 12.8, Gantz 11.9, Shas 8.1, UTJ 7; Netanyahu at 60 October 14, 2022
  Yesh Atid makes largest gain of 0.9 and Likud takes biggest drop of 0.7 – narrowing the gap between the two bloc leaders to 7.7 seats. Inside the Netanyahu camp, in addition to the Likud’s drop, Shas dropped slightly with a 0.1 loss. The Anti-Netanyahu Bloc continued to see fluctuation as Gantz made gains of […]
- 7 Polls from this week October 14, 2022
  Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on October 11 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 12 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United Torah […]
- KnessetJeremy Average: Likud 33, Yesh Atid 24, Smotrich 13, Gantz 11, Shas 8; Gantz takes beating & Labor surprises October 9, 2022
  This week Gantz’s party dropped 1.2 seats, this is the largest drop of any party on a week to week basis since the candidate lists were submitted. Yesh Atid also took a beating, dropping 0.6 since the last average. Yisrael Beitenu took a slight loss of 0.1. Not everything was negative for the anti-Netanyahu bloc […]
- 4 Polls from the week October 9, 2022
  Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 511 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on October 6 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 32 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 11 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United […]

Jeremy's Knesset Insider