Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Yisrael HaYom & I24 News that was published on Feb 1 2019. The poll was conducted Jan 30-31.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) – under electoral threshold
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Taal (Tibi) – under electoral threshold
03 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
01 [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Without parties that didn’t pass the threshold:

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Zehut
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Scenario Poll: Gantz + Yaalon + Lapid + Ashekenazi

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
03 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
03 [07] Shas (Deri)
03 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) – under electoral threshold
03 [05] Bayit Yehudi + Tekuma (Smotrich) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Taal (Tibi) – under electoral threshold
03 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
03 [–] Zehut (Feiglin)
02 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
01 [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
01 [–-] Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others are all under 3.25% threshold.

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Without parties that didn’t pass the threshold:

41 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
39 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
11 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz

Additional Questions:

Where do you place Gantz on the political map?

39% Center, 25% Don’t know, 22% Left, 14% Right

Without the Don’t know: 52% Center, 29% Left, 19% Right

Note: Results are after removing 25% that answered – Don’t know

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

38% Netanyahu, 22% Others, 22% Gantz, 9% Lapid, 3% Bennett, 3% Gabbai, 3% Liberman,

What issues will determine this election?

32% Security situation, 23% Netanyahu investigations, 21% Price of living, 10% Other answers, 7% Religion and State issues, Social gaps and social issues

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 538 people with a 4.5% margin of error for Kan that was broadcast on Jan 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
23 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Otzma (Marzel), Green Leaf, Zehut (Feiglin), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) and Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

47% Netanyahu, 41% Gantz, 12% Neither
49% Netanyahu, 37% Neither, 14% Lapid
50% Netanyahu, 42% Neither, 8% Gabbai

Where would you place Gantz on the political map?

34% Center, 25% Center-left, 21% Center-Right, 13% Left, 6% Right

Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Jan 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.4% [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
2.1% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
0.8% [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Green Leaf, Yachad (Eli Yishai), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) and Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note: Labor at 6 seats is the lowest all-time showing in any poll.

Scenario Poll #1: Lapid #1 + Gantz #2 on same list

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
30 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.4% [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
2.3% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz #1 + Lapid #2 on same list

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.4% [–-] Otzma (Marzel)
1.9% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.6% [—] Green Leaf

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
60 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 35% Gantz, 16% Neither, 13% Don’t know

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 754 people with a 3.7% margin of error for Channel 13 that was broadcast on Jan 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
24 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – 2 seats, but under threshold
00 [–-] Otzma (Marzel), Green Leaf, Zehut (Feiglin), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) and Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

42% Netanyahu, 42% Gantz, 16% Don’t know
51% Netanyahu, 30% Lapid, 19% Don’t know

Who should lead a big mega center-left bloc party?

46% Gantz, 28% Don’t know 18% Lapid, 8% Gabbai

Where is Gantz on the political spectrum?

30% Not right or left, 28% Don’t know, 24% Left, 18% Right

Panels conducted a poll of 1009 people with a 3.2% margin of error for Walla that was published on Jan 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.3% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
1.8% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
1.4% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
1.4% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.2% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold

Under 1%:
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note: Israel Resilience voters based on 2015 choice – 8 seats from Zionist Union, 4 from Yesh Atid, 3 from Likud, 1 from Kulanu.
41% Center voters, 32% Left voters, 27% Right voters

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Yaalon + Levy

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
24 [01] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Gesher (Orly Levy)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi

2.8% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
2.1% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
1.6% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.3% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
1.3% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold

Under 1%:
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
60 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz + Yaalon + Ashkenazi + Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
27 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.6% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
2.0% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
1.4% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
1.4% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
1.1% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold

Under 1%:
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

How did Gantz’s speech change your opinion of him?

61% Didn’t change, 27% For the better, 12% For the worse

Left: 49% Better, 46% No difference, 5% Worse
Center: 49% No difference, 43% Better, 8% Worse
Right: 68% No difference, 17% Worse, 15% Better

If there is a Gantz + Yaalon + Ashkenazi + Lapid party who should lead it?

45% Gantz, 37% Don’t know, 18% Lapid

Gantz-Lapid voters: 65% Gantz, 25% Lapid, 10% Don’t know