Panels conducted a poll of 1009 people with a 3.2% margin of error for Walla that was published on Jan 30 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.3% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
1.8% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
1.4% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
1.4% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.2% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold

Under 1%:
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note: Israel Resilience voters based on 2015 choice – 8 seats from Zionist Union, 4 from Yesh Atid, 3 from Likud, 1 from Kulanu.
41% Center voters, 32% Left voters, 27% Right voters

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Yaalon + Levy

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
24 [01] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Gesher (Orly Levy)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi

2.8% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
2.1% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
1.6% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.3% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
1.3% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold

Under 1%:
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.

60 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
60 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz + Yaalon + Ashkenazi + Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Ashkenazi
27 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Taal (Tibi)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

2.6% [–-] Otzma (Marzel) – under electoral threshold
2.0% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
1.4% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
1.4% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – under electoral threshold
1.1% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold

Under 1%:
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) are all under 3.25% threshold.


59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

How did Gantz’s speech change your opinion of him?

61% Didn’t change, 27% For the better, 12% For the worse

Left: 49% Better, 46% No difference, 5% Worse
Center: 49% No difference, 43% Better, 8% Worse
Right: 68% No difference, 17% Worse, 15% Better

If there is a Gantz + Yaalon + Ashkenazi + Lapid party who should lead it?

45% Gantz, 37% Don’t know, 18% Lapid

Gantz-Lapid voters: 65% Gantz, 25% Lapid, 10% Don’t know