Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted two polls published by Maariv on Dec 11 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                        

24 [21] Labor-Livni

20 [18] Likud

17 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [–] Kulanu (Kachlon)

10 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

09 [19] Yesh Atid

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [11] Shas

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

71 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

49 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Second poll was a scenario poll of Lapid-Livni-Mofaz-Trachenbarg.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [42] Labor-Livni-Mofaz-Trachenbarg

21 [18] Likud

17 [12] Bayit Yehudi

09 [–] Kulanu (Kachlon)

09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [11] Shas

05 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

70 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

35% Herzog, 34% Netanyahu, 12% Bennett, 13% Saar, 9% Lapid, 8% Kachlon, 8% Liberman

Do you want to see Benjamin Netanyhau re-elected as Prime Minister?

66% No

What is motive behind Netanyahu’s 0 VAT on basic foods program?

78% Campaign trick, 17% Taking care of weaker sectors

Who should lead center-left block?

41% Herzog

What coalition do you prefer to be formed after elections?

28% Right-Religious, 24% Labor-Lapid-Liberman-Kachlon (no Bennett or Haredim), 21% National Unity Government, 19% Center-Left (no Haredim), 8% Don’t know

Who is more suited to serve as Defense Minister?

60% Yaalon, 21% Bennett, 19% Don’t know

Will the addition of this personality strengthen or weaken your decision to vote for their party?

Yuval Diskin: 43% strengthen, 40% weaken, 17% don’t know
Yoav Galant:  40% strengthen, 44% weaken, 16% don’t know
Manuel Trachtenberg: 34% strengthen, 41% weaken, 25% don’t know
Haim Amsalam: 27% strengthen, 49% weaken, 24% don’t know
Elazar Stern: 27% strengthen, 53% weaken, 20% don’t know

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on Dec 8 2014.

Panels also conducted a scenario poll with Livni Party joining Labor.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                          

21 [18] Likud

18 [12] Bayit Yehudi

17 [15] Labor

12 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

10 [–] New Kachlon Party

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [11] Shas

07 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

74 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

46 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

Scenario Poll:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                           

23 [21] Labor+Livni (Movement)

21 [18] Likud

18 [12] Bayit Yehudi

09 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [–] New Kachlon Party

09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [11] Shas

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

72 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

48 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)
Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

26% Netanyahu, 15% Herzog, 11% Bennett,

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Just like the Smith poll last week the Panels poll finds that a joint Herzog-Livni ticket would be the largest party however it only brings an extra 2 seats to the Anti-BB coalition, far off from helping the center-left-arab bloc form any sort of government.