Dialog (Panel HaMidgam) conducted two scenario polls broadcast by Channel 10 on Dec 9 2014.
First scenario poll was with a Labor-Livni-Mofaz ticket.
Second scenario poll was with Gidon Saar at head of Likud – no change in any seats.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
22 [23] Labor-Livni-Mofaz (joint ticket)
20 [18] Likud
15 [12] Bayit Yehudi
13 [–] New Kachlon Party
11 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [19] Yesh Atid
07 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Meretz
05 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [03] Balad
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
73 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)
47 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)
Additional Questions:
Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?
23% Netanyahu, 22% Herzog, 13% Bennett, 13% Saar, 10% Kachlon, 10% Liberman, 9% Lapid
Do you believe Netanyahu will deliver on 0 VAT promise on basic food?
62% No, 22% Yes, 16% Don’t know
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Third scenario poll that has a Labor joint ticket as the largest party. A Labor+Livni+Mofaz list loses a seat from 23 to 22, and brings the Anti-BB coalition to 47 seats. Netanyahu’s Likud party has not been the largest party at the end of each of his 3 terms as PM & he might be forced to deal with a similar situation for his 4th, assuming President Rivlin gives him the chance.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
If we are completely honest the centre left has only 38 seats if we exclude the 9 Arab seats. Do we really believe that the Arabs will comfortably co-exist with Lapid?. Even a government of Meretz and Yesh Atid will be a challenge.
i`d be careful of any poll in which raviv drucker and oshrat kotler of channel 10 are involved.their goal is to bring down bibi at any price!they are far from objective leftists!
appears to be a typo. the title says 22 seats for likud, and the text says 20. which is it?
you fixed it, great. thanks
Out of curiosity, can Likud depose a leader without a general leadership election?
I ask this because it’s not inconceivable that some parties will be more willing to deal with Likud and not him, giving his party’s members a choice of choosing him or government immediately after the election. Not saying this is likely, but I don’t know Likud’s internal party rules.