Dialog (Panel HaMidgam) conducted two scenario polls broadcast by Channel 10 on Dec 9 2014.

First scenario poll was with a Labor-Livni-Mofaz ticket.

Second scenario poll was with Gidon Saar at head of Likud – no change in any seats.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]                                         

22 [23] Labor-Livni-Mofaz (joint ticket)

20 [18] Likud

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

13 [–] New Kachlon Party

11 [13] Yisrael Beitenu

10 [19] Yesh Atid

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Meretz

05 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [03] Balad

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

 

73 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)

47 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)

 

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

23% Netanyahu, 22% Herzog, 13% Bennett, 13% Saar, 10% Kachlon, 10% Liberman, 9% Lapid

Do you believe Netanyahu will deliver on 0 VAT promise on basic food?

62% No, 22% Yes, 16% Don’t know

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Third scenario poll that has a Labor joint ticket as the largest party. A Labor+Livni+Mofaz list loses a seat from 23 to 22, and brings the Anti-BB coalition to 47 seats. Netanyahu’s Likud party has not been the largest party at the end of each of his 3 terms as PM & he might be forced to deal with a similar situation for his 4th, assuming President Rivlin gives him the chance.

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