Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on Dec 8 2014.
Panels also conducted a scenario poll with Livni Party joining Labor.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
21 [18] Likud
18 [12] Bayit Yehudi
17 [15] Labor
12 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [–] New Kachlon Party
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [11] Shas
07 [06] Meretz
05 [04] Hadash
05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [03] Balad
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
74 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)
46 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)
Scenario Poll:
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
23 [21] Labor+Livni (Movement)
21 [18] Likud
18 [12] Bayit Yehudi
09 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [–] New Kachlon Party
09 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [11] Shas
06 [06] Meretz
05 [04] Hadash
05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima
72 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)
48 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)
Additional Questions:
Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?
26% Netanyahu, 15% Herzog, 11% Bennett,
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Just like the Smith poll last week the Panels poll finds that a joint Herzog-Livni ticket would be the largest party however it only brings an extra 2 seats to the Anti-BB coalition, far off from helping the center-left-arab bloc form any sort of government.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
I think its still unclear if Kachlon is part of the right wing bloc. How can you be sure he wont sit with Labor along with Shas and UTJ?
If combined lists are the name of the game then a Lapid/liberman ticket may have ideological coherence. Kachalon’s Likud classic position might allow him to buck the merger game. Bayit Yehudi may lock up a nationalist vote but Bennett’s free market economics does not sit well with Deri and others who will accuse him of believing in supporting social justice only in Judea and Samaria. (Settler Socialism). In addition as the BY likud gap narrows, neither party will abide by their truce.
Maybe it will be hard to abide by the truce, but what do you think about a Likud-BY union to counteract a leftist bloc Labor-Hatnua(-Kadima-Yesh Atid)? That would then solve that problem, wouldn’t it?
I’m a person of the left so this is a good week for me. However President Rivlin’s comment that large blocs are good for democracy is spot on. Yet given the likely constellation of a combined list of the right would there remain any space for the secular Zionist revisionists?
Don’t see why the ultra-orthodox parties would necessarily form a government with Netanyahu. In fact, it isn’t hard to see a scenario where they form a coalition with Labor/Livni, YB, Kahlon, Shas and UTJ, with an agreement from Meretz and the Arab parties not to bring down the government while remaining outside of it. Wouldn’t be surprised by that at all if their goal is to bring Netanyahu down.
1 – Anything is possible in Israeli politics.
2 – Haredim go with whoever gives them the most money. It is not like they care if it is Herzog or BB. They see no value in anti-BB coalition (unless they get a payday).
Netanyahu’s new 0% VAT for food products is directly aimed to placate one of Deri’s key demands for joining any coalition. It’s something probably all the parties on the right, including Kachlon, will be willing to get behind given that it affects potentially millions of people directly.
With respect Jeremy…While I have no great love for the Haredi parties what you term a payday is in the eye of the beholder, depending on whose palms are being greased. For example wasn’t Bibi just thwarted in coming through with a last minute “signing bonus” for bayit yehudi?
There is only one thing that everyone seems to agree on. That is the Charedim will be part of the next government.
Netanyahu’s recent governments have been center-right, mostly center, with a strong input of left.
How could this play out in these polls?
Hmm. If all these anti-Bibi stay strong to their declaration, the best Bibi can hope for is that he will succeed in getting a lefty into an appointed-by-him spot in the Likud, or filling Kahlon with lefties.
Thanks תודה and God Bless, Gidon Ariel gidon.ariel@gmail.com גדעון אריאל cell 054-5665037, home 02-5354586, USA (VoIP) 516-321-1846 Israel fax 1532-5354586, USA fax 623-433-4874 Maale Hever, DN Har Hebron 90420 Israel מעלה חבר, ד”נ הר חברון “Happy are those who have discovered that the secret of life is to be nice to others”