Tag Archive: knesset insider


Channel 12 Poll: Blue & White 32, Likud 28, Labor 10, Hadash-Taal 7, UTJ 7; Right-Religious Bloc 59

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 2 Comments
March 25, 2019

Midgam conducted a poll of 517 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on March 24 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.6% [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)

Under 1%

0.5% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
0.5% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
0.0% [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan) and others

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?

39% Netanyahu, 34% Gantz, 18% Neither, 9% Don’t know

What are Netanyahu’s interests in the submarine affair?

42% Personal, 31% Don’t know, 27% Professional

Was it ok for Prime Minister Netanyahu not to involve the Defense Minister & IDF COS on selling submarines to Egypt?

50% No, 28% Don’t know, 22% Yes

Has Netanyahu convinced you that he is suited to be Prime Minister after the election?

46% No, 28% Don’t know, 26% Yes

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Week 13 – Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: Blue & White 30.3, Likud 29, Labor 9, Hadash-Taal 7.6, UTJ 6.6; Right-Religious Bloc 64.3

Filed under: Knesset, Weekly Poll Avg — 5 Comments
March 24, 2019

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday March 24th 2019.

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsKnessetJeremy AVGChangeWeek 12 AVGCurrent
1stBlue & WhiteGantz3130.3-1.531.811
2ndLikudNetanyahu29290.528.529
3rdLaborGabbai990.58.518
4thHadash-TaalOdeh87.60.47.26
5thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman76.6-0.26.86
6thUnited Right ListPeretz66.3-0.775
7thHaYamin HeHadashBennett65.7-0.15.83
8thMeretzZandberg65.4-0.665
9thShasDeri54.9-0.65.57
10thZehutFeiglin54.40.14.30
11thKulanuKahlon43.70.53.210
12thYisrael BeitenuLiberman43.70.53.25
13thRaam-BaladAbbas02.90.72.27
14thOther30 Others00.50.508
Right-Religious Bloc6664.30.164.266
Center-Left-Arab Bloc5455.7-0.155.854

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: This average is based on the last 7 polls that were released from March 17 to March 22 (2 Panels, Smith, Maagar Mochot, Midgam, Panel Project HaMidgam & Direct Polls).

Note #3: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Note #4: Voter exchange agreements have been signed between Labor & Meretz, HaYamin HeHadash & Yisrael Beitenu, Likud & United Right List, Shas & UTJ. The deadline for submitting voter exchange agreements is March 29.

Note #5: Yisrael Beitenu & Kulanu both passed the electoral threshold in 6 of 7 polls this week. Raam Balad passed in 5 of the 7 polls this week. Gesher passed in 1 poll this week.

Note #6: The right-religious bloc of Likud-UTJ-URL-HaYamin HeHadash-Shas-Kulanu-Yisrael Beitenu-Zehut is polling at a high of 68 and a low of 62. The center-left-Arab bloc of Blue & White-Labor-Hadash-Taal-Meretz (including Raam-Balad & Gesher when they pass the threshold) is polling at a high of 58 and a low of 52.

Note #6: 47 parties registered to participate in the April 9 Election. 4 parties have withdrawn to date.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)


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Jerusalem Post Poll: Blue & White 30, Likud 27, Labor 8, Hadash-Taal 8, UTJ 7; Right-Religious Bloc 65

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 3 Comments
March 22, 2019

Smith conducted a poll 650 people with a 3.9% margin of error that was published by the Jerusalem Post on March 22 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
27 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.8% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan) and others
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

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Maariv Poll: Likud 31, Blue & White 30, Labor 9, Hadash-Taal 9, UTJ 7; Right-Religious Bloc 66

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — Leave a comment

Panels conducted a poll 1007 people that was published by Maariv on March 22 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
30 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
09 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
07 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

00 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan) and others
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

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Yisrael HaYom & I24 News Poll: Blue & White 30, Likud 26, Labor 9, URL 7, 3 tied at 6; Right-Religious Bloc 62

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 4 Comments

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll 613 people with a 4% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on March 22 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
26 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
06 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
05 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

1.7% [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan) and others
0.3% [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch)
0.0% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who do you think is more suited for Prime Minister?

43% Netanyahu, 34% Gantz, 23% Don’t know

Do you support Supreme Court decision to prevent Ben Ari from running?

54% Yes, 46% No

Does Gantz’s phone affair harm his ability to serve the country?

68% No, 32% Yes

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