Tag Archive: knesset insider


Teleseker conducted a poll of 553 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was broadcast on Aug 4 2019 by Reshet Bet Radio.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
29 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [06] United Right (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.9% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
54 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

PlacePartyLeaderAVGApril ResultsDifference
1stLikudNetanyahu30.239-8.8
2ndBlue & WhiteGantz2935-6
3rdUnited RightShaked11.456.4
4thThe Joint ListOdeh11.2101.2
5thYisrael BeitenuLiberman10.255.2
6thDemocratic UnionHorwitz844
7thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman7.48-0.6
8thShasDeri78-1
9thLaborPeretz5.66-0.4
10thOther23 Others000
xHave ruled out nominating Gantz for PMx5660-4
xHave ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PMx53.855-1.2
xPushing Unity Governmentx10.255.2

Note #1: This average is based on the last 5 polls that were conducted after all of the joint tickets were publicized. (2 Midgam, 1 Maagar Mochot, 1 Dialog/Panel Project HaMidgam, 1 Smith, 0 Teleseker, Direct Polls, Panels, Kantar).

Note #2: 32 parties registered to participate in the September 17th Election.

Midgam conducted a poll of 503 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast on Aug 3 2019 by Channel 12.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
29 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
12 [06] United Right (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.2% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Questions:

Do you support a unity government of Netanyahu & Gantz?

33% Yes, 54% No, 13% Don’t know

Note: 36% of right voters vs 34% of center-left voters support it.

Do you support a unity government of Netanyahu, Gantz & Lieberman?

29% Yes, 59% No, 12% Don’t know

Note: 35% of right voters vs 27% of center-left voters support it.

Smith conducted a poll of 601 people with a 4% margin of error that was broadcast on Aug 2 2019 by 103 FM Radio.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
29 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [06] United Right (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
08 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.2% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll that was published on Aug 1 2019 by Yisrael Hayom.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
28 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
12 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [06] United Right (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
09 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
2% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 24% Gantz, 13% Other, 10% Shaked, 7% Barak, 6% Lieberman, 5% Peretz

Do you support Ehud Barak returning to Knesset?

54% No, 24% Don’t know, 22% Yes

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 703 people with a 4% margin of error that was conducted and broadcast on Aug 1 2019 by Channel 13.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
29 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [06] United Right (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
09 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
00 [00] Noam

Phase 2 Recommendations:

55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
54 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?

43% Netanyahu, 32% Gantz, 17% Neither

What Government would you like to see?

50% Likud + Blue & White, 23% Right + Haredim, 13% Likud + Blue & White + Haredim, 10% Center-left + Haredim, 4% Other

Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was conducted and broadcast on July 30 2019 by Channel 12.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
12 [06] United Right (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.4% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.2% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.3% [00] Noam

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #1: Otzma joins the United Right

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
29 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
13 [06] United Right (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich, Bennett & Ben Gvir)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Scenario Poll #2: Otzma & Zehut joins the United Right

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
14 [06] United Right (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich, Bennett, Ben Gvir & Feiglin)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Additional Question:

Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?

42% Netanyahu, 32% Gantz, 18% Neither, 8% Don’t know

Smith conducted a poll of 550 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was conducted and broadcast on July 26 2019 by Radio 103 FM & publishe in Maariv.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
28 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
09 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [00] HaYamin HeHadash (Shaked)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
05 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 711 people with a 4% margin of error that was conducted and broadcast on July 25 2019 by Channel 13.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
23 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
12 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
10 [00] HaYamin HeHadash (Shaked)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
06 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
05 [08] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll: United Right List

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
23 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
14 [05] United Right List (Shaked, Peretz & Smotrich)
12 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
06 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
05 [08] Shas (Deri)
04 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited for Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 33% Gantz, 17% Neither, 10% Don’t know

Who is more suited to lead the United Right List?

45% Shaked, 23% Neither, 20% Don’t know, 11% Peretz

Note: Among those who had an opinion 77% Shaked, 23% Peretz.

Midgam conducted a poll of 538 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was conducted and broadcast on July 25 2019 by Channel 12.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
27 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
10 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
09 [00] HaYamin HeHadash (Shaked)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 1%

00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll: United Left List

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
27 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
15 [10] Labor+Democratic Union (Pertz, Horowitz & Barak)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
09 [00] HaYamin HeHadash (Shaked)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll: United Right List

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
27 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
14 [05] United Right List (Shaked, Peretz & Smotrich)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
10 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz & Barak)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Question:

Who is most suited for Prime Minister?

42% Netanyahu, 30% Gantz, 28% Other answers