Tag Archive: israeli poll


Midgam conducted a poll of 501 people with a margin of error of 4.4% that was published by Walla on September 9 2019. The poll was conducted on September 8-9.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
09 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
06 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
04 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

58 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
08 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

39% Netanyahu, 30% Gantz, 19% Neither, 8% Don’t know, 4% Both

Right: 59% Likud, 18% Neither, 13% Gantz, 5% Both, 5% Don’t know
Center-Left: 60% Gantz, 20% Neither, 9% Netanyahu, 8% Don’ know, 3% Both

Do you support a unity government without the Haredi parties?

49% Yes, 39% No, 12% Don’t know

Right: 52% No, 40% Yes, 8% Don’t know
Center-Left: 70% Yes, 19% No, 11% Don’t know

If Lapid gives up on his PM rotation demand will it increase the chance you vote for Blue & White?

53% No, 25% Yes, 11% Decreases chance, 11% Don’t know

Right: 57% No, 24% Yes, 10% Decreases chance, 9% Don’t know
Center-Left: 49% No, 31% Yes, 11% Decreases chance, 9% Don’t know

Smith conducted a poll of 650 people with a margin of error of 3.9% that was broadcast by 103 FM Radio & published by Maariv on September 6 2019. The poll was conducted on September 4th & 5th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
09 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.5% [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 603 people with a margin of error of 4% that was broadcast by I24 News & published by Yisrael Hayom on September 6 2019. The poll was conducted on September 5th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
04 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
04 [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

58 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
51 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Question:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 23% Gantz, 19% Other answers, 5% Shaked, 4% Peretz, 3% Lieberman, 3% Lapid, 3% Barak

HaMidgam Panel Project conducted a poll of 759 people with a margin of error of 3.8% that was broadcast by Channel 13 on September 5 2019. The poll was conducted on September 5th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.76% [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Midgam conducted a poll of 508 people with a margin of error of 4.4% that was broadcast by Channel 12 on September 5 2019. The poll was conducted on September 4th & 5th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.5% [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

41% Netanyahu, 31% Gantz, 28% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll with a margin of error of 4.4% that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on September 5 2019. The poll was conducted on September 4th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
05 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
04 [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

60 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
51 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

34% Netanyahu, 24% Gantz, 16% None, 9% Don’t know, 7% Saar, 6% Ashkenazi, 2% Lapid, 2% Lieberman

Would you prefer a government with Haredim or without?

50% Without, 32% With, 18% Don’t know

By Party (Without is no; With is yes):

Yisrael Beitenu: 92% No, 4% Yes
Blue & White: 88% No, 6% Yes
Democratic Union: 73% No, 7% Yes
Joint List: 69% No, 3% Yes
Labor: 64% No, 36% Yes
Yamina: 45% Yes, 45% No
Likud: 47% Yes, 28% No
Shas: 80% Yes, 13% No
UTJ: 100% Yes, 0% No

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls (Updated September 3rd)

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsAVGApril ResultsDifference
1stLikudNetanyahu313139-8
2ndBlue & WhiteGantz303035-5
3rdThe Joint ListOdeh1110.8100.8
4thYaminaShaked1110.655.6
5thYisrael BeitenuLiberman109.954.9
6thDemocratic UnionHorwitz77.343.3
7thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman77.38-0.7
8thShasDeri77.28-0.8
9thLaborPeretz65.96-0.1
10thOtherBen Gvir/Etc.0000
Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM5656.160-3.9
Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM545455-1
Pushing Unity Government109.954.9

Note #1: This average is based on the last 24 polls that were conducted from July 30th until September 3 (last month): 8 Midgam, 5 Smith, 3 Maagar Mochot, 3 Teleseker, 3 Dialog/Panel Project HaMidgam, 2 Direct Polls & 0 Panels.

Note #2: 32 parties registered to participate in the September 17th Election. The Zehut list has agreed to resign but has yet to do so officially.

Note #3: Voter exchange/surplus agreements have been signed between A) Labor & Democratic Union, B) Blue and White & Yisrael Beitenu, C) Likud & Yamina. Shas & UTJ are expected to sign before the deadline on September 6th. The Joint List announced they will not sign with any other list.

Midgam conducted a poll of 521 people with a margin of error of 4.3% that was published by Walla on September 3 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.7% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

39% Netanyahu, 30% Gantz, 17% Neither, 9% Don’t know, 5% Same

Right: 65% Netanyahu, 15% Gantz, 11% None, 5% Same, 4% Don’t know

Center & Left: 54% Gantz, 27% Neither, 7% Netanyahu, 7% Don’t know, 5% Same

Are Netanyahu’s attacks on Channel 12 & journalist Guy Peleg justified?

49% No, 31% Don’t know, 20% Yes

Right: 36% No, 33% Don’t know, 31% Yes

Center & Left: 74% No, 18% Don’t know, 8% Yes

Teleseker conducted a poll of 550 people with a margin of error of 4.3% that was conducted and broadcast by Channel 11 on September 1 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Note: Zehut voters divided now mostly between Likud or Yamina with some choosing Yisrael Beitenu or Blue & White.

Additional Questions:

Are you pleased with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s conduct with the situation in the north?

45% Yes, 45% No, 10% Don’t know

Are you pleased with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s conduct with the situation in the south?

61% No, 32% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Do you support Netanyahu’s call to boycott Channel 12?

64% No, 18% Yes, 18% Don’t know

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 701 people with a margin of error of 4% that was conducted and broadcast by Channel 13 on September 1 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
54 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Is the security situation influencing the election?

59% Yes, 26% No, 15% Don’t know

Non-Jewish voters: 72% Yes, 22% No, 6% Don’t know
Jewish voters: 57% Yes, 26% No, 17% Don’t know

Who should lead Likud post-Netanyahu?

31% None of the above, 27% Saar, 19% Don’t know, 8% Erdan, 6% Edelstein, 5% Regev, 4% Katz

Likud voters: 31% None of the above, 22% Don’t know, 17% Saar, 15% Erdan, 6% Edelstein, 6% Regev, 2% Katz

If Netanyahu forms a government who is most likely to join him?

26% None of the above, 26% Israel Resilience (Gantz), 22% Don’t know, 12% Labor, 6% Telem (Yaalon), 4% Yesh Atid (Lapid), 4% Democratic Union

If Gantz forms a government who is most likely to join him?

31% None of the above, 23% Don’t know, 21% Yamin HeHadash (Shaked & Bennett), 12% Shas, 8% UTJ, 5% Bayit Yehudi (Peretz & Smotrich)