The latest Weekend Perspective piece “Israeli Elections 2019 Knesset Insider: The divisions before the unions” can be found at the link below:
https://www.jns.org/israeli-elections-2019-knesset-insider-the-divisions-before-the-unions/
The latest Weekend Perspective piece “Israeli Elections 2019 Knesset Insider: The divisions before the unions” can be found at the link below:
https://www.jns.org/israeli-elections-2019-knesset-insider-the-divisions-before-the-unions/
Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls
Current update: Sunday January 6th 2018.
| Place | Party | Current Avg | Change | Week 1 AVG | Current |
| 1st | Likud | 28.8 | 1.2 | 27.6 | 30 |
| 2nd | Israel Resilience | 12.8 | -0.6 | 13.4 | 0 |
| 3rd | Yesh Atid | 12.7 | -0.1 | 12.8 | 11 |
| 4th | Joint List | 11.7 | -0.7 | 12.4 | 13 |
| 5th | HaYamin HeHadash | 8.8 | -1.6 | 10.4 | 3 |
| 6th | Labor (*Week 1: Zionist Union) | 8.2 | -0.6 | 8.8 | 24 |
| 7th | UTJ | 6.7 | -0.3 | 7 | 6 |
| 8th | Kulanu | 5.5 | -0.1 | 5.6 | 10 |
| 9th | Meretz | 5.5 | -0.1 | 5.6 | 5 |
| 10th | Shas | 5 | 0.2 | 4.8 | 7 |
| 11th | Gesher | 4.8 | 0.2 | 4.6 | 1 |
| 12th | Yisrael Beitenu | 4.5 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 5 |
| 13th | Bayit Yehudi | 2.8 | -0.4 | 3.2 | 5 |
| 14th | Livni (*Week 1: Zionist Union) | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 15th | Other | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Right-Religious | 62.8 | 0.4 | 62.4 | 66 | |
| Center-Left-Arab | 57.2 | -0.4 | 57.6 | 54 |
Note: The average polling of parties that are under 4 seats including parties listed under “other” is weighted down to reflect the chances of those parties passing the threshold under the current average and do not reflect their actual average in polling. This allows the model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.
Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)
Direct Polls conducted a poll of 2025 Dati Leumi and Haredi Leumi voters with a 2% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Jan 4 2019.
Who do you vote for in the last elections?
75.2% Bayit Yehudi, 10% Likud, 9.8% Yachad, 2.6% Other, 0.9% Didn’t vote, 0.7% Shas, 0.4% Yesh Atid, 0.3% Kulanu
Who will you vote for in this election?
45.6% Bayit Yehudi, 21.8% HaYamin HeHadash, 17.9% Undecided, 8.7% Likud, 3.4% Other, 0.5% Shas, 0.4% Gesher, 0.2% Israel Resilience, 0% Kulanu
Do you support or oppose Bennett & Shaked’s decision?
39.6% Oppose, 37.5% Support, 13.2% Depends on who is chosen on both lists, 9.7% Undecided
Young voters: 47.6% Support, 28.2% Oppose, 13.9% Depends on list, 10.4% Undecided
Hardal voters: 38.8% Oppose, 36.6% Support, 13.8% Depends on the list, 10.8% Undecided
What is the main reason for you position on the previous question?
26% Dangerous for the right bloc, 24.9% Harms the religious zionist base, 23.5% To achieve national leadership it is not enough to be sectorial, 15.2% Should strengthen the right bloc, 10.5% It was expected for a long time
Note: 34.1% of young voters answered “To achieve national leadership” compared to 16.1% of Hardal voters.
Do you support a joint list of Bayit Yehudi and Tekuma with Yachad of Eli Yishai and/or Otzma?
66.9% Yes, 22.6% Depends on each list, 6.6% No, 4% Undecided
What was the motive behind Bennett and Shaked leaving?
39.5% Ideology and personal gain, 28.8% Personal gain, 22.8% Ideology and values, 8.8% Don’t know
Note: More than a third of young Bayit Yehudi voters answered the motives were ideology and values.
Who should lead the Bayit Yehudi list?
40.4% Smotrich, 38.2% Someone new, 9.3% Ben Dahan, 6.3% Ariel, 5.9% Yogev
Midgam conducted a poll of 507 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was published on Jan 5 2019.
Who should lead the Yamin HeHadash list in the next elections?
40% Don’t know, 33% Bennett, 27% Shaked
Was Avi Gabbai justified or not justified in breaking up his partnership with Tzipi Livni?
39% Justified, 36% Don’t know, 25% Not Justified
Should AG Avichai Mandelblit publicize his decision on an indictment pending a hearing against Prime Minister Netanyahu before the elections?
64% Yes, 22% No, 14% Don’t know
Do you support for ex IDF COS Gabi Ashekenazi joining politics before the election?
47% Yes, 34% No, 19% Don’t know
Shvakim Panorama conducted an internal poll for Yisrael Beitenu that was published on journalist Attila Somfalvi’s twitter feed on Jan 5 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
26 [30] Likud
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [18] Labor
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold
63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.
Note: Internal poll won’t be used in the average..