Category: Knesset


Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 6th 2018.

PlacePartyCurrent AvgChangeWeek 1 AVGCurrent
1stLikud28.81.227.630
2ndIsrael Resilience12.8-0.613.40
3rdYesh Atid12.7-0.112.811
4thJoint List11.7-0.712.413
5thHaYamin HeHadash8.8-1.610.43
6thLabor (*Week 1: Zionist Union)8.2-0.68.824
7thUTJ6.7-0.376
8thKulanu5.5-0.15.610
9thMeretz5.5-0.15.65
10thShas50.24.87
11thGesher4.80.24.61
12thYisrael Beitenu4.50.73.85
13thBayit Yehudi2.8-0.43.25
14thLivni (*Week 1: Zionist Union)1.51.500
15thOther0.70.700
Right-Religious62.80.462.466
Center-Left-Arab57.2-0.457.654

Note: The average polling of parties that are under 4 seats including parties listed under “other” is weighted down to reflect the chances of those parties passing the threshold under the current average and do not reflect their actual average in polling. This allows the model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 2025 Dati Leumi and Haredi Leumi voters with a 2% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Jan 4 2019.

Who do you vote for in the last elections?

75.2% Bayit Yehudi, 10% Likud, 9.8% Yachad, 2.6% Other, 0.9% Didn’t vote, 0.7% Shas, 0.4% Yesh Atid, 0.3% Kulanu

Who will you vote for in this election?

45.6% Bayit Yehudi, 21.8% HaYamin HeHadash, 17.9% Undecided, 8.7% Likud, 3.4% Other, 0.5% Shas, 0.4% Gesher, 0.2% Israel Resilience, 0% Kulanu

Do you support or oppose Bennett & Shaked’s decision?

39.6% Oppose, 37.5% Support, 13.2% Depends on who is chosen on both lists, 9.7% Undecided

Young voters: 47.6% Support, 28.2% Oppose, 13.9% Depends on list, 10.4% Undecided
Hardal voters: 38.8% Oppose, 36.6% Support, 13.8% Depends on the list, 10.8% Undecided

What is the main reason for you position on the previous question?

26% Dangerous for the right bloc, 24.9% Harms the religious zionist base, 23.5% To achieve national leadership it is not enough to be sectorial, 15.2% Should strengthen the right bloc, 10.5% It was expected for a long time

Note: 34.1% of young voters answered “To achieve national leadership” compared to 16.1% of Hardal voters.

Do you support a joint list of Bayit Yehudi and Tekuma with Yachad of Eli Yishai and/or Otzma?

66.9% Yes, 22.6% Depends on each list, 6.6% No, 4% Undecided

What was the motive behind Bennett and Shaked leaving?

39.5% Ideology and personal gain, 28.8% Personal gain, 22.8% Ideology and values, 8.8% Don’t know

Note: More than a third of young Bayit Yehudi voters answered the motives were ideology and values.

Who should lead the Bayit Yehudi list?

40.4% Smotrich, 38.2% Someone new, 9.3% Ben Dahan, 6.3% Ariel, 5.9% Yogev

Midgam conducted a poll of 507 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Channel 13 that was published on Jan 5 2019.

Who should lead the Yamin HeHadash list in the next elections?

40% Don’t know, 33% Bennett, 27% Shaked

Was Avi Gabbai justified or not justified in breaking up his partnership with Tzipi Livni?

39% Justified, 36% Don’t know, 25% Not Justified

Should AG Avichai Mandelblit publicize his decision on an indictment pending a hearing against Prime Minister Netanyahu before the elections?

64% Yes, 22% No, 14% Don’t know

Do you support for ex IDF COS Gabi Ashekenazi joining politics before the election?

47% Yes, 34% No, 19% Don’t know

Shvakim Panorama conducted an internal poll for Yisrael Beitenu that was published on journalist Attila Somfalvi’s twitter feed on Jan 5 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid
08 [18] Labor
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
05 [10] Kulanu
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note: Internal poll won’t be used in the average..

Panels conducted a poll with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Jan 4 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
11 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [18] Labor
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – under threshold – 2.7%
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai) – 2.5%
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Question/Note

Who is better suited to be Prime Minister?

49% Netanyahu, 26% Gantz, 25% Don’t know

Note: The poll was presented as a scenario poll where people are asked to vote in the event Netanyahu is facing an indictment pending a hearing that will take place before the election.