Category: Knesset


Reshet Bet Radio Poll: Likud 31, Israel Resilience 15, Yesh Atid 11, Labor 9, HaYamin HeHadash 8

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January 24, 2019

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 945 people with a 3.5% margin of error for Reshet Bet Radio/Kan that was broadcast on Jan 24 2019. The polls was conducted on Jan 23 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Do you support or oppose the publication of the Attorney General’s decisions in the prime minister’s portfolios prior to the elections?

54% Support, 38% Oppose, 8% Don’t know/No Opinion

Note: 91.4% of Meretz, 91.3% of Livni Party and 89.7% of Labor voters support.

Note: 84.7% of Likud, 83.3% of Shas, 77.5% of Yisrael Beitenu and 75.8% of Bayit Yehudi voters oppose.

Who should lead the center-left bloc?

47% Don’t know/No opinion, 32% Gantz, 21% Lapid

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Midgam Poll: Likud 29, Yesh Atid 13, Israel Resilience 13, Labor 9, HaYamin HeHadash 7, UTJ 7

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January 23, 2019

Midgam conducted a poll of 508 people with a 4.4% margin of error for Army Radio that was broadcast on Jan 22 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: After Netanyahu is indicted

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [06] Livni Party
04 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Additional Questions:

Is it important or not important to you as a sign that the Attorney General will publish his decision regarding the prime minister before the elections?

66% Important, 24% Not important, 10% Don’t know

Do you think the prime minister is right or wrong, when he attacks the attorney general for his conduct regarding the investigations in his case?

57% Wrong, 27% Right, 16% Don’t know

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Week 3/4: Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls: Likud 31.5, Yesh Atid 13, Israel Resilience 12.3, Joint List-Taal 11.3, HaYamin HeHadash 8

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January 20, 2019

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 20th 2018.

PlacePartyWeek 3-4 AVGChangeWeek 2 AVGCurrent
1stLikud31.52.728.830
2ndYesh Atid130.312.711
3rdIsrael Resilience12.3-0.512.80
4thJoint List-Taal11.3-0.411.713
5thHaYamin HeHadash8-0.88.83
6thLabor7.8-0.48.218
7thUTJ6.80.16.76
8thMeretz5.2-0.35.55
9thKulanu5-0.55.510
10thShas5057
11thYisrael Beitenu4.70.24.55
12thGesher4.5-0.34.81
13thBayit Yehudi2.2-0.62.85
14thLivni20.51.56
15thOther0.700.70
Right-Religious63.8162.866
Center-Left-Arab56.2-157.254

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: Taal was polled separately from The Joint List in just two of the last seven polls. The two lists were averaged together for this week.

Note #3: This week’s average is based on the two polls that were conducted during week three and the five polls that were conducted during week four.

Note #4: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

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Channel 12 Scenario Poll: Likud 32, Lapid-Livni 17, Israel Resilience 12, Labor 8, HaYamin HeHadash 8; Rating of parties voters object to the most

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January 19, 2019

Midgam conducted a poll of 1007 people with a 3.1% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Jan 19 2019. The scenario poll of a Lapid-Livni list was conducted Jan 14-16.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Livni Party
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Is Gantz doing the right thing by not making his political views known?

44% No, 34% Don’t know, 22% Yes

Of the following parties – which one do you object to the most?

20% Meretz, 12% Shas, 12% Likud, 7% Yesh Atid, 5% UTJ,5% HaYamin HeHadash, 3% Labor, 3% Bayit Yehudi, 3% Livni Party

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103 FM & Maariv Polls

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Poll #1: Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Radio 103 FM that was broadcast on Jan 18 2019.

What are the considerations guiding the attorney general, which is expected to decide soon in the prime minister’s investigation files, are they professional considerations or not professional?

71% professional, 29% Non-professional

Is the gag order imposed this week on the new legal case being investigated by the police justified or unjustified?

58% unjustified, 42% Justified

Poll #2: Panels conducted a poll of 523 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Jan 18 2019.

Has the sexual bribery scandal that was exposed in recent days damaged your faith in the judicial system?

35% Great extent, 34% Certain extent, 13% Small extent, 11% Didn’t hear about scandal, 7% No extent

What is your level of confidence in the legal and justice system in Israel?

55% Low, 39% High, 6% No opinion

Note #1: 65% on the right, 42% on the center and 32% on the left answered low.

Note #2: 68% on the left, 53% on the center and 29% on the right answered high.

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