Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls
Current update: Sunday January 20th 2018.
| Place | Party | Week 3-4 AVG | Change | Week 2 AVG | Current |
| 1st | Likud | 31.5 | 2.7 | 28.8 | 30 |
| 2nd | Yesh Atid | 13 | 0.3 | 12.7 | 11 |
| 3rd | Israel Resilience | 12.3 | -0.5 | 12.8 | 0 |
| 4th | Joint List-Taal | 11.3 | -0.4 | 11.7 | 13 |
| 5th | HaYamin HeHadash | 8 | -0.8 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 6th | Labor | 7.8 | -0.4 | 8.2 | 18 |
| 7th | UTJ | 6.8 | 0.1 | 6.7 | 6 |
| 8th | Meretz | 5.2 | -0.3 | 5.5 | 5 |
| 9th | Kulanu | 5 | -0.5 | 5.5 | 10 |
| 10th | Shas | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 11th | Yisrael Beitenu | 4.7 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 5 |
| 12th | Gesher | 4.5 | -0.3 | 4.8 | 1 |
| 13th | Bayit Yehudi | 2.2 | -0.6 | 2.8 | 5 |
| 14th | Livni | 2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 6 |
| 15th | Other | 0.7 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Right-Religious | 63.8 | 1 | 62.8 | 66 | |
| Center-Left-Arab | 56.2 | -1 | 57.2 | 54 |
Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.
Note #2: Taal was polled separately from The Joint List in just two of the last seven polls. The two lists were averaged together for this week.
Note #3: This week’s average is based on the two polls that were conducted during week three and the five polls that were conducted during week four.
Note #4: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/
Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
The averages for parties at or near the threshold are misleading. When a party falls under the threshold, a lot of polls don’t bother saying what they would have gotten (1.8% or 2.9% or 2 seats or 3 seats or whatever), they just give them a zero. So when you average in those zeroes, it pulls them way downward.
This is a roundabout way of saying: there’s no way Habayit Hayehudi and Livni are averaging two seats. This needs to be fixed.
I’ll refer you back to note #1
Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.
Ah – I think I misunderstood “currently polling below the threshold”. Is that in all polls or in any given poll? As in, did you reduce them to 0 even when a poll explicitly gave them an under-threshold seat count (or a percentage count)?
Either way, it’s still problematic in my opinion because it skews the average very badly.