Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Radio 103FM on Jan 11 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
13 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

00 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
00 [03] Telem (Yaalon)e
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
00 [00] New Economic (Zelekha)
00 [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
00 [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Scenario Poll: New Hope + Yamina + Yesh Atid + Yisrael Beitenu

42 [29] New Hope + Yamina + Yesh Atid + Yisrael Beitenu
30 [35] Likud

Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 687 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on Jan 8 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
16 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
05 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.3% [00] New Economic (Zelekha)
1.2% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
1.1% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)

Under 1%

0.9% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.4% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Scenario Poll: Ehud Barak as leader of Labor

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [03] New Hope (Saar)
15 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
12 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
09 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
05 [03] Labor (Barak)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
04 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited for the position of Prime Minister?

37% Netanyahu, 18% Don’t know, 17% Saar, 12% Lapid, 11% Bennett, 5% Gantz

In a one-on-one matchup of Netanyahu vs Saar?

42% Netanyahu, 36% Saar, 15% Neither, 7% Don’t know

Who is at fault for the third lockdown?

54% Government, 38% Public, 8% Don’t know

Will you listen to all of the lockdown rules?

62% Yes, 28% Most, 6% Some, 4% No

Will you get vaccinated?

31% Yes, 19% Yes but not this month, 20% Yes but not in the near future, 17% Already did, 13% No

Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4% margin of error that was published by the Jerusalem Post on Jan 8 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
18 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.5% [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
1.9% [00] New Economic (Zelekha)
1.4% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
1.0% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)

Under 1%

0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Scenario Poll A: Bennett & Smotrich Split

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [02] Smotrich Party
04 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)

Scenario Poll B: Bennett & Saar merge + Huldai & Lapid Merge

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
29 [08] New Hope (Saar+Bennett)
22 [19] Yesh Atid – The Israelis (Lapid+Huldai)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Panels conducted a poll of 527 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Maariv on Jan 8 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
14 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
1.7% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.3% [00] New Economic (Zelekha)
0.5% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.3% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0.3% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Additional Questions:

Could what happened in Washington DC happen in Israel?

56% Yes, 32% No, 12% Don’t know

Right: 47% Yes, 39% No, 14% Don’t know
Center-Left: 77% Yes, 16% No, 7% Don’t know

If it does happen which side of the political map would be responsible for it?

44% Right, 34% Left, 22% Don’t know

Right voters: 48% Left, 28% Right, 24% Don’t know
Center-Left: 77% Right, 17% Don’t know, 6% Left

Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on Jan 5 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
13 [18] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
05 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [–] New Economy (Zalika)
1.5% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0.8% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.3% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0.1% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Scenario Poll: Bennett & Smotrich split

26 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
16 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
13 [18] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
05 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.3% [02] Smotrich Party

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

27% Netanyahu, 16% Saar, 14% None, 14% Lapid, 13% Bennett, 10% Don’t know, 6% Gantz

Panels conducted a poll of 531 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published by Maariv on Jan 1 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
13 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.6% [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
1.1% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0.4% [00] Ofer Shelach Party
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Panels conducted a poll of 531 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was broadcast by Radio 103 FM on Dec 30 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
12 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
12 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [00] Ofer Shelach Party
0 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 601 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on Dec 30 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
12 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
09 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0 [00] Ofer Shelach Party
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

*Likud won 36 seats including Kulanu (1 seat) that merged into New Hope.
*Blue and White won 33 seats and split into many parties.
*Labor-Gesher-Meretz won 7 seats before splitting into three.
*Yamina won 6 seats including Bayit Yehudi (1 seat) that split off.
*New Hope icludes Kulanu & Derech Eretz MKs.

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

38% Netanyahu, 18% Saar, 12% Lapid, 9% Bennett, 4% Gantz

Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on Dec 30 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
12 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.2% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0.8% [00] Ofer Shelach Party
0.4% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0.0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

*Likud won 36 seats including Kulanu (1 seat) that merged into New Hope.
*Blue and White won 33 seats and split into many parties.
*Labor-Gesher-Meretz won 7 seats before splitting into three.
*Yamina won 6 seats including Bayit Yehudi (1 seat) that split off.
*New Hope icludes Kulanu & Derech Eretz MKs.

Scenario Poll: Lapid-Huldai Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [18] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid&Huldai)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

41% Neither, 37% Netanyahu, 17% Gantz
39% Neither, 33% Netanyahu, 23% Bennett
38% Netanyahu, 35% Neither, 22% Lapid
37% Netanyahu, 35% Neither, 22% Huldai
34% Netanyahu, 32% Saar, 28% Neither

Kantar conducted a poll of 563 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on Dec 30 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
13 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0 [00] Ofer Shelach Party

*Likud won 36 seats including Kulanu (1 seat) that merged into New Hope.
*Blue and White won 33 seats and split into many parties.
*Labor-Gesher-Meretz won 7 seats before splitting into three.
*Yamina won 6 seats including Bayit Yehudi (1 seat) that split off.
*New Hope icludes Kulanu & Derech Eretz MKs.

Scenario Poll A: Bennett runs without Smotrich. Smotrich runs with Otzma.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [03] New Hope (Saar)
15 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0 [02] Smotrich + Otzma Party
0 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [00] Ofer Shelach Party

Scenario Poll B: Lapid-Huldai Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
21 [18] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid&Huldai)
19 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
04 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
0 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0 [00] Ofer Shelach Party

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

41% Netanyahu, 33% Saar, 26% Don’t know