Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 503 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by 103 FM on June 12 2020. The poll was conducted Jun 10-11.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
13 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
05 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

02 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Blocs:

64 [59] Right Bloc
49 [54] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu

or

71 [73] Current Coalition
49 [47] Current Opposition

Additional Questions:

Do you support the application of Israeli sovereignty to the settlements of Judea and Samaria?

67% Yes, 33% No

Are you concerned about a wave of Palestinian violence post-annexation?

68% Yes, 32% No

Midgam conducted a poll of 509 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by N12 on June 8 2020. The poll was conducted the same day.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

40 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
14 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
12 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0.5% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.4% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0.4% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Blocs:

64 [59] Right Bloc
47 [54] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
09 [07] Yisrael Beitenu

or

68 [73] Current Coalition
52 [47] Current Opposition

Scenario Poll: Theoretical Shulman Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

38 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
13 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
11 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)
05 [–] Shulman Party (Private Sector Advocates)

Additional Questions:

Do you support the application of sovereignty over 30% of Judea and Samaria as part of the Trump Plan that lead to negotiations that will create a Palestinian State?

46% No, 34% Yes, 20% Don’t know

Right: 41% Yes, 39% No, 20% Don’t know
Center-Left: 56% No, 24% Yes, 20% Don’t know

What is the most important mission of the next government?

69% Combat economic crisis, 15% Fighting coronavirus, 6% Don’t know, 5% Annexation of settlements in Judea & Samaria, 4% Struggle against Iran

Right: 68% Economy, 14% Corona, 8% Annexation, 6% Iran, 4% Don’t know
Center-Left: 77% Economy, 15% Corona, 4% Don’t know, 2% Annexation, 2% Iran

Panels conducted a poll of 527 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by 103 FM Radio on May 27 2020. The poll was conducted on May 26.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
14 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
12 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.5% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
1.3% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.9% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)

Blocs:

67 [59] Right Bloc
47 [54] Center-Left-Arab Bloc
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu

or

70 [73] Current Coalition
50 [47] Current Opposition

Additional Question:

Do you agree or disagree with the argument that elements in the law enforcement system set up the Prime Minister from political motives as the Prime Minister suggests?

47% Disagree, 42% Agree, 11% Don’t know

Likud voters: 79% Agree, 12% Disagree, 9% Don’t know

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 837 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published on April 30 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [18] Blue & White/Israel Resilience + Labor (Gantz)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
11 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
05 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.0% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
1.8% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.8% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Blocs:

65 [59] Netanyahu Bloc
55 [61] Anti-Netanyahu Bloc

or

81 [79] Predicted New Coalition
39 [41] Predicted New Opposition

Additional Questions:

Do you prefer unity government or new elections?

58.6% Unity government, 30.3% New elections, 11.1% Don’t know

Who is most suited to serve as Health Minister?

44.2% Professional doctor, 35.7% Bennett, 8% None of the above, 6.4% Ashkenazi, 5.7% Erdan

Who is responsible for the unity government?

36.4% Netanyahu, 30.2% Gantz, 17.7% MKs Hendel & Hauser, 10.1% Other/Don’t know, 5.6% Rivlin

Should Supreme Court intervene on the legislative changes, rotation and coalition agreement?

40% No, 33% Yes, 6% Don’t know

Right: 93% No, 7% Yes
Center-Right: 75% No, 20% Yes, 5% Don’t know
Center: 50% Yes, 40% No, 9% Don’t know
Center-Left: 67% Yes, 24% No, 9% Don’t know
Left: 72% Yes, 16% Don’t know, 12% Yes

What do you think of government decisions during the Coronavirus Crisis?

63.5% Correct decisions, 26.3% Too severe, 7% Too weak, 3.2% Don’t know

Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4% margin of error that was published on April 23 2020. The poll was conducted April 22-23.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [18] Blue & White/Israel Resilience + Labor (Gantz)
16 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
11 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0.4% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.4% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0.4% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Blocs:

65 [59] Netanyahu Bloc
55 [61] Anti-Netanyahu Bloc

Additional Questions:

Does the Likud-Blue & White coalition deal harm Israel’s democracy?

48% No, 32% Yes, 20% Don’t know

Blue & White-Labor voters: 50% No, 30% Yes, 20% Don’t know
Yesh Atid-Telem voters: 77% Yes
Likud voters: 66% No

Do you prefer a national unity emergency government as outlined in the coalition deal or 4th elections?

69% National unity government, 17% 4th elections, 14% Don’t know

Blue & White-Labor voters: 85% National unity government
Yesh Atid-Telem voters: 47% 4th elections

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by Channel 12 on April 13th 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

40 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
10 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.4% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
1.4% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
1.1% [03] Labor (Peretz)

Blocs:

64 [59] Netanyahu Bloc
56 [61] Anti-Netanyahu Bloc

Additional Question:

Are you satisfied or not satisfied with how the government has dealt with the Coronavirus crisis?

64% Satisfied, 33% Not Satisfied, 3% Don’t know

Right: 77% Satisfied, 21% Not Satisfied, 2% Don’t know
Center-Left: 52% Not Satisfied, 45% Satisfied, 3% Don’t know

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 815 people with a 4.2% margin of error that was published on April 12th 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

38 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [18] Blue & White/Israel Resilience+Labor (Gantz)
15 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
14 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
05 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.85% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)
0.93% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.60% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

*MK Michaeli is currently in Labor, but opposes joining Blue & White.

Additional Questions:

Approval rating on handling coronavirus crisis:

Health Ministry DG Simantov: 57.1%
Prime Minister Netanyahu: 55.8%
Defense Minister Bennett: 46.6%
Finance Ministry DG Babad: 32.8%
Interior Minister Deri: 25.8%
Health Minister Litzman: 19.3%

What motivates Netanyahu’s handling of Corona Crisis?

55.8% Responsibility, 41.8% Political, 2.4% Don’t know

What do you think of Rivlin & Netanyahu decision to invite their children for Seder Night?

55.2% Don’t approve, 36.8% Approve, 8% No opinion

Smith conducted a poll that was published by The Jerusalem Post on April 8th 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

42 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [15] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
16 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [03] Meretz-Democratic Union (Horovitz)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.2% [03] Labor (A.Peretz)
0.9% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.3% [02] Derech Eretz (Hendel & Hauser)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

82 [79] Future Netanyahu-Gantz Coalition
38 [41] Future Opposition

Note: 2020 Blue & White voters split as follows – 47% stayed with Gantz, 22% are now with Lapid.

*MK Michaeli is currently in Labor, but opposes joining coalition.

Additional Questions:

Are you satisfied with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s handling of the crisis over the coronavirus?

68% Yes, 30% No, 2% Don’t know

Likud voters: 95% Yes

Are you satisfied with Defense Minister Bennett’s handling of the crisis over the coronavirus?

65% Yes, 27% No, 8% Don’t know

Are you satisfied with Health Minister Litzman’s handling of the crisis over the coronavirus?

69% No, 28% Yes, 3% Don’t know

Haredi voters: 87% Yes
Secular voters: 87% No

Smith conducted a poll of 700 people that was published on April 2nd 2020. The poll was conducted on April 1st 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
20 [17] Blue & White – Derech Eretz (Gantz & Ashkenazi)
16 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid & Yaalon)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
06 [06] Labor-Meretz (A.Peretz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

?% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
?% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

83 [76] Future Netanyahu-Gantz Coalition
37 [44] Future Opposition

Note: 2020 Blue & White voters split as follows – 47% stayed with Gantz, 22% are now with Lapid.

Smith conducted a poll of 700 people that was published on March 30 2020. The poll was conducted after the official split of Gantz & Lapid

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

40 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)
16 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
15 [17] Blue & White – Derech Eretz (Gantz & Ashkenazi)
11 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid & Yaalon)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [06] Labor-Meretz (A.Peretz)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [06] Yamina (Bennett)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

?% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
?% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

78 [76] Future Netanyahu-Gantz Coalition
42 [44] Future Opposition

Note: Blue & White voters split as follows – 34% stayed with Gantz, 25% left with Lapid, 14% Don’t know and 10% to Labor-Meretz.