Panels conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Walla on Feb 3 2021.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [16] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
15 [03] New Hope (Saar)
12 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [02] Labor (Michaeli)
05 [04] Meretz (Horovitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.2% [00] Otzma + Noam (Ben Gvir)
1.9% [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
2.0% [02] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)
Under 1%
0.9% [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
0.8% [00] New Economy (Zalika)
0.4% [01] Bayit Yehudi (Moshe)
0% [00] Green Leaf
0% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)
0% [00] Democratic Party
0% [00] Tzomet (Green)
0% [00] Am Shalem (Amsalam)
Additional Question:
Are you satisfied with government conduct of corona regarding the Haredi community?
80% No, 16% Yes, 4% Don’t know
Haredi community: 53% No, 37% Yes, 10% Don’t know
Likud Can Add Smotrich And Hagit Moshe To Their List At Guaranteed Slots, Then A Smotrich Ally At ~ # 38, And An H. Moshe Ally At ~ # 40, Or So. Unfortunately Otzmah-Noam Would Have To Run Alone. I Say That With A Heavy Heart, Because The Prime Minister Doesn’t Like His Supporters To Offend Even Slightly Either His Current Or His Would Be Allies. That Is Not The Intention Here.
Naftali Bennet And Ayelet Shakid Have Accomplished What They Foresought A Couple Of Years Ago. Still, Humility Would Be An Asset, Especially If “New Right” Only Garners ~7 Seats.
OK, Good. It Is Almost Final, The Religious Zionist Parties: Tkuma, Bayit Yehudi, And Otzmah-Noam Will Run On The Same List. Right Now They Are Polling Well Below The Threshold; But That Could Change With Help From The Prime Minister, As Well As Viable Campaign Strategy And Application By The New List; And Some Luck.
Im not sure where you are getting your info from but it seems that it’s either lies or outdated.
bayit hayehudi is not in yet, they easily pass the threshold w/o them, and the prime minister isn’t going to help them. because its the only list that semi-accurately represents the religious Zionists they will do quite fine…
You Are Right Moe, Bayit Yehudi Is Not In Yet; But They Will Be. That Is Why I Wrote: “It Is ALMOST Final.”
The Prime Minister Has Already Committed That His Campaign Will Not Seek To Peel Religious Zionist Votes Away From Their List Towards Likud. In Two Of The Previous Three Elections, Likud Peeled Away Substantial Sum Of These Votes, That Is When They Ran With “New Right.” In The Previous Election When They Ran Separate From “New Right,” The Prime Minister Made The Same Commitment, And Helped Them Pass The Threshold With 5 Seats; “New Right” Then Failed To Pass The Threshold By Mere Few Votes. But In Those Elections Likud Tied With Kahol/Lavan At 35 Seats, Even Though They Had More Votes. This Time Around Likud Has No Competitor For Largest Party, Which Will Make Things Easier. That Is What I Meant By; “With Help From The Prime Minister.”
You Write: “its the only list that semi-accurately represents the religious Zionists”. Very Well Put, And I Could Not Agree With You More. I Will Add, I Hope they will do quite fine…
Additionally Moe, The Concessions Likud And The Prime Minister Made To Help The Formation Of The Religious Zionist List, Could Be Considered Help. Some Of It Is Similar To What I Wrote In The Previous Comments. Other Things I Wrote, Are Now Outdated By About A Day Or So.
As For Polls, They Become Outdated Shortly After They are Published.
Well, Obviously I Jumped The Gone By Saying Bayit Yehudi Will Join “The Religious Zionists” List.