Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 506 people that was published by Yisrael Hayom & broadcast by I24NEWS on February 21 2020.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
36 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others
Phase 2 Recommendations:
57 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.
Additional Questions:
Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?
45% Netanyahu, 35% Gantz, 20% Don’t know
Do you want to see a Prime Minister Debate?
50% Yes, 37% Don’t care, 13% No
Do the Ashkenazi tapes influence your vote?
70% No, 20% Don’t know, 9% Yes but I will still vote the same, 1% Yes I will change my vote
Will you vote?
62% Yes, 24% Probably, 11% Probably not, 3% Maybe
Yes by Party: 85% Labor-Gesher-Meretz, 78% Shas, 76% UTJ, 75% Otzma, 75% Blue and White, 65% Likud, 63% Yisrael Beitenu, 59% Joint List, 50% Yamina
One thing that we must remember is that Netanyahu is a master at elections. He has amazingly talented aids. He has just pulled off some cute shtick (i’m not saying he’s not speaking the truth) regarding stepping down after this term. Already the polls show him with more seats than Gantz…
We can only hope that this election will conclude successfully and with results that benefit the whole Israel population at large.
I hope you’re right, but he did fail the last two times… And his attempt to increase right-wing turnout backfired last time..
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In any case, as Jeremy seems to be busy, I guess I should point out that there are six new polls on Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2020_Israeli_legislative_election
Most, as Moe says, show Likud becoming the bigger party, though still short of a majority with the current coalition.