Panels conducted a poll of 537 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Marriv on January 31 2020.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
36 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
07 [07] Yamina (Bennett)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
00 [00] All Others
Phase 2 Recommendations:
56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.
Additional Questions:
Do you support the Trump Plan?
40% Good for Israel, 27% Good for both sides, 16% Bad for Israel, 14% Bad for Palestinians, 3% Good for Palestinians
Can Netanyahu remain PM?
53% No, 39% Yes, 8% Don’t know
Annex before elections?
46% Yes, 31% No, 23% Don’t know
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
What would happen if there is another stalemate.
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More elections. Until one party’s voters wise up.
The animosity between Likud and Kahol Lavan is sad given how close the two parties are in policy positions. It seems to be a matter of how much to annex and the Nation State law, which Kahol Lavan opposes to support our Druze soldiers. Also, how much influence the religious parties should have. This is crazy. Lieberman has sat with them before. The real divide is Bibi. Sad that we are having so many elections because of a personality issue.
agreed. its similar to the situation in the US where most democrats oppose trump even when he does something positive.
The way to succeed in a democracy is to act the way the people want you to and not just act to fill your ego. not one person wants another election but the politicians just can’t seem to understand that they themselves are the impediment to a functioning government…
Prediction: This time they will make the marriage, with a strong coalition of Likud + Kahol Lavan + Yisrael Beitenu = 77 seats. KL’s acceptance of the Deal of the Century means that they will not get any Joint List recommendations for Ganz, or Joint List support for a blocking majority — and KL knows it. KL’s only chance is to form a coalition with Likud. They can’t get there with Labor/Meretz and YB.
Initially, it will look like the Joint List is the opposition, but some combination of Shas, United Torah Judaism and Yamina will join together to prevent that from happening. So, the outcome will be a secular Right to Center-Right government with a religious Right Wing Opposition. Labor/Meretz and the Joint List will be out in the cold.
Who do you think will be prime minister? netanyahu or ganz?
i think this question will break any such coalition…
I believe that Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister, likely with a rotation agreement allowing Ganz to get it in two years. Netanyahu is in a much stronger position. He will have more recommendations (56, as opposed to 44 for Ganz) and Ganz knows he has absolutely zero chance of being in the government without Likud. (Even his “blocking majority” is gone now.) By contrast, Netanyahu could, at least in theory, get there with his usual coalition plus YB.
Netanyahu could also potentially get in if lightning strikes and Otzma actually crosses the threshold and the right winds up with 61. If that were to happen, Netanyahu would really be in the catbird seat and could dictate terms to KL, if he didn’t want to lead with only a slender right-wing majority.
Why should Likud turns its back on its religious and right-wing allies? It won’t if it’s thinking long-term.
won’t happen , Liberman will be the one out in the cold. note a very significant poll of a year ago which noted that fully 1/3rd of Likud voters had Shas as a second choice. This matters for Likud’s future
Wow the Labor Gesher Meretz bloc is really underperforming in the polls. More and more their policy seems like a relic of a distant time
Maybe Otzma should join them, then both of them may possibly pass the threshold 😉