Kantar conducted a poll of 559 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on December 15 2019. The poll was conducted on Dec 15.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
31 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
06 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
05 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
Phase 2 Recommendations:
59 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
53 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.
Scenario Poll: Saar leading Likud
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
34 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
27 [32] Likud (Saar)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
10 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
05 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)
04 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
Phase 2 Recommendations:
57 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
Additional Questions:
For Right-Religious voters:
Do you support taking apart the right wing bloc after the elections?
52% No, 32% Don’t know, 16% Yes
For Center-Left-Arab voters:
Should Gantz have formed a government with the Joint List to avoid elections?
54% Yes, 28% No, 18% Don’t know
*Correction: The above question was originally presented as a question directed at all Israelis as it was when it was originally aired on television. Pollster & Analyst Dahlia Scheindlin pointed out to me the correction made by Kantar that indeed that question was only for the Center-Left-Arab bloc of voters.
Was the “Should Gantz have formed a government with the Joint List to avoid elections?” question also just for Right voters? Sounds unreasonable
4th elections, here we come. Then 5th…
We have to keep at this until we get this right……..or left😀