Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 481 people with a 4.1% margin of error that was published by Maariv on November 28 2019. The poll was conducted the same day. The following day the poll was broadcast on 103 FM with additional information.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
04 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
04 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
Phase 2 Recommendations:
56 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.
Scenario Poll: Saar leading Likud
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
33 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
28 [32] Likud (Saar)
14 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
12 [03] HaYamin HeHadash (Bennett)
11 [09] Shas (Deri)
09 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
09 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
04 [06] Labor (A.Peretz)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
00 [05] Democratic Union (Horowitz)
00 [04] United Right List (R.Peretz)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
Phase 2 Recommendations:
60 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
51 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
09 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.
Additional Question:
What should Netanyahu do?
43% Resign, 35% Stay on, 12% Recuse himself , 10% Don’t know
Why do the polls keep on giving Bennet so many MK’s while he failed royally 2 elections ago and only holds 3 now?
Bayit HaYehudi has a base that is not wishy washy. Their religious convictions push them to vote for them. Bennet can swing any which way based on the side of the bed his voters wake up at the morning of the election.
Because at this point nobody gives a shit about Bayit Yehudi beyond their hardcore supporters… They’re pathetic establishment-supporters like Peretz, a disgusting creature who willingly took part in the expulsion of his fellow Jews. Bennet on the other hand, while not perfect, has shown that even when he doesn’t have much leverage, he can get shit down.