Channel 13 Poll: Blue & White 32, Likud 31, Joint List 11, Yamina 9, Yisrael Beitenu 9

Filed under: Knesset, Polls — 2 Comments

September 11, 2019

Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 831 people with a margin of error of 3.9% that was broadcast by Channel 13 on September 10 2019. The poll was conducted on September 10.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
04 [–-] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Question:

Will cameras influence the behavior of voters on election day?

51% Yes, 35% No, 14% Don’t know

Jews: 52% Yes, 32% No, 16% Don’t know
Non-Jews: 51% No, 43% Yes, 6% Don’t know

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2 Comments:

Judah

September 11, 2019 at 4:14 pm

I would state with great confidence that Shas will get more then 6 seats and almost certainly 1 more than UTJ and with similar confidence that Likud will get at least 2 seats more than B&W. Otzma is the big fake in these polls and the rights Achilles heel.

Reply
Daven

September 11, 2019 at 6:21 pm

That’s four polls with Otzma passing the threshold?

Jeremy, do you think this is accurate?

Reply

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