Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a margin of error of 4% that was published by Maariv & broadcast by 103 FM on Aug 23 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.2% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.4% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
Phase 2 Recommendations:
57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)
There has not been any moves (within MOE) in the polls. It is all static. Almost no point publishing them.
Thanks so much for your fine work in posting polls.
I refer to your site frequently but I often wonder about a few things.
A) what are the more accurate polls vs less accurate. I read that some polls are via cellphone only, others land line only and some by internet. I imagine some are better than others.
B) can you opine on the general accuracy of your “average of polls”. I note that in the last two elections that Likud did better that the projections but the overall predictions for blocs (left vs right) have been pretty accurate in past elections. Is this true?
C) do you expect to see a lot of shifting in the polls as we approach election day? Are polls taken, say 8 or 4 weeks from elections substantially less accurate then those taken in the few days leading up to the election?