Direct Polls conducted a poll of 512 people with a margin of error of 4.1% that was published by Makor Rishon on Aug 15 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
29 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
2.3% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.6% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
Phase 2 Recommendations:
58 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
While everyone in the US is focused on the US political results of the current visa kerfuffle in the US, I was wondering on the effect on the Israeli elections.
Given the attention paid in Israel to the importance of appeasing the US, the anti-netanyahu bias of much of the Israeli media, and the extreme anti-has bias of the same, I was wondering if this could hut those parties in the short or long run (the latter affecting the coalition). Of course, its s possible that within the set of possible Shas/Likud voters, the result would be positive.
The whole thing is ironic, as Shas is basically a party of Jews of Color, who were persecuted first by AOC’s group (in Spain), then by Tlib’s (in Islam). But Jews, it appears, are now honorary white oppressors, just as Arabs are honorary non-white victims.
Wish this thing has an edit button. “has” should be Shas, “hut” should be hurt.
Shas are courting the mizrahi section of the sephardic Jews, by far its largest section who are mostly from the middle east and north africa, very few S&P jews here. As for color, yes a beautiful natural tan, no make up needed.
Right wing voters that want to prevent a unity government (and a dangerous Trump plan) need to vote for Otzma and New Right. Only strong smaller right wing parties with a weakened Likud can keep BlueWhite and Lieberman out. I wonder if the voters will get it or if Netenyahu’s tactics will once again drive small right wing party votes to Likud.
They are not gong to get in , they are wasting votes, if you have any pull tell them to stop being silly and vote for Likud or Yamina
Another Result Of This Poll, Once All Votes Are Counted:
61 Seats For Right Wing Coalition (Likud, YamIna, Shas, And UTJ.)
59 Seats For The Rest (Kahol/lavan, Joint List, Y.B., Democratic Union, And Labor.)
I Have a Question: Some Informal Surveys Are Constantly Giving Shas 9-11 Seats, Pulling Votes From Democratic Union And Kahol/Lavan. Any Merits To That?
I doubt if Shas could get that number of seats without the pull of Rav Ovadia and the recommendation of Eli Yeshai
Interesting poll- thanks Jeremy for sharing. My thoughts- The Left-Arab block has gone down to seats as has the Rightwing block (compared to the first election this year) and Yisrael beitenu has taken those seats to grow from 5 to 9 seats. Indeed that is the crux of this election, Lieberman has forced elections to grow his party and his bargaining power. He can make a deal with the Haredim, ensure he is Defence minister- with less limitations on power. On a different note- if Zehut and Otzma had united they would attract more than enough votes to cross the threshold and ensure a Right wing majority of 62-63 seats (without lieberman). Would Feiglin abandon his personal ambition (as the smaller party) and urge his voters to vote Otzma???
two not “to”
Or right wing voters could just vote for Likud or Yamina and not get the massive liability that Otzma is.