Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 1002 people with a 3.1% margin of error that was first published by Yisrael HaYom on April 5 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
27 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
10 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
08 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
06 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
00 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
00 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
Under 1%:
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others
64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Additional Questions:
Who will form the next government?
52% Netanyahu, 27% Gantz, 21% Don’t know
Who do you usually vote for?
28% Don’t know, 27% Center, 26% Right, 19% Left
How would you define the current election campaign?
69% Dirty, 14% Violent, 12% Fair, 5% Suitable
What is the main factor that influences your vote?
31% Party platform, 26% Party leader, 17% Other answers, 16% MK list, 6% My family, 4% Past voting pattern
Do you support a national unity government?
46% No, 31% Yes, 33% Don’t know
Level of confidence that voter will not change their vote:
77% Labor, 76% United Right List, 72% Blue & White, 71% UTJ, 70% Likud, 64% Yisrael Beitenu, 63% HaYamin HeHadash, 63% Shas, 60% Kulanu, 54% Zehut, 50% Balad-Raam, 48% Meretz, 47% Hadash-Taal
On the following issues, who do you think will do a better job?
Security: 40% Netanyahu, 40% Gantz, 20% Don’t know
Economy: 40% Netanyahu, 36% Gantz, 24% Don’t know
Social: 45% Gantz, 28% Don’t know, 27% Netanyahu
These polls are all over the place.
Martin Indyk mindyk@cfr.org +12024132364 (m) ________________________________
a lot of rubbish on this poll , neither meretz nor utj will get 8 seats
Nobody believes that UTJ will get 8 seats however what is your opinion of them possibly coming out ahead of Shass. IMHO both will receive 6 seats.
As always I suggest we not read too much into any single poll and that we wait for the final average.