Panel Project HaMidgam conducted a poll 856 people with a 3.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on April 2 2019.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)
28 [11] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
14 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
06 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
06 [06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
05 [08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
2.9% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
2.2% [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
Under 1%:
00 [01] Tzomet (Oren Hazan)
00 [–-] Magen (Gal Hirsch) and others
62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition-Y.B
Additional Questions:
Who is more suited to be Prime Minister?
46% Netanyahu, 37% Gantz, 17% Don’t know
Will Gantz join a government led by Netanyahu?
54% Yes, 34% Don’t know, 22% No
If the rotation between Gantz & Lapid is cancelled will it change your decision to vote for Blue & White?
56% No change, 24% Increase chance, 14% Don’t know, 6% Decrease chance
the jump for labor means this is a rogue poll, IGNORE, no events justify it
It will be sad, if Orly Levy and Yisrael Beitenu would fall under the electoral threshold, although ironic (as Lieberman proposed to raise it, and Orly Levy left his party to form her own).
If this happens, it would be mean many right-wing votes would be lost, and more votes for the left.
And how on earth do Meretz still win seats? (Enough insane, anti-Israel leftists still exist in Israel, to give them 5 seats?)
Obviously some of these Meretz are the thousands of radical political activists New Israel Fund employs in the country.
This poll looks like an outlier. Labor at 14? They have never been that high in any poll in recent memory. This makes no sense at all.
Raam Balad at 5? Maybe, if Hadash-Taal voters want to make sure that R-B passes the threshold, but it is odd to see them up at 5, when they frequently miss the threshold. Or perhaps US recognition of Israel’s sovereignty over the Golan has hardened attitudes in the Arab sector?