Smith conducted a poll of 450 people that meet the standard of a representative sample of those who define their political worldview as very right, right and center-right within the Jewish sector. The poll was conducted on August 6, 2017, published by Israel National News on August 9, and has a margin of error of 4.6%.
How do you define yourself politically?
Right 53%, Very Right 22%, Center Right 25%
Who did you vote for in 2015?
Likud 46%. Bayit Yehudi 16%, Shas, UTJ or Yachad 14%, Didn’t vote 9%, Kulanu 8%, Zionist Union or Yesh Atid 8%, Yisrael Beitenu 7%, Meretz, Joint List and Other parties 1%
Which of the following personalities do you consider the most idealist?
Naftali Bennett 39%, Other or No opinion 14%, Gideon Sa’ar 12%, Avigdor Lieberman 11%, Gilad Erdan 8%, Israel Katz 8%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 8%
Note #1: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: Male (42%), Female (36%), 18-34 (46%), 35-54 (43%), 55+ (31%), Haredi (27%), National Religious (58%), Traditional (35%), Secular (33%), Very right (44%), Right (41%), Center-Right (31%), Likud voters (36%), Zionist Union + Yesh Atid voters (27%), Kulanu (31%), Bayit Yehudi (73%) and Haredi parties (27%).
Note #2: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 43%.
Who of the following personalities is most loyal to the Land of Israel?
Naftali Bennett 48%, Other or no opinion 12%, Avigdor Lieberman 11%, Gideon Sa’ar 9%, Gilad Erdan 8%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 7%, Israel Katz 5%
Note #3: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: Male (54%), Female (41%), 18-34 (61%), 35-54 (50%), 55+ (35%), Haredi (51%), National Religious (58%), Traditional (47%), Secular (39%), Very right (49%), Right (50%), Center-Right (42%), Likud (46%), Zionist Union + Yesh Atid (36%), Kulanu (41%), Bayit Yehudi (75%) and Haredi parties (45%).
Note #4: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 39%.
Which of the following figures best reflects the values of the right?
Naftali Bennett 45%, Avigdor Lieberman 15%, Other or no opinion 10%, Gideon Sa’ar 9%, Gilad Erdan 9%, Israel Katz 8%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 4%
Note #5: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 50% Male, 41% Female. 58% 18-34, 42% 35-54. 40% 55+. 47% Haredi. 63% National Religious. 41% Traditional. 36% Secular. 48% Very Right. 44% Right. 46% Center-Right. 40% Likud. 42% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid. 45% Kulanu. 66% Bayit Yehudi and 44% Haredi Parties.
Note #6: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 48%.
Who of the following personalities will stand the strongest against Arab terrorism?
Naftali Bennett 33%, Avigdor Lieberman 27%, Other or No opinion 15%, Gilad Erdan 9%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 7%, Gideon Sa’ar 5%, Israel Katz 4%
Note #7: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 39% Male, 36% 18-34, 39% 35-54, 39% Haredi, 53% National Religious, 44% Very Right, 33% Right, 30% Likud, 31% Kulanu, 58% Bayit Yehudi and 36% Haredi Parties.
Note #8: Liberman leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 34% Female, 28% 55+, 32% Traditional, 37% Secular, 30% Center-Right, 36% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid and 65% Yisrael Beitenu voters.
Who of the following personalities will best protect a united Jerusalem?
Naftali Bennett 60%, Avigdor Lieberman 11%, Other or no opinion 10%, Gilad Erdan 6%, Gideon Sa’ar 5%, Israel Katz 5%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 3%
Note #9: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 65% Male, 54% Female, 67% 18-34, 60% 35-54, 55% 55+, 55% Haredi, 67% National Religious, 55% Traditional, 61% Secular, 62% Very Right, 58% Right, 63% Center-Right, 60% Likud, 61% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid, 55% Kulanu, 76% Bayit Yehudi and 53% Haredi Parties
Note #10: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 43%.
On the day after Netanyahu who should be the leader of the right?
Naftali Bennett 26%, Gideon Sa’ar 20%, Other or no opinion 16%, Gilad Erdan 13%, Israel Katz 12%, Avigdor Lieberman 8%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 5%
Note #11: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 22% Male, 30% Female, 33% 18-34, 26% 35-54, 47% National Religious, 24% Traditional, 34% Very Right, 28% Right, 21% Likud and 58% Bayit Yehudi.
Note #12: Saar leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 25% 55+, 35% Haredi, 31% Center-Right, 39% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid and 29% Haredi Parties.
Note #13: Katz leads among (20%) Secular and (31%) Kulanu voters.
Note #14: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 30%.
Of the following three people, on the day after Netanyahu, who should be the leader of the right?
Naftali Bennett 37%, Gideon Sa’ar 36%, Other or No opinion 14%, Avigdor Lieberman 13%
Note #15: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 40% Female, 45% 18-34, 38% 35-54, 57% National Religious, 47% Very Right, 40% Right and 66% Bayit Yehudi.
Note #16: Saar leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 40% Male, 44% 55+, 51% Haredi, 36% Secular, 56% Center-Right, 38% Likud, 45% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid, 45% Kulanu and 44% Haredi Parties.
Note #17: Bennett and Saar tied with traditional voters with 35%.
Note #18: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 61%.
Note #19: From previous question, 93% of Saar voters stayed with him, 90% of Bennett voters stayed and 82% of Liberman voters stayed. 46% of Katz voters and 41% of Yaalon voters went with Saar and 42% of Erdan voters went with Bennett.
On the day after Netanyahu, which of the following figures should be the right-wing candidate for prime minister?
Naftali Bennett 26%, Gideon Sa’ar 24%, Other or No opinion 11%, Israel Katz 11%, Gilad Erdan 10%, Avigdor Lieberman 9%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 9%
Note #20: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 27% Female, 30% 18-34. 28% 35-54, 43% National Religious, 23% Traditional, 38% Very Right, 27% Right and 56% Bayit Yehudi.
Note #21: Saar leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 29% 55+, 35% Haredi, 21% Secular, 32% Center-Right, 21% Likud, 39% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid and 38% Haredi Parties.
Note #21: Bennett and Saar tied with male voters with 24%.
Note #22: Katz leads among Kulanu voters with 28%.
Note #23: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 43%.
Of the following three people, on the day after Netanyahu, who should be the right-wing candidate for prime minister?
Naftali Bennett 36%, Gideon Sa’ar 35%, Avigdor Lieberman 15%, Other, No opinion 14%
Note #24: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 37% Female, 40% 18-34, 39% 35-54, 52% National Religious, 35% Traditional, 46% Very Right, 39% Right and 63% Bayit Yehudi.
Note #25: Saar leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 39% Male, 43% 55+, 47% Haredi, 37% Secular, 55% Center-Right, 35% Likud, 55% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid, 45% Kulanu and 47% Haredi Parties.
Note #26: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 48%.
Note #27: From previous question 94% remained with Saar, 92% with Bennett and 87% with Liberman. 44% of Erdan voters went to Bennett, 47% of Katz voters went to Saar and there was a 30% tie of Yaalon voters between Bennett and Saar.
Could you explain to me the premise of these polls? Wouldn’t the question of who leads the right bloc be determined by which party wins the most seats?
Indeed the question of who leads the right bloc will be determined by which party wins the most seats. The premise of the poll it to look into the future and try to predict what a post-Netanyahu political environment would look like it. Back in January when these polls started to pop up I wrote a piece on what we can learn from the data: https://knessetjeremy.com/2017/01/22/weekend-perspective-the-new-politics-of-the-post-netanyahu-era-will-be-lapid-vs-bennett/