Midgam conducted a poll that was taken out for Army Radio and was released on March 3 2015.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
24 [20] Zionist Union (Labor-Livni)
22 [18] Likud
12 [20] Yesh Atid
12 [11] Bayit Yehudi
12 [11] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [02] Kulanu (Kahlon+Kadima)
07 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Shas
06 [06] Meretz
04 [02] Yachad (Yishai+Chetboun+Marzel)
66 [63] Right-Religious-Kahlon (Parties that have not ruled out nominating Netanyahu in Phase 2)
54 [57] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out nominating Netanyahu in Phase 2)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Continues to look like Kulanu will be the kingmaker. Or else you could see another broad based government with the top two parties, YA, BY and Koolanu.
king maker of what ? there is no alternative to a Likud government, Herzog will never form a coalition, he cant get Lapid with the Haredim together, even UTJ and i think Shas too are against joining a coalition led by him and of course to stay with Lapid, on the other hand, Lieberman will never stay with Meretz and the Arabs said they wont join or endorse Herzog, so next government will be Likud, BY, Lieberman, Haredim, Yachad and Kulanu
The List has not ruled out recommending Herzog.
Well then chaver your predicted government will save money on airfare to Washington after yesterday’s speech and fallout. In fact there will be little reason to go to Paris, London or Berlin either.
Zionist Union + Yesh Atid + Kulanu + YB is 51 seats in this poll. Likud + BY + religious parties is also 51. So your contention that Lieberman will never stay with Meretz, and the concern re: the Arabs aren’t entirely valid. If Lieberman and Kulanu back Herzog, in this poll Herzog is just 1 seat away from not needing the votes of Meretz and the Joint List.
I don’t think that’s very likely, but yah, just pointing out the math. I’d bet on a Likud led government too.
no, the Arab list said many times, they wont endorse or join Herzog as long as the occupation continue, also Lieberman will never join them, Bibi will get the endorsement of Likud, BY, Haredim, Yachad and may be Lieberman but Herzog will get Labor, Lapid and may be Meretz so Bibi will get 51, and Herzog 42 seats
Tibi said that Joint List will not join the governing coalition as long as the occupation continues, but did not say nothing about a possible endorsement of Herzog in the phase 2, although in the phase 3 they will no be part of the goverment coalition (also could support goverment from outside, like with Rabin).
http://www.haaretz.com/news/israel-election-2015/.premium-1.643895
Yes.
everyone’s personal preferences aside, the problem Bibi faces (and after this week knows he faces) with a narrow rightist government are two-fold: Letting Bennett anywhere near the Defense portfolio and world reaction to such a move; his coalition would give each of the participating parties the threat to leave and force a government crisis. A national unity government with Buji seems looming.
And BTW, Bennett was a near invisible non-entity on the American trip as news outlets with the with the exception of Fox preferred Boteach as their pro-bibi spokesman.
Your observation about Bennett is well taken. It won’t be that bad but it will be a lot more like that than it was in Congress yesterday for every Israeli politician after Bibi goes.