Dialog (Panel Midgam Project) conducted a poll of 869 people with a 3.3% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 10 on Jan 28 2015. The poll was conducted the day before.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
25 [20] Zionist Union (Labor-Livni)
23 [18] Likud
16 [10] Bayit Yehudi
12 [11] United Arab List
10 [20] Yesh Atid
09 [00] Koolanu (Kahlon)
06 [10] Shas
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [06] Meretz
04 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [03] Ha’am Itanu
00 [02] Kadima – No longer running in Election
68 [61] Right-Religious-Kahlon (Parties that have not ruled out a BB coalition)
52 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Parties that have ruled out a BB coalition)
Additional Questions:
Who is most suited to be PM?
44% Netanyahu, 32% Herzog, 25% Don’t know
Likud, Bayit Yehudi, Koolanu, Shas, UTJ, Yisrael Beitenu and Yishai voters chose Netanyahu over Herzog.
Zionist Union, United Arab List, Yesh Atid and Meretz voters chose Herzog.
Interesting stat: Shas voters chose Netanyahu 44% over Herzog 4%.
Does Eli Ochana addition to Bayit Yehudi list help the party?
64% No, 26% Don’t Know, 11% Yes.
Among Bayit Yehudi voters:
48% No, 28% Don’t Know, 24% Yes.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
what is happening in Bayit Yehudi right now? I hope members are not abandoning ship(?)!
What might satisfy the members (at least the traditional and more religious that threatens to leave) would be to offer Yishai a (technical ??) joint list to help his party over the threshold. I mean what else is he going to do if there is no unity deal with Otma Yehudit? And such a joint list would certainly help Ariel, Struk and all the other remaining Tekuma members, remaining on the joint list, to save their faces.
Comments? Forwarding ideas?
I guess I would, in Bennett’s shoes, meet with BY-rabbis (and also Mazuz in case of joint list) and convince them to give Ohana a chance and ask them to meet with him and let him convince them that he will not “ruin” the party, as some seem to think.
To all those who support expanding the party, but so strongly and loudly opposed Ohana; I would ask how will this affect the party’s effort to expand:
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/Flash.aspx/316186#.VMnZYGiUdqI
Another poll more unreliable than others, it is pretty certain that the support for UTJ/Shas are greater than these are reporting.
Never the less, these following points I find more interesting than others.
1. Applies to all polls, the Arab list all show as 12, I have read than elsewhere, that this group are not canvassed properly (nor indeed are the haradim for similar logistical reasons). It seems to me pollsters are simply adding there last mandates and now they have joined as one block, topped it with 1 more seat as a supposition. It may be a good guess, but is no more than that.
2. Yisrael Beitenu, Ha’am Itanu , My guess and its only that, is that one or both of these parties will not make the cut.
YB seems to be in free fall at present. HI seems to be on the up and may benefit initially form a showy list, but I am not convinced that this will hold in a long 6 weeks campaign. Not sufficient substance at present, may change of course. The suggestion that they may tag on those unrealistically placed on the Shas list is by no means a winner.
Firstly these guys don’t have pull and secondly Shas drop outs or rejects is hardly a selling point.
With regard to BY, seems to me that Mr Bennett desperately wants to be PM and thinks that positioning BY as Likud 2 is the way to do it. As BY has poor Sephardi representation we end up with the Ohana nonsense. way too rushed, should have been thought about long ago. I think Mr Bennett should join Likud if he want to be PM eventually, he won’t do it with BY.
Now I wonder what Bennett will do with that empty seats – push Ronen Shoval, someone else (who???) up the list. With Dani Dayan abandoning ship (I do not understand why – where will he go (?) – to Likud with Bennie Begin back (!) or Yishai with Rabbi Hagger and possibly also Chetboun abandoning ship), I guess it would be best to help Shoval/Solomon/Haskia reach a better position.
Everyone seems to have gone mad , your thoughts are as good as it gets at present
It looks like Ha’am Itanu and Otzma have finally come to an arrangement with Marzel at the #4 spot and Ben-Ari not included. I wonder if that will be enough to get Otzma voters to vote for a list where 6 out of 7 candidates are Haredi (not necessarily supportive of Otzma’s goals) and where Ben-Ari is excluded. Then again, I don’t think they’re really in a position to complain. It’s either the realistic possibility of one seat (they only got 1.76% in the last election) or the guarantee of zero seats. Had I been in Yishai’s position, I probably would have put Ben-Ari at #6 or #7 just to cynically guarantee maximum turnout from the Otmza cohort. Hopefully this arrangement will get these parties into the Knesset. I hate seeing an enormous number of votes thrown out due to the election threshold. I think a second choice option on the ballot would be a good idea for such a diverse multiparty country as opposed to continuing to just raise the threshold.
what is now happening with the list? I cannot find any reports of it in Arutz 7 or JPost or …
Is not the deadline like right NOW????
Naes,
But you know, if Yachad-Otzma gets in, then it is better to have as few Otzma-guys there as possible as they would probably not even join a Bennett-led government 8i.e. thus not also a Likud-led govt). But let’s hope this gets them 4-5 seats (= asmuch as possible for Bayit Yehudi).
Is Bayit Yehudi about to miss the deadline or what has I misunderstood?