Dialog (Panel HaMidgam) conducted two scenario polls broadcast by Channel 10 on Dec 9 2014.
First scenario poll was with a Labor-Livni-Mofaz ticket.
Second scenario poll was with Gidon Saar at head of Likud – no change in any seats.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
22 [23] Labor-Livni-Mofaz (joint ticket)
20 [18] Likud
15 [12] Bayit Yehudi
13 [–] New Kachlon Party
11 [13] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [19] Yesh Atid
07 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Meretz
05 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
00 [03] Balad
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
73 [61] Right-Religious (Possible BB coalition)
47 [59] Center-Left-Arab (Anti-BB coalition)
Additional Questions:
Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?
23% Netanyahu, 22% Herzog, 13% Bennett, 13% Saar, 10% Kachlon, 10% Liberman, 9% Lapid
Do you believe Netanyahu will deliver on 0 VAT promise on basic food?
62% No, 22% Yes, 16% Don’t know
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Third scenario poll that has a Labor joint ticket as the largest party. A Labor+Livni+Mofaz list loses a seat from 23 to 22, and brings the Anti-BB coalition to 47 seats. Netanyahu’s Likud party has not been the largest party at the end of each of his 3 terms as PM & he might be forced to deal with a similar situation for his 4th, assuming President Rivlin gives him the chance.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 