Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 709 people with a 3.8% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on February 17 2020.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
36 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold
1.9% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others
Phase 2 Recommendations:
58 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
54 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)
*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.
Additional Questions:
Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?
45% Netanyahu, 33% Gantz, 16% Neither, 6% Don’t know
If the government is formed with the help of the Joint List will it be a legitimate government?
44% Yes, 33% No, 23% Don’t know
It was publicized yesterday that Ashkenazi held on to the Harpaz Document for days without informing the authorities. Does this change your vote?
45% No, 29% Lower chance of voting Blue & White, 24% Not aware of the subject, 2% Increase chance to vote Blue & White
Why is the Joint list listed as a part of the center left bloc? Haven’t Blue and Whtie said they won’t sit with them? Much like Yisrael Beteinu said they won’t sit with Bibi and they’re given their own line in the totals.
That is the difference between measuring a Phase 2 Bloc & a Phase 3 Bloc. I measure the Phase 2 Bloc. The Joint List has not ruled out recommending Gantz as Prime Minister at the President’s Residence just as they did last time.
Thank you for the clarification!
Since Jan 29, almost all polls (#26-#42) have reported a very tight race with the B&W-led bloc at +1, Likud-led bloc at +1 or tied. The sole exception is Project HaMidgam, which reported B&W-led bloc at +6 on Feb 7 and +4 on Feb 17. What’s going on here? Are they using a methodology different from all other pollsters?
Interesting, too, that this poll shows such a large gap in Netanyahu’s favor on the question of suitability as prime minister.
Another Q on this poll:
Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?
45% Netanyahu, 33% Gantz, 16% Neither, 6% Don’t know
Neither??? What does that mean???
People who hate both and want to make a statement, or people who don’t understand the question…
All “who would be a better PM” polls have this option…
so maybe ask, “who is LESS qualified” 🙂