Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error on Aug 31 2016 that was published in full by the Jerusalem Post on September 16 2016. Partial results were released earlier in the week.

Most of the laws on the subject of religion and state in Israel such as marriage, divorce, conversion and other subjects are based on the Haredi perception of Orthodoxy. Is this acceptable or not acceptable to you?

54% Not acceptable, 46% Acceptable

Notes: 54% of under 29 demographic answered it was acceptable, compared to just 43% of 50+ demographic. Among religious voters 90% answered it was acceptable compared to 61% of traditional voters and just 18% of secular voters. Among right voters 63% answered it was acceptable compared to 35% of centrist voters and just 20% of left voters.

Are you for or against officially recognizing Reform & Conservative Judaism’s ability to conduct marriage, conversion and other religious purposes in Israel?

62% For, 38% Against

Notes: 87% of secular voters and 62% of traditional voters answered they were for compared to religious voters that were close to 100% against. 87% of left voters and 75% of secular voters were for compared to 60% of right voters who were against. 33% of those who answered “acceptable” to the previous question answered they are “for” in this question compared to 86% of those who answered “not acceptable” to the previous question that answered they are “for” in this question.

Are you for or against establishing a separate plaza in the Western Wall next to Robinson’s Arch in which men and women will be allowed to pray together?

61% Yes, 39% No

Notes: 66% of the 50+ demographic said yes compared to 51% of the 29 under demographic that said yes. 82% of secular voters and 59% of traditional voters answered yes compared to 83% of religious voters who answered no. 89% of left voters and 72% of centrist voters said yes compared to 60% on the right who said no. 37% of those who answered “acceptable” to the first question answered yes compared to 81% of those who answered “not acceptable” to the first question who answered yes.

Smith conducted a three-question poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error for the “Decision at 50” NGO on July 17 2016. Partial results were published by the Jerusalem Post on Sep 5 2016. I am releasing the full results below.

Do you support or oppose conducting a national referendum as a way to resolve the Israel-Palestinian conflict?

59% Support, 30% Oppose, 11% No opinion

Note #1: Among those with an opinion (89%) – 66% for and 34% against.

Breakdowns:

Among males – 57% for, 35% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among females – 61% for, 25% against and 14% don’t have an opinion.

Among 18-29 year olds – 51% for, 38% against and 11% don’t have an opinion.  Among 30-49 year olds – 62% for, 26% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among 50+ demographic – 61% for, 28% against and 11% don’t have an opinion.

Among secular voters – 59% for, 30% against and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among traditional voters – 63% for, 26% against and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among religious (including Haredim) voters – 54% for, 35% against and 11% don’t have an opinion.

Among right voters – 59% for, 29% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among center-right voters – 68% for, 24% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among center voters – 55% for, 33% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among center-left voters – 63% for, 29% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among left voters – 49% for, 51% against and 0% don’t have an opinion.

Among Yesh Atid voters – 74% for, 26% against and 0% don’t have an opinion. Among Meretz voters – 70% for, 30% against and 0% don’t have an opinion. Among Yisrael Beitenu voters – 69% for, 23% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among Shas voters – 63% for, 37% against and 0% don’t have an opinion. Among Kulanu voters – 62% for, 24% against and 14% don’t have an opinion. Among Joint List voters – 61% for, 22% against and 17% don’t have an opinion. Among Bayit Yehudi voters – 60% for, 28% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among Likud voters – 58% for, 25% against and 17% don’t have an opinion. Among UTJ voters – 57% for, 30% against and 13% don’t have an opinion. Among Zionist Union voters – 54% for, 41% against and 5% don’t have an opinion.

Note #2: Everyone supports national referendum except for the left.

Question only for Jewish voters: Do you support or oppose the principle of “two states for two nations” as a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?

46% Support, 43% Oppose, 11% No opinion

Note #1: Among those with an opinion (89%) – 52% for and 48% against.

Breakdowns:

Among males –46% against, 44% for and 10% don’t have an opinion. Among females – 48% for, 39% against and 13% don’t have an opinion.

Among 18-29 year olds –53% against, 35% for and 12% don’t have an opinion.  Among 30-49 year olds – 48% for, 42% against and 10% don’t have an opinion. Among 50+ demographic – 55% for, 33% against and 12% don’t have an opinion.

Among secular voters – 61% for, 27% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among traditional voters – 45% for, 42% against and 13% don’t have an opinion. Among religious (including Haredim) voters – 77% against, 15% for and 8% don’t have an opinion.

Among right voters – 69% against, 20% for and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among center-right voters – 49% for, 39% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among center voters – 64% for, 25% against and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among center-left voters – 87% for, 5% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among left voters – 94% for, 0% against and 6% don’t have an opinion.

Among Shas voters – 81% against, 6% for and 13% don’t have an opinion. Among Bayit Yehudi voters – 79% against, 15% for and 6% don’t have an opinion. Among UTJ voters – 65% against, 17% for and 18% don’t have an opinion. Among Likud voters – 60% against, 34% for and 6% don’t have an opinion. Among Yisrael Beitenu voters – 31% against, 21% for and 46% don’t have an opinion. Among Kulanu voters – 55% for, 33% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among Yesh Atid voters – 60% for, 28% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among Joint List voters – 83% for, 11% against and 6% don’t have an opinion. Among Meretz voters – 87% for, 4% against and 9% don’t have an opinion. Among Zionist Union voters – 91% for, 5% against and 4% don’t have an opinion.

Note #2: Shas, Bayit Yehudi, UTJ, LIkud and Yisrael Beitenu voters oppose a two-state-solution. Kulanu, Yesh Atid, Joint List, Meretz and Zionist Union voters support a two-state-solution. Men oppose 2 states and women support 2 states. Voters under 30 oppose two states and voters over 30 support 2 states.

In principle, do you support or oppose the principle of “one bi-national state” as a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?

11% Support, 71% Oppose, 18% No opinion

Note #1: Among those with an opinion (82%) – 13% for and 87% against.

Breakdowns:

Among males – 10% for, 76% against and 14% don’t have an opinion. Among females – 10% for, 67% against and 23% don’t have an opinion.

Among 18-29 year olds – 8% for, 73% against and 19% don’t have an opinion.  Among 30-49 year olds – 12% for, 69% against and 19% don’t have an opinion. Among 50+ demographic – 17% for, 73% against and 10% don’t have an opinion.

Among secular voters – 12% for, 72% against and 16% don’t have an opinion. Among traditional voters – 12% for, 68% against and 20% don’t have an opinion. Among religious (including Haredim) voters – 6% for, 73% against and 21% don’t have an opinion.

Among right voters – 7% for, 75% against and 18% don’t have an opinion. Among center-right voters – 10% for, 73% against and 17% don’t have an opinion. Among center voters – 19% for, 63% against and 18% don’t have an opinion. Among center-left voters – 7% for, 74% against and 19% don’t have an opinion. Among left voters – 16% for, 68% against and 16% don’t have an opinion.

Among Shas voters – 0% for, 69% against and 31% don’t have an opinion. Among Yisrael Beitenu voters – 0% for, 69% against and 31% don’t have an opinion. Among UTJ voters – 4% for, 61% against and 35% don’t have an opinion. Among Likud voters – 8% for, 77% against and 15% don’t have an opinion. Among Kulanu voters – 12% for, 74% against and 14% don’t have an opinion. Zionist Union voters – 14% for, 78% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among Bayit Yehudi voters – 15% for, 77% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among Yesh Atid voters – 16% for, 67% against and 17% don’t have an opinion. Among Meretz voters – 17% for, 61% against and 22% don’t have an opinion. Among Joint List voters – 61% for, 17% against and 22% don’t have an opinion.

Note #2: That is not a typo. 61% of Joint List supports support a one-state-solution. The 9 other lists oppose a one-state-solution

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error for Army Radio that was broadcast on Sep 2 2016. The poll was conducted on Aug 31.

Questions

Rank from a scale of 1-10 each minister in terms of how well they do their job with 10 being the highest and 1 being the lowest?

Rank, Minister, (Party), 1-10 rank avg, % of people with an opinion

1 Yaakov Litzman (UTJ) 6.29 – 92%
2 Yisrael Katz (Likud) 5.71 – 93%
3 Ayelet Shaked (Bayit Yehudi) 5.51 – 92%
4 Naftali Bennett (Bayit Yehudi) 5.36 – 96%
5 Gilad Erdan (Likud) 5.09 – 90%
6 Avigdor Liberman (Yisrael Beitenu) 5.06 – 91%
7 Miri Regev (Likud) 4.82 – 95%
8 Moshe Kahlon (Kulanu) 4.75 – 95%
9 Benjamin Netanyahu (Likud) 4.66% – 97%
10 Aryeh Deri (Shas) 3.92% – 90%

Note: The other 11 ministers were not polled.

Do you agree or not agree with the opinion that Israeli society treats Israelis of Ethiopian heritage in a racist manner?

61% Yes, 30% No, 9% No opinion

Notes: Among secular 67% said yes compared to 50% of religious people who said yes. 52% of Likud voters agreed.

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a margin of error of 4.5% for the Jerusalem Post that was published on September 1 2016. The poll was taken on Aug 31.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [24] Zionist Union

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [05] Meretz

69 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

51 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: New Party of Yaalon+Saar+Kahlon

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

16 [11] Yesh Atid

16 [10] New Party (Yaalon, Saar, Kahlon)

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [24] Zionist Union

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [05] Meretz

74 [67] Right-Religious

46 [53] Center-Left-Arab