Smith conducted a three-question poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error for the “Decision at 50” NGO on July 17 2016. Partial results were published by the Jerusalem Post on Sep 5 2016. I am releasing the full results below.
Do you support or oppose conducting a national referendum as a way to resolve the Israel-Palestinian conflict?
59% Support, 30% Oppose, 11% No opinion
Note #1: Among those with an opinion (89%) – 66% for and 34% against.
Breakdowns:
Among males – 57% for, 35% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among females – 61% for, 25% against and 14% don’t have an opinion.
Among 18-29 year olds – 51% for, 38% against and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among 30-49 year olds – 62% for, 26% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among 50+ demographic – 61% for, 28% against and 11% don’t have an opinion.
Among secular voters – 59% for, 30% against and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among traditional voters – 63% for, 26% against and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among religious (including Haredim) voters – 54% for, 35% against and 11% don’t have an opinion.
Among right voters – 59% for, 29% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among center-right voters – 68% for, 24% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among center voters – 55% for, 33% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among center-left voters – 63% for, 29% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among left voters – 49% for, 51% against and 0% don’t have an opinion.
Among Yesh Atid voters – 74% for, 26% against and 0% don’t have an opinion. Among Meretz voters – 70% for, 30% against and 0% don’t have an opinion. Among Yisrael Beitenu voters – 69% for, 23% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among Shas voters – 63% for, 37% against and 0% don’t have an opinion. Among Kulanu voters – 62% for, 24% against and 14% don’t have an opinion. Among Joint List voters – 61% for, 22% against and 17% don’t have an opinion. Among Bayit Yehudi voters – 60% for, 28% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among Likud voters – 58% for, 25% against and 17% don’t have an opinion. Among UTJ voters – 57% for, 30% against and 13% don’t have an opinion. Among Zionist Union voters – 54% for, 41% against and 5% don’t have an opinion.
Note #2: Everyone supports national referendum except for the left.
Question only for Jewish voters: Do you support or oppose the principle of “two states for two nations” as a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?
46% Support, 43% Oppose, 11% No opinion
Note #1: Among those with an opinion (89%) – 52% for and 48% against.
Breakdowns:
Among males –46% against, 44% for and 10% don’t have an opinion. Among females – 48% for, 39% against and 13% don’t have an opinion.
Among 18-29 year olds –53% against, 35% for and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among 30-49 year olds – 48% for, 42% against and 10% don’t have an opinion. Among 50+ demographic – 55% for, 33% against and 12% don’t have an opinion.
Among secular voters – 61% for, 27% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among traditional voters – 45% for, 42% against and 13% don’t have an opinion. Among religious (including Haredim) voters – 77% against, 15% for and 8% don’t have an opinion.
Among right voters – 69% against, 20% for and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among center-right voters – 49% for, 39% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among center voters – 64% for, 25% against and 11% don’t have an opinion. Among center-left voters – 87% for, 5% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among left voters – 94% for, 0% against and 6% don’t have an opinion.
Among Shas voters – 81% against, 6% for and 13% don’t have an opinion. Among Bayit Yehudi voters – 79% against, 15% for and 6% don’t have an opinion. Among UTJ voters – 65% against, 17% for and 18% don’t have an opinion. Among Likud voters – 60% against, 34% for and 6% don’t have an opinion. Among Yisrael Beitenu voters – 31% against, 21% for and 46% don’t have an opinion. Among Kulanu voters – 55% for, 33% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among Yesh Atid voters – 60% for, 28% against and 12% don’t have an opinion. Among Joint List voters – 83% for, 11% against and 6% don’t have an opinion. Among Meretz voters – 87% for, 4% against and 9% don’t have an opinion. Among Zionist Union voters – 91% for, 5% against and 4% don’t have an opinion.
Note #2: Shas, Bayit Yehudi, UTJ, LIkud and Yisrael Beitenu voters oppose a two-state-solution. Kulanu, Yesh Atid, Joint List, Meretz and Zionist Union voters support a two-state-solution. Men oppose 2 states and women support 2 states. Voters under 30 oppose two states and voters over 30 support 2 states.
In principle, do you support or oppose the principle of “one bi-national state” as a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?
11% Support, 71% Oppose, 18% No opinion
Note #1: Among those with an opinion (82%) – 13% for and 87% against.
Breakdowns:
Among males – 10% for, 76% against and 14% don’t have an opinion. Among females – 10% for, 67% against and 23% don’t have an opinion.
Among 18-29 year olds – 8% for, 73% against and 19% don’t have an opinion. Among 30-49 year olds – 12% for, 69% against and 19% don’t have an opinion. Among 50+ demographic – 17% for, 73% against and 10% don’t have an opinion.
Among secular voters – 12% for, 72% against and 16% don’t have an opinion. Among traditional voters – 12% for, 68% against and 20% don’t have an opinion. Among religious (including Haredim) voters – 6% for, 73% against and 21% don’t have an opinion.
Among right voters – 7% for, 75% against and 18% don’t have an opinion. Among center-right voters – 10% for, 73% against and 17% don’t have an opinion. Among center voters – 19% for, 63% against and 18% don’t have an opinion. Among center-left voters – 7% for, 74% against and 19% don’t have an opinion. Among left voters – 16% for, 68% against and 16% don’t have an opinion.
Among Shas voters – 0% for, 69% against and 31% don’t have an opinion. Among Yisrael Beitenu voters – 0% for, 69% against and 31% don’t have an opinion. Among UTJ voters – 4% for, 61% against and 35% don’t have an opinion. Among Likud voters – 8% for, 77% against and 15% don’t have an opinion. Among Kulanu voters – 12% for, 74% against and 14% don’t have an opinion. Zionist Union voters – 14% for, 78% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among Bayit Yehudi voters – 15% for, 77% against and 8% don’t have an opinion. Among Yesh Atid voters – 16% for, 67% against and 17% don’t have an opinion. Among Meretz voters – 17% for, 61% against and 22% don’t have an opinion. Among Joint List voters – 61% for, 17% against and 22% don’t have an opinion.
Note #2: That is not a typo. 61% of Joint List supports support a one-state-solution. The 9 other lists oppose a one-state-solution
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