Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted a poll of 1009 people with a 3.2% margin of error for Walla that was published on Feb 7 2019. The poll was conducted Feb 6-7 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
22 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
13 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold:

2.9% [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
2.8% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
2.8% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
1.7% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.6% [06] Livni Party
1.3% [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
1.0% [–-] Green Leaf
Less than 1%: Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others.

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions

Of the following candidates who is most suited to serve as Likud leader on the day after Netanyahu?

33% Saar, 23% None, 23% Don’t know, 7% Edelstein, 6% Y. Katz, 4% Erdan, 4% Regev

Likud voters: 22% None, 21% Don’t know, 19% Saar, 12% Erdan, 11% Regev, 10% Y. Katz, 5% Edelstein

Do you want former IDF COS Gabi Ashkenazi to go into politics?

36% No opinion, 33% No, 31% Yes

Yesh Atid voters: 61% Yes, 24% No, 15% No Opinion
Israel Resilience voters: 61% Yes, 21% No Opinion, 18% No

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 694 people with a 4% margin of error for Makor Rishon that was published on Feb 8 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
23 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Other: Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #1: Gantz + Lapid, Netanyahu + Bennett, Bayit Yehudi + Otzma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

41 [33] Likud (Netanyahu) + Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked) 
37 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi) 
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) 
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Other: Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: Gantz + Lapid, Bayit Yehudi + Otzma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
34 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi) 
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) 
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Other: Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #3: Gantz + Lapid, Netanyahu + Kahlon, Bayit Yehudi + Otzma

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [40] Likud (Netanyahu) + Kulanu (Kahlon)
35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) + Otzma (Ben Ari)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi) 
05 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman) 
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Other: Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Smith conducted a poll for Channel 20 that was broadcast on Feb 6 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
22 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
12 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)

03 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich) – under electoral threshold
1.8% [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari) – under electoral threshold
1.7% [–-] Zehut (Feiglin) – under electoral threshold
1.1% [–-] Green Leaf – under electoral threshold
1.0% [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
1.0% [–] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv) – under electoral threshold
under 1% – Yachad (Eli Yishai), Magen (Gal Hirsch), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom) and others

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
61 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 22% Gantz, 9% Lapid

Who should lead a joint Gantz+Lapid list?

44% Gantz, 35% Don’t know, 21% Lapid

How to Israel Resilience voters define themselves?

31% Center, 22% Center-left, 19% Center-right, 19% Left, 9% Right

If you had a chance to vote for a second party which would you choose?

16% Israel Resilience, 10% Yesh Atid, 9% HaYamin HeHadash, 7% Likud, 4% Kulanu, 3% Labor, 3% Bayit Yehudi, 2% Shas, 2% Meretz, 1% Yisrael Beitenu, 1% UTJ, 1% Livni

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 718 people with a 4.2% margin of error for Kan (Channel 11) that was broadcast on Feb 6 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
22 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon)
11 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
00 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – under electoral threshold
00 [–-] Otzma (Ben Ari) – under electoral threshold
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin), Yachad (Eli Yishai), Green Leaf, Magen (Gal Hirsch), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Achi Yisraeli (Adina Bar Shalom)

64 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
56 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #1: If Ashkenazi joins Gantz

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
28 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Ashkenazi
07 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #2: If Lapid joins Gantz

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
35 [11] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Yesh Atid (Lapid)
06 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Scenario Poll #3: Gantz + Gesher

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
25 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz) + Telem (Yaalon) + Gesher (Levy)
09 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Peretz) + Tekuma (Smotrich)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)

65 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
55 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B

Additional Questions:

Do you believe Netanyahu or Saar in the “President Rivlin attempt to nominate Saar instead of Netanyahu for Prime Minister”?

48% Saar, 29% Netanyahu, 23% Don’t know

Likud voters: 64% Netanyahu, 26% Don’t know, 10% Saar