Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on February 13 2020. The poll was conducted that day.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
09 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] Yamina (Bennett)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.2% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?

42% Netanyahu, 36% Gantz, 17% Neither, 5% Don’t know

If Netanyahu’s bloc is larger would you prefer a fourth election to a national unity government led by him?

50% No, 25% Yes, 25% Don’t know

If Gantz’s bloc is larger would you prefer a fourth election to a national unity government led by him?

52% No, 27% Yes, 21% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 1016 people that was published by Makor Rishon on February 13 2020. The poll was conducted on Feb 12.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] Yamina (Bennett)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.6% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

None

Project HaMidgam conducted a poll of 701 people with a 3.8% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on February 7 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
10 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yamina (Bennett)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.5% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

59 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
53 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
08 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Question:

Who is more qualified to serve as Prime Minister?

44% Netanyahu, 32% Gantz, 16% Neither, 8% Don’t know

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 506 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom & broadcast by I24 News on February 7 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
34 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yamina (Bennett)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
57 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
06 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

Should Israel annex before elections?

32% Yes, 23% Annex after election, 25% Don’t know, 20% Don’t annex

Should Israel accept Trump plan?

35% Yes, 34% Don’t know, 31% No

How sure are you that you will not change your vote?

55% Sure, 27% Probably, 11% Possibly, 7% Not sure

Will you vote?

56% Yes, 28% Probably, 10% No, 6% Possibly

Do you support a Blue & White-Yisrael Beitenu-Labor-Meretz-Gesher minority government with outside support of Joint List?

54% No, 29% Yes, 17% Don’t know

What government do you prefer?

30% Right, 23% Left w/Arabs, 17% Wide Unity, 17% Narrow Unity, 13% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll of 523 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Maariv & the Jerusalem Post on February 7 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)
33 [32] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)
08 [11] Labor-Gesher-Meretz (A.Peretz)
08 [07] Yamina (Bennett)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0.0% [00] All Others

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [54/57] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Nominated Gantz in Phase 2)
56 [55] Right-Religious Bloc (Nominated Netanyahu in Phase 2)
07 [08/11] Pushing Unity Government (Did not nominate)

*Balad which was part of the Joint List withdrew the recommendations of their 3 MKs.

Additional Questions:

Will you vote?

71% Yes, 19% Probably, 5% No, 5% Possibly

Note: Least sure are Yisrael Beitenu voters at 65% who answered yes.

How sure are you that you will not change your vote?

63% Sure, 32% Probably, 5% Possibly, 1% Not sure

Note: Least sure are Labor-Gesher-Meretz voters at 49% who answered yes.

What government do you prefer?

26% Unity, 23% Right, 19% Left w/Arabs, 16% Don’t know, 16% National Unity w/Yisrael Beitenu