Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Smith conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4% margin of error that was published by the Jerusalem Post on Jan 8 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
18 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.5% [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
1.9% [00] New Economic (Zelekha)
1.4% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
1.0% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)

Under 1%

0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
0% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Scenario Poll A: Bennett & Smotrich Split

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
19 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
11 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [02] Smotrich Party
04 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)

Scenario Poll B: Bennett & Saar merge + Huldai & Lapid Merge

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
29 [08] New Hope (Saar+Bennett)
22 [19] Yesh Atid – The Israelis (Lapid+Huldai)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Panels conducted a poll of 527 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Maariv on Jan 8 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
14 [19] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [12] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
1.7% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.3% [00] New Economic (Zelekha)
0.5% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.3% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0.3% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.0% [00] Israeli Veterans (Yatom)

Additional Questions:

Could what happened in Washington DC happen in Israel?

56% Yes, 32% No, 12% Don’t know

Right: 47% Yes, 39% No, 14% Don’t know
Center-Left: 77% Yes, 16% No, 7% Don’t know

If it does happen which side of the political map would be responsible for it?

44% Right, 34% Left, 22% Don’t know

Right voters: 48% Left, 28% Right, 24% Don’t know
Center-Left: 77% Right, 17% Don’t know, 6% Left

Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on Jan 5 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
18 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
13 [18] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
05 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.8% [–] New Economy (Zalika)
1.5% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0.8% [00] Tnufa (Shelach)
0.3% [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0.1% [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Scenario Poll: Bennett & Smotrich split

26 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
16 [03] Yamina (Bennett)
13 [18] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
10 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
06 [00] The Israelis (Huldai)
05 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.3% [02] Smotrich Party

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

27% Netanyahu, 16% Saar, 14% None, 14% Lapid, 13% Bennett, 10% Don’t know, 6% Gantz

Panels conducted a poll of 531 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published by Maariv on Jan 1 2021.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
14 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
13 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
11 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.6% [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)
1.1% [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0.4% [00] Ofer Shelach Party
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Panels conducted a poll of 531 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was broadcast by Radio 103 FM on Dec 30 2020.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [35] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [03] New Hope (Saar)
13 [05] Yamina (Bennett)
12 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)
12 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)
08 [02] The Israelis (Huldai)
08 [09] Shas (Deri)
08 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
05 [03] Meretz (Horovitz)
04 [13] Blue & White/Israel Resilience (Gantz)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

0 [03] Labor (A. Peretz)
0 [01] Bayit Yehudi (R. Peretz)
0 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0 [00] Ofer Shelach Party
0 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)