Last week’s polling continued to reinforce the central dynamic of the current race: the contest is no longer between a dominant incumbent and a fragmented opposition, but between two competing governing coalitions whose viability depends heavily on bloc arithmetic and turnout efficiency.
The most consequential thematic signal comes from the additional-question data, particularly Channel 13’s question on Gaza reconstruction. A clear majority of Israelis (53%) view the emerging involvement of Turkey and Qatar in Gaza as an Israeli failure, compared with only 25% who reject that framing. This is not a marginal result. It suggests that the “day after” debate is already hardening into a political vulnerability, with Israelis increasingly judging post-war governance not as a distant diplomatic question but as a test of competence, leverage, and national credibility. Gaza’s reconstruction is becoming a domestic political issue, not merely a security one.
Bloc Trends
The Maariv poll is particularly striking because it shows Bennett reaching 61 seats without relying on cooperation with the Arab bloc. That result points to a plausible governing coalition built entirely within the Jewish-Zionist arena, without outside support.
By contrast, both the Direct Polls survey (i24NEWS) and Filber’s Channel 14 poll depict the opposite governing reality: Netanyahu’s bloc not only holds, but expands decisively, reaching 62 seats in Direct Polls and 65 in Filber. These two polls remain clear outliers, both in magnitude and in their governing implications, but they underscore the continued divergence between pollsters.
Eyes on the Threshold
Four parties consistently hover below the electoral barrier across multiple polls: Blue & White, Miluimnikim, Religious Zionism, and Balad. The significance is structural. These parties collectively represent several mandates’ worth of potentially wasted votes, and their success or failure could swing bloc outcomes by 3–6 seats. In a tight contest, a single party slipping under the threshold can determine whether a coalition forms or collapses.
The most notable development this week is Balad crossing the threshold in the Channel 13 poll, where it receives four seats. Even if this result is not replicated elsewhere, it highlights volatility within the Arab sector and the possibility that fragmentation could reshape both the size and cohesion of the Arab bloc.
What to Expect Next
A brief note on timing: this post is arriving about a week late due to my reserve service, but the political calendar did not pause.
The major looming event during this polling window was the showdown ahead of the first-reading budget vote, which ultimately passed on Wednesday. As the budget process continues, upcoming polls will likely reflect not only voter preferences but also perceptions of coalition stability and governing durability.
Poll #
Broadcaster / Publisher
Pollster
Fieldwork Date
Sample Size
Margin of Error
1
Maariv
Lazar/Panels
21–22 Jan 2026
501
±4.4%
2
Channel 12
Midgam
22 Jan 2026
501
±4.4%
3
Channel 13
Maagar Mochot
20 Jan 2026
—
—
4
Zman Yisrael
Tatika
21–22 Jan 2026
500
±4.4%
5
i24NEWS
Direct Polls
21–22 Jan 2026
559
±4.1%
6
Channel 14
Filber
22 Jan 2026
503
—
Table 2 — Party Seat Distribution (All Polls)
Party
Maariv
Channel 12
Channel 13
Zman Yisrael
i24NEWS
Channel 14
Likud (Netanyahu)
25
25
25
25
31
34
Bennett 2026
23
22
23
18
16
10
Shas (Deri)
8
9
10
10
9
10
Democrats (Golan)
9
11
9
9
10
10
Yisrael Beiteinu (Lieberman)
9
9
9
10
9
8
Yashar (Eisenkot)
11
9
7
7
9
7
Otzma (Ben Gvir)
9
9
9
6
9
7
UTJ
7
8
7
8
9
9
Yesh Atid (Lapid)
9
8
8
8
4
5
Ra’am (Abbas)
5
5
4
6
6
5
Hadash–Ta’al
5
5
5
5
4
6
Religious Zionism (Smotrich)
2.0%
2.9%
2.6%
4
4
5
Blue & White (Gantz)
2.8%
1.7%
2.0%
4
2.5%
4
Balad
1.9%
1.1%
4
0
2.8%
2.4%
Miluimnikim (Hendel)
2.8%
2.7%
2.0%
0
1.8%
—
Bloc
Maariv
Channel 12
Channel 13
Zman Yisrael
i24NEWS
Channel 14
Bennett Bloc
61
59
56
56
48
44
Netanyahu Bloc
49
51
51
53
62
65
Arab Bloc
10
10
13
11
10
11
Additional Questions:
Maariv — Prime Minister Suitability Ranking
Candidate
% Support
Netanyahu
37%
Bennett
21%
None of these
14%
Eisenkot
12%
Lapid
8%
Don’t Know
7%
Channel 12 — Head-to-Head Prime Minister Suitability Ranking Matchups
Netanyahu vs Bennett
Response
%
Netanyahu more suitable
40%
Bennett more suitable
37%
Don’t Know
23%
Netanyahu vs Eisenkot
Response
%
Netanyahu more suitable
42%
Don’t Know
29%
Eisenkot more suitable
29%
Netanyahu vs Lapid
Response
%
Netanyahu more suitable
44%
Don’t Know
32%
Lapid more suitable
24%
Channel 13 — Gaza Reconstruction + Gantz’s Political Future
Turkey/Qatar involvement seen as an Israeli failure?
Response
%
Yes, a failure
53%
No, not a failure
25%
Don’t Know
22%
Should Gantz retire from politics?
Response
%
Yes, retire
48%
No, run again
29%
Don’t Know
23%
Channel 14 — Prime Minister Suitability Ranking
Candidate
% Support
Netanyahu
54%
Bennett
19%
Eisenkot
13%
Lapid
6%
Lieberman
4%
Gantz
4%
Don’t Know
0%
Note: The surveys summarized here were conducted during the week of January 20–22. Updated polling covering the January 28–31 polling will follow tomorrow.
This week’s polling reinforces a central dynamic in prime minister suitability. One matchup stands out: Bennett at 35% against Netanyahu’s 38%. It is the most crystallized contest, with both the narrowest gap and the lowest share of undecided voters. By contrast, Lapid’s 24% trails not only Netanyahu but also the undecided bloc, underscoring his difficulty in consolidating the alternative lane. Eisenkot, after peaking last week, shows renewed softness, losing ground to Netanyahu while nearly one-third of voters remain uncommitted.
A related undercurrent is the continued erosion within the Netanyahu Bloc. Data from Channel 12 show that a substantial share of former bloc voters are no longer parked safely within it: over 40% are now flowing to Bennett 2026, with another quarter undecided. This leakage helps explain why the bloc’s ceiling remains constrained outside the Channel 14 universe.
Bloc Trends
Bloc arithmetic continues to diverge sharply by pollster. Across four of the five polls, the Bennett Bloc consistently clusters in the high 50s to low 60s, often within striking distance of a governing majority, while the Netanyahu Bloc generally ranges in the low 50s. Filber remains the clear outlier, showing a decisive Netanyahu Bloc advantage (66–43), reinforcing its distinct methodological and ideological profile. Meanwhile, the Arab Bloc holds steady at roughly 9–11 seats across all polls, functioning as a fixed variable rather than a swing factor.
Eyes on the Threshold
The threshold zone is once again the most consequential arena. Religious Zionism, Blue & White, Miluimnikim, and Balad repeatedly flirt with or fall below the threshold, depending on the poll. Small movements here carry outsized bloc consequences. The Maariv scenario test illustrates this clearly: when Gantz and Hendel exit and Smotrich consolidates with Ben Gvir, the seat changes are modest at the party level but meaningful in aggregate. This reinforces a familiar pattern: the election will not be decided by headline parties, but by who survives the bottom tier.
Against this backdrop, the Gantz question becomes less theoretical and more strategic. With a plurality of voters, across both coalition and opposition, favoring his exit from politics, and only limited support for independent continuation, the data suggest that further fragmentation serves no bloc interest. Whether through withdrawal or a clear alignment choice, indecision now carries a higher systemic cost than any single move he could make.
What to Expect Next
Expect intensified messaging aimed less at ideological persuasion and more at reassurance—competence, governability, and threshold discipline. Parties hovering near the cutoff will face growing pressure to merge, withdraw, or clearly signal where their voters should land.
Poll #
Broadcaster / Publisher
Pollster
Fieldwork Dates
Sample Size
Margin of Error
Poll 1
Maariv
Lazar/Panels
Jan 14–15, 2026
501
±4.4%
Poll 2
Channel 12
Midgam
Jan 15, 2026
504
±4.4%
Poll 3
Yisrael Hayom
Kantar
Jan 14, 2026
600
±4.0%
Poll 4
Zman Yisrael
Tatika
Jan 14–15, 2026
500
±4.4%
Poll 5
Channel 14
Filber
Jan 15, 2026
604
—
Party / Poll
Maariv
Channel 12
Yisrael Hayom
Zman Yisrael
Channel 14
Likud
26
26
27
27
35
Bennett 2026
22
22
23
19
11
Shas
8
8
10
10
11
Democrats
10
12
9
8
11
Yisrael Beitenu
8
8
8
10
10
Otzma Yehudit
10
9
9
7
7
Yesh Atid
9
9
8
9
5
Yashar
11
8
9
7
6
United Torah Judaism (UTJ)
7
8
7
8
9
Raam
4
5
5
6
6
Hadash–Taal
5
5
5
5
5
Religious Zionism
2.6%
2.9%
2.9%
0
4
Balad
2.1%
1.7%
1.9%
0
2.1%
Blue & White
2.3%
2.4%
3%
4
2.8%
Miluimnikim
2.6%
1.4%
2.7%
0
0
Bennett Bloc
60
59
57
57
43
Netanyahu Bloc
51
51
53
52
66
Arab Bloc
9
10
10
11
11
Poll
Question Category
Question / Scenario
Result
Maariv
Electoral Scenario
If Gantz and Hendel do not run, and Smotrich runs with Ben Gvir
Results in seats: Ben Gvir +2, Eisenkot +2, Bennett +1, Likud −1, Shas −1, Yisrael Beitenu −1, Yesh Atid −2
Channel 12
PM Suitability
Netanyahu vs Bennett
Netanyahu 38%, Bennett 35%, Don’t know 27%
Channel 12
PM Suitability
Netanyahu vs Lapid
Netanyahu 40%, Don’t know 36%, Lapid 24%
Channel 12
PM Suitability
Netanyahu vs Eisenkot
Netanyahu 41%, Don’t know 32%, Eisenkot 27%
Channel 12
Trend Note
Week-over-week change (PM suitability)
Bennett +1% vs Netanyahu; Lapid −2% vs Netanyahu; Eisenkot −3% vs Netanyahu
Channel 12
Leadership Future
What should Benny Gantz do? (General sample)
Retire 42%; Join opposition 19%; Don’t know 19%; Join Likud 13%; Run independently 7%
Across all five polls from last week, one pattern is now unmistakable: Naftali Bennett has consolidated the opposition lane, while the rest of the opposition field continues to fragment.
In the four mainstream pollsters (Maariv, Channel 12, Channel 13, Zman Yisrael), Bennett is either tied with Likud or running within striking distance. His party ranges from 21 to 24 seats, while Likud ranges from 25 to 28. This is not the pattern of a dominant incumbent, rather it is the pattern of a contested leadership race.
Channel 14 stands apart, giving Likud 35 and Bennett just 13, but that poll is the outlier rather than the trend. In the other four polls, Bennett is effectively the alternative prime minister in waiting.
This is reinforced by the only leadership question asked this week. In Channel 14’s suitability question, Netanyahu leads with 53%, but Bennett is second at 26%, more than double Eisenkot and far ahead of Lapid, Lieberman, or Gantz. Even in a right-leaning sample, Bennett is the only opposition figure who registers as a serious governing option.
The issue environment is also turning sharply negative for the coalition. In Maariv, 68% of Israelis fear political violence before the next election. That is not a sign of political stability, it is a warning that the public sees polarization spiraling out of control.
Meanwhile, in Channel 13, 39% of Israelis say their economic situation has worsened, compared to just 10% who say it improved. This creates exactly the kind of climate in which incumbents struggle and challengers gain traction.
One of the most politically potent data points this week is the soldiers’ benefits question from Channel 13. When asked which camp would better protect the rights of regular soldiers and reservists, 46% of the public chose the Bennett-led opposition versus just 32% for the Netanyahu-led coalition. Among respondents with an opinion, the margin widens dramatically to 58%–42% in Bennett’s favor. This is not a marginal issue: in the middle of a prolonged war and a reserve-duty crisis, this cuts directly into the coalition’s traditional advantage on security. The fact that voters now associate Bennett and the opposition, not the government, with better treatment of those serving is a warning sign for the coalition and a strategic opening for Bennett’s camp.
Bloc Trends
The bloc numbers tell a story of two rival governing coalitions, both hovering around the 61-seat line. Four of the five polls show a remarkably tight picture: Netanyahu’s bloc stuck in the low-50s, Bennett’s bloc sitting in the high-50s.
The coalition is no longer expanding. Likud is stable but capped, and the ultra-Orthodox parties are already near saturation. Even Otzma Yehudit’s gains simply reshuffle seats within the bloc rather than creating new ones.
By contrast, Bennett’s bloc is structurally broader. It contains the entire secular center-left (Yesh Atid, Democrats, Yashar), and a growing national-liberal right (Bennett and Yisrael Beitenu). This gives Bennett more coalition arithmetic paths than Netanyahu.
Eyes on the Threshold
This election will almost certainly be decided below the 3.25% line. Four parties are floating dangerously close to extinction.
This matters because every wasted right-wing vote hurt Netanyahu twice. If Smotrich or an additional party like Noam runs and fails, those votes disappear entirely, shrinking the bloc even if Likud remains strong.
On the Arab side, Balad remains a spoiler. If it runs and fails, the Arab bloc drops below 10. If it withdraws or merges, the Arab parties consolidate and that directly strengthens their blocking majority.
The opposition has mostly stabilized above the threshold with the exception of Hendel’s party who is widely expected to merge or drop out before the final party lists are submitted, six weeks before the election date.
What to Expect Next
Unless something dramatic changes, the campaign is heading toward a binary referendum: Netanyahu vs Bennett, with everyone else reduced to bloc math.
Bennett is now running not as a protest candidate, but as a government-in-waiting. He leads the opposition in seats, he leads it in coalition arithmetic, and he leads it in perceived competence on security and reservist issues.
Netanyahu still has the largest single party, but his bloc is capped, brittle, and hostage to threshold failures.
The next phase of the race will revolve around three things: Whether Bennett can keep pulling soft Likud voters as economic and security anxiety rises, whether Smotrich & others splinter wasted votes, and whether the Arab parties are able to pull together a merger into a joint list.
Poll
Broadcaster/ Publisher
Pollster
Field Dates
Sample
Margin of Error
1
Maariv
Lazar / Panels
7–8 Jan 2026
503
4.4%
2
Channel 12
Midgam
8 Jan 2026
503
4.4%
3
Channel 13
Maagar Mochot
7 Jan 2026
569
4.1%
4
Zman Yisrael
Tatika
7–8 Jan 2026
500
4.4%
5
Channel 14
Filber
8 Jan 2026
506
Not reported
Party
Maariv
Channel 12
Channel 13
Zman Yisrael
Channel 14
Likud (Netanyhau)
27
25
26
28
35
Bennett 2026
22
21
24
21
13
Shas (Deri)
8
8
10
10
11
Democrats (Golan)
10
12
10
9
8
Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
9
8
8
10
9
Otzma Yehudit (Ben Gvir)
9
8
10
7
7
Yesh Atid (Lapid)
8
9
7
10
6
Yashar (Eisenkot)
10
8
8
6
8
United Torah Judaism
7
7
7
8
9
Ra’am (Abbas)
5
5
5
6
5
Hadash–Ta’al
5
5
5
5
5
Religious Zionism (Smotrich)
2.2%
4
2.7%
0
4
Balad
1.8%
1.6%
2.7%
0
2.1%
Blue & White (Gantz)
2.2%
0.6%
2.7%
0
1.4%
Miluimnikim (Hendel)
2.7%
2.5%
1.9%
0
—
Bloc Totals
Bennett Bloc
59
58
57
56
44
Netanyahu Bloc
51
52
53
53
66
Arab Bloc
10
10
10
11
10
Fear of Political Violence Before the Next Election (Maariv)
Response
Coalition Voters
Opposition Voters
Undecided
Total
Worried
64%
75%
60%
68%
Not worried
30%
21%
25%
25%
Don’t know
7%
4%
15%
7%
Who Will Better Protect Soldiers’ Rights? (Channel 13)
Bennett continues to emerge as the principal alternative to Netanyahu in both head-to-head and multi-candidate polling. In the Channel 12 survey, both Lapid and Eizenkot record matchups in which the combined share of respondents selecting “neither candidate” or “don’t know” exceeds their individual support against Netanyahu, underscoring their continued difficulty in consolidating opposition voters.
The fallout from revelations of alleged betrayal within Netanyahu’s office, following reports that senior advisers received funds from Qatar, has remained a dominant media issue. The Walla poll finds that 50% of Israelis agree that advisers promoting Qatari interests during wartime constitutes an act of betrayal. Agreement rises to over 70% among opposition voters, while standing at around 30% among coalition voters.
Bloc Trends
The Netanyahu Bloc posts a particularly strong showing in the Channel 14 poll, reaching 66 seats, compared with 49–52 seats in the other five polls published or broadcast this week. The Bennett Bloc peaks at 61 seats in the Walla poll in contrast to 44 seats in the Channel 14 survey. The remaining four polls cluster closer to the Walla result, placing the Bennett Bloc in the 57–59 seat range.
Shas’s 11-seat result in the Channel 14 poll and the Democrats’ 11 seats in the Channel 12 poll are the only instances this week in which a party other than Likud or Bennett exceeds ten seats.
Eyes on the Threshold
Hendel clears the electoral threshold in two polls, while Smotrich does so in only one survey (Channel 14). As in recent weeks, Balad and Blue and White (Gantz) fail to cross the threshold in any poll.
What to Expect Next
With the calendar turning, Israel has now entered 2026, an election year. Fewer than 300 days remain until the scheduled election on 27 October 2026. Ongoing Knesset deliberations over the state budget in the Appropriations Committee and the coalition’s draft legislation on military service in the Defense & Foreign Affairs Committee remain potential flashpoints that could precipitate an early election.
Poll
Broadcaster / Publisher
Pollster
Fieldwork Date
Sample Size
Margin of Error
Poll 1
Walla
Lazar / Panels
28 Dec 2025
500
±4.3%
Poll 2
Channel 12
Midgam
1 Jan 2026
507
±4.4%
Poll 3
Channel 11
Kantar
28 Dec 2025
N/A
N/A
Poll 4
Maariv
Lazar / Panels
1 Jan 2026
500
±4.4%
Poll 5
Zman Yisrael
Tatika
31 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
500
±4.4%
Poll 6
Channel 14
Filber
1 Jan 2026
736
N/A
Party / Bloc
Walla
Channel 12
Channel 11
Maariv
Zman Yisrael
Channel 14
Likud (Netanyahu)
25
26
25
27
28
35
Bennett2026
20
21
20
19
22
11
Yisrael Beiteinu (Lieberman)
9
9
9
10
10
9
Shas (Deri)
9
9
10
8
10
11
Democrats (Golan)
9
11
9
10
8
10
Yashar (Eizenkot)
10
8
9
10
7
8
Yesh Atid (Lapid)
9
10
8
9
10
6
Otzma Yehudit (Ben Gvir)
8
9
9
10
6
7
United Torah Judaism
7
7
7
7
8
8
Ra’am (Abbas)
6
5
5
5
6
5
Hadash–Ta’al
4
5
5
5
5
5
Religious Zionism (Smotrich)
2.2%
2.9%
2.1%
2.8%
0
5
Miluimnikim (Hendel)
4
2.7%
4
3%
0
—
Balad
1.8%
1.8%
2.2%
2%
0
2.1%
Blue & White (Gantz)
2%
2%
2.8%
2%
0
0.9%
Bennett Bloc
61
59
59
58
57
44
Netanyahu Bloc
49
51
51
52
52
66
Arab Bloc
10
10
10
10
11
10
Poll
Question
Findings
Lazar/Panels
Do you agree that Netanyahu advisers promoting Qatari interests during the war constitutes an act of betrayal?
50% of Israelis agree. Among opposition voters, agreement exceeds 70%; among coalition voters it is around 30%.
Midgam
Suitability for Prime Minister: Netanyahu vs. Bennett
Naftali Bennett performs competitively against Benjamin Netanyahu on most leadership metrics across the general sample in this special election poll for Channel 12, conducted by Midgam, which also takes a deep dive into Bennett voters.
Bennett is perceived as more trustworthy, more attentive to “people like me,” and better suited to addressing social divisions and the cost of living. Netanyahu maintains an advantage on national security and a narrow edge on the question of who would perform better as prime minister, but these gaps are smaller than those seen in previous election cycles.
This balance helps explain Bennett’s ability to draw support from voters who do not share a single ideological home. Among his voters, however, the picture is clearer: over 70% self-identify as right or center right, with the remainder clustering in the center. There is virtually no left-wing identification within his electorate. Bennett’s appeal, then, is not post-ideological. It is firmly right, but with softer edges than the traditional right-wing bloc.
Taken together, the data suggest that Bennett’s strength lies less in ideological alignment and more in personal positioning. He is seen as an empathetic competent, pragmatic, and comparatively unifying, natural leader that can pull votes from both blocs.
Bennett vs Netanyahu Deep Dive Polling Data
Pollster: Midgam for Channel 12 Fieldwork: December 16–17, 2025 Sample size: 505 respondents + boosted sample of 302 Bennett voters Margin of error: ±4.4% (general), ±5.7% (Bennett voters)
Question 1: Bennett’s Performance as Prime Minister
Rating
General Sample
Coalition Voters
Opposition Voters
Identify as Right
Identify as Center–Left
Intend to Vote Bennett
Very good
11%
4%
19%
9%
15%
33%
Fairly good
36%
18%
61%
28%
51%
61%
Total good
47%
22%
80%
37%
66%
94%
Fairly bad
20%
27%
13%
23%
12%
3%
Very bad
26%
47%
2%
34%
12%
2%
Total bad
46%
74%
15%
57%
24%
5%
Don’t know
7%
4%
5%
6%
10%
1%
Question 2: Bennett vs. Netanyahu
Summary: Bennett vs. Netanyahu
Criterion
Naftali Bennett
Benjamin Netanyahu
Don’t know
More trustworthy
46%
37%
17%
Will better care for people like me
41%
28%
31%
Will better ensure national security
38%
40%
22%
Will better handle the economy and cost of living
45%
30%
25%
Will better address internal social divisions
47%
26%
27%
Would perform better as Prime Minister
40%
44%
16%
Who is more trustworthy?
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Naftali Bennett
46%
19%
79%
33%
72%
96%
Benjamin Netanyahu
37%
71%
5%
53%
9%
2%
Don’t know
17%
10%
16%
14%
19%
2%
Who will better care for people like me?
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Bennett
41%
17%
71%
31%
61%
93%
Netanyahu
28%
56%
5%
41%
8%
1%
Don’t know
31%
27%
24%
28%
31%
6%
Who will better ensure national security?
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Bennett
38%
13%
71%
26%
62%
82%
Netanyahu
40%
73%
10%
58%
12%
12%
Don’t know
22%
14%
19%
16%
26%
6%
Who will better handle the economy and cost of living?
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Bennett
45%
19%
77%
33%
69%
90%
Netanyahu
30%
59%
6%
43%
10%
5%
Don’t know
25%
22%
17%
24%
21%
5%
Who will better address internal social divisions?
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Bennett
47%
22%
76%
35%
71%
93%
Netanyahu
26%
50%
5%
37%
8%
1%
Don’t know
27%
28%
19%
28%
21%
6%
Who would perform better as Prime Minister?
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Bennett
40%
12%
74%
24%
70%
81%
Netanyahu
44%
81%
10%
63%
12%
11%
Don’t know
16%
7%
16%
13%
18%
8%
Question 3: Political Scenarios and Bennett
Summary – General Sample: Political Scenarios and Bennett
Scenario
Total Strengthen
Total Weaken
No Change
Don’t Know
Running with Gadi Eisenkot and the “Yeshar” party
37%
21%
31%
11%
Running with Yoaz Hendel and the Reservists Party
33%
22%
33%
12%
Running with Avigdor Lieberman (Yisrael Beiteinu)
33%
28%
30%
9%
Ruling out sitting in a government with Netanyahu
32%
30%
27%
11%
Running with Yair Lapid (Yesh Atid)
29%
32%
29%
10%
Agreeing to form a government with Netanyahu
23%
41%
25%
11%
Government with Ra’am support or abstention (Mansour Abbas)
20%
39%
28%
13%
Ayelet Shaked joins party leadership
19%
35%
34%
12%
Running with Gadi Eisenkot (Yashar)
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Very strengthen
18%
8%
33%
11%
30%
42%
Somewhat strengthen
19%
10%
31%
16%
27%
31%
Somewhat weaken
7%
7%
7%
7%
4%
9%
Very weaken
14%
24%
4%
18%
8%
2%
No change
31%
40%
19%
37%
21%
10%
Don’t know
11%
11%
6%
11%
10%
6%
Running together with Yair Lapid and Yesh Atid
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Very much strengthen
12%
6%
20%
7%
21%
22%
Somewhat strengthen
17%
5%
30%
10%
31%
26%
Somewhat weaken
7%
7%
10%
10%
3%
19%
Very much weaken
25%
41%
10%
34%
9%
16%
No change
29%
33%
25%
31%
28%
13%
Don’t know
10%
8%
5%
8%
8%
4%
Running together with Avigdor Lieberman and Yisrael Beiteinu
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Very much strengthen
15%
8%
26%
16%
15%
33%
Somewhat strengthen
18%
11%
25%
16%
18%
33%
Somewhat weaken
10%
10%
9%
8%
10%
12%
Very much weaken
18%
27%
9%
22%
18%
6%
No change
30%
36%
23%
30%
30%
13%
Don’t know
9%
8%
8%
8%
9%
3%
Ayelet Shaked joins the party leadership
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Very much strengthen
6%
8%
6%
7%
6%
12%
Somewhat strengthen
13%
14%
14%
15%
13%
26%
Somewhat weaken
14%
8%
21%
9%
14%
16%
Very much weaken
21%
20%
22%
21%
21%
15%
No change
34%
41%
29%
37%
34%
19%
Don’t know
12%
9%
8%
11%
12%
12%
Running together with Yoaz Hendel and the Reservists Party
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Very much strengthen
15%
11%
23%
13%
15%
33%
Somewhat strengthen
18%
11%
27%
14%
17%
37%
Somewhat weaken
7%
5%
11%
6%
7%
8%
Very much weaken
15%
18%
7%
16%
15%
2%
No change
33%
42%
23%
38%
33%
11%
Don’t know
12%
13%
9%
13%
13%
9%
Forming a government with support or abstention by Ra’am (Mansour Abbas)
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Very much strengthen
11%
7%
17%
8%
11%
10%
Somewhat strengthen
9%
4%
16%
5%
9%
16%
Somewhat weaken
9%
8%
12%
8%
9%
20%
Very much weaken
30%
40%
22%
39%
30%
29%
No change
28%
31%
23%
27%
28%
13%
Don’t know
13%
10%
10%
13%
13%
12%
Agreeing to form a government with Benjamin Netanyahu
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Very much strengthen
8%
15%
3%
11%
8%
6%
Somewhat strengthen
15%
23%
4%
20%
15%
10%
Somewhat weaken
9%
8%
13%
10%
9%
18%
Very much weaken
32%
9%
61%
18%
32%
45%
No change
25%
36%
12%
31%
25%
14%
Don’t know
11%
9%
7%
10%
11%
7%
Ruling out sitting in a government with Benjamin Netanyahu
Response
General
Coalition
Opposition
Right
Center–Left
Bennett Voters
Very much strengthen
18%
5%
32%
10%
18%
33%
Somewhat strengthen
14%
8%
23%
13%
14%
24%
Somewhat weaken
9%
10%
9%
9%
8%
16%
Very much weaken
21%
32%
11%
27%
21%
6%
No change
27%
36%
19%
31%
28%
14%
Don’t know
11%
9%
6%
10%
11%
7%
Question 4: Perceived ideology of Bennett
Ideological Position
General Sample
Coalition Voters
Opposition Voters
Identify as Right
Identify as Center–Left
Intend to Vote Bennett (incl. boost)
Far right
5%
6%
5%
5%
4%
3%
Right
31%
24%
42%
35%
26%
44%
Center-right
19%
17%
24%
22%
16%
40%
Total right-wing
55%
47%
71%
62%
46%
87%
Center
13%
10%
18%
9%
23%
11%
Center-left
12%
19%
6%
13%
11%
1%
Left
8%
9%
3%
7%
11%
1%
Far left
6%
10%
0%
7%
6%
0%
Total center–left
39%
48%
27%
36%
51%
13%
Don’t know
6%
5%
2%
2%
3%
0%
Question 5: Bennett Voters
Certainty of voting for Bennett
Response
Percent
Absolutely certain
31%
Fairly certain
57%
Still undecided
12%
Main reason for supporting Bennett
Reason
Percent
No better alternative
50%
Bennett is the right choice
33%
Only one who can defeat Netanyahu
16%
Don’t know
1%
Self-Identified Ideological Position (Bennett Voters)
Ideological Position
Percent
Far right
3%
Right
32%
Center-right
36%
Total right-wing
71%
Center
23%
Center-left
6%
Left
0%
Far left
0%
Total center–left
29%
Refused
0%
Vote in November 1, 2022 election
Party
Percent
National Unity (Gantz)
36%
Yesh Atid (Lapid)
26%
Likud (Netanyahu)
13%
Religious Zionism / Otzma Yehudit (Smotrich/Ben Gvir)
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 