Tag Archive: israeli poll


Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error for Army Radio that was broadcast on Sep 2 2016. The poll was conducted on Aug 31.

Questions

Rank from a scale of 1-10 each minister in terms of how well they do their job with 10 being the highest and 1 being the lowest?

Rank, Minister, (Party), 1-10 rank avg, % of people with an opinion

1 Yaakov Litzman (UTJ) 6.29 – 92%
2 Yisrael Katz (Likud) 5.71 – 93%
3 Ayelet Shaked (Bayit Yehudi) 5.51 – 92%
4 Naftali Bennett (Bayit Yehudi) 5.36 – 96%
5 Gilad Erdan (Likud) 5.09 – 90%
6 Avigdor Liberman (Yisrael Beitenu) 5.06 – 91%
7 Miri Regev (Likud) 4.82 – 95%
8 Moshe Kahlon (Kulanu) 4.75 – 95%
9 Benjamin Netanyahu (Likud) 4.66% – 97%
10 Aryeh Deri (Shas) 3.92% – 90%

Note: The other 11 ministers were not polled.

Do you agree or not agree with the opinion that Israeli society treats Israelis of Ethiopian heritage in a racist manner?

61% Yes, 30% No, 9% No opinion

Notes: Among secular 67% said yes compared to 50% of religious people who said yes. 52% of Likud voters agreed.

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a margin of error of 4.5% for the Jerusalem Post that was published on September 1 2016. The poll was taken on Aug 31.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [24] Zionist Union

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [05] Meretz

69 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

51 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: New Party of Yaalon+Saar+Kahlon

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

16 [11] Yesh Atid

16 [10] New Party (Yaalon, Saar, Kahlon)

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [24] Zionist Union

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [05] Meretz

74 [67] Right-Religious

46 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll that was broadcast by 103 FM Radio on Aug 11 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

21 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

10 [24] Zionist Union

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

08 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [10] Kulanu

06 [05] Meretz

70 [67] Right-Religious

50 [53] Center-Left-Arab

KnessetJeremy Analysis: This is first Maagar Mochot poll released to the public since January.  It is within the margin of error of the latest Geocartographia polls as well as the latest Panels, Smith, Dialog, Midgam and Teleseker polls. I will update the KnessetJeremy Average shortly to reflect the latest poll.

Geocartographia conducted a poll of 500 people that was broadcast on Razi Baraki’s Army Radio Program on Aug 7 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

22 [11] Yesh Atid

16 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

11 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

08 [24] Zionist Union

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

72 [67] Right-Religious

48 [53] Center-Left-Arab

KnessetJeremy Analysis: Last poll that came out was from the same pollster about two weeks ago. Here is the trend: Likud gained 4 seats, Shas 3, Yesh Atid 2 and Yisrael Beitenu 1. Meretz dropped 4 seats, Kulanu lost 3, Zionist Union decreased by 2 and UTJ fell by 1.

Geocartographia conducted a poll that was published by Kol HaZman magazine on July 22 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

16 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

10 [24] Zionist Union

09 [10] Kulanu

09 [05] Meretz

06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

04 [07] Shas

68 [67] Right-Religious

52 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Note: As I have pointed out in the past I am not a big fan of the methodology used by Geocartographia led by Prof. Dagani. However, I do include his polls in the average because he is still among the top eight polling Israeli companies. A previous poll conducted earlier this month by Smith produced the same 68-52 bloc ratio. In addition Dagani’s ability to poll the ultra-orthodox community helps average out the polling companies that have a difficulty polling the ultra-orthodox community such as Dialog and Maagar Mochot. I’ll point out that the UTJ 12 seat showing can be factored in with the usual 3%-4% margin of error. My suggestion is not to not read too much into this particular poll but to acknowledge that the pluses of the Geocartographia system are required to produce our polling average.

Updated KnessetJeremy Polling Average below:

20th Knesset: KnessetJeremy Polling Average