Tag Archive: Israeli Knesset


The Last 4 Polls

Below are the last four polls that were released yesterday, before the deadline for publishing or broadcasting polls.

The next post will compare a 7-Poll Average from the polls released during the last two days of polling to a 15-Poll Average of the polls released throughout the week to last week’s average.

Poll 1: Panels conducted a poll with a 3.1% margin of error that was published by Maariv on October 28 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

09 [09] Shas (Deri)

06 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.1% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.8% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.2% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.7% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.3% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

Poll 2: Smith conducted a poll that was broadcast by Galai Yisrael Radio on October 28 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

09 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.1% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

2% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.9% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.4% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

Poll 3: Midgam conducted a poll of 1007 with a 3.1% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on October 28 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.6% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.5% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

0.9% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.6% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.6% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.6% [–] Green Leaf

0.4% [–] Eli Avidar Party

Poll 4: Kamil Fuchs conducted a poll of 801 with a 3.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on October 28 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

27 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

15 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

10 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.75% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

2% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

0.9% [–] 30/40 (Weinstein)

0.7% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.4% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.2% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

11 Polls from Monday-Thursday

Polls must be published or broadcast by midnight Israeli time between Friday and Saturday.

I will publish the last polls and polling average on Saturday evening.

Below are the 11 polls that were published or broadcast over the last four days from Monday October 24 – Thursday October 27.

Poll 1: Kantar conducted a poll of 752 people with a 3.6% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on October 24 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

09 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.6% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.5% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

1.2% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.7% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.7% [–] Eli Avidar Party

0.2% [–] Green Leaf

0.2% [–] Tzomet

Poll 2: Panels conducted a poll that was published by Maariv on October 24 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.7% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.6% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

0.7% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.6% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.1% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.1% [–] Tzomet

Poll 3: Direct Polls conducted a poll of 1084 people with a 4.2% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 14 on October 24 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

23 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

12 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

09 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.9% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

0.4% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.2% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.2% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

Poll 4: Midgam conducted a poll of 503 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on October 24 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

13 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.8% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.4% [–] Eli Avidar Party

0.6% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.4% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.4% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.2% [–] Green Leaf

0.1% [–] Tzomet

Poll 5: Panels conducted a poll of 709 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel 99 on October 25 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.1% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.8% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.0% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

Poll 6: Kamil Fuchs conducted a poll of 801 people with a 3.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 13 on October 25 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

27 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

04 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.3% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

2.2% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.4% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

1.3% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

1% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

Poll 7: Midgam conducted a poll of 505 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Army Radio on October 26 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.4% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.3% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

Poll 8: Smith conducted a poll of 700 people with a 3.8% margin of error that was broadcast by Galai Yisrael Radio on October 26 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

09 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.5% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

1.2% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.7% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

Poll 9: Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 1201 people with a 2.7% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on October 27 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

15 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

09 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.2% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1 % [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

Poll 10: Direct Polls conducted a poll of 2385 people with a 1.8% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 14 on October 27 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

23 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

13 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

12 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

09 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

04 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.1% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.9% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

0.6% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.5% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.5% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.1% [–] Eli Avidar Party

Poll 11: Kantar conducted a poll of 1301 people with a 2.7% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on October 27 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

06 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.2% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

2% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.4% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

1.3% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.9% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.5% [–] Eli Avidar Party

0.1% [–] Green Leaf

0% [–] Tzomet

Smotrich made the most significant gain with a 0.6 jump. Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu went up for the second straight week, this time by 0.3.

Likud dropped for the second consecutive week, this time by 0.5. Gantz also went down this week, this time by 0.3. Lapid’s Yesh Atid also lost 0.1.

Overall, we remain stuck at a 60-60 deadlock between the two blocs.

This week will be the last week that polls can be conducted and released. The polling blackout begins midnight between Friday and Saturday.

PartySeatsThis WeekLast WeekGap
Likud3231.632.1-0.5
Yesh Atid2424.324.4-0.1
Religious Zionist1313.412.80.6
National Unity1211.611.9-0.3
Shas88.18.10
UTJ7770
Yisrael Beitenu66.360.3
Labor5550
Meretz54.74.70
Hadash-Taal4440
Raam4440
     
PartySeatsThis WeekLast WeekGap
Bayit Yehudi 2.21.82.3-0.5
Balad 21.71.40.3
Zalika Party 1.31.110.1
Kara Party 0.60.50.7-0.2
Burning Youth 0.50.40.5-0.1
     
PartySeatsThis WeekLast WeekGap
Netanyahu Bloc6060.1600.1
Lapid w/H-T6059.960-0.1
Lapid w/o H-T5655.956-0.1

Kantar conducted a poll of 651 people with a 3.8% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on October 18 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.9% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.8% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

The rest under 0.5%

Midgam conducted a poll of 510 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on October 18 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.7% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.2% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.2% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.5% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.1% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0% [–] 30/40 (Weinstein)

0% [–] Green Leaf

Panels conducted a poll of 712 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel 99 on October 19 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.5% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

1.4% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

Others under 0.5%

Midgam conducted a poll of 507 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by the Channel 12 on October 20 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

06 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.9% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.3% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

0.5% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.3% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.3% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.2% [–] 30/40 (Weinstein)

0% [–] Eli Avidar Party

0% [–] Green Leaf

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 847 people with a 4.2% margin of error that was broadcast by the Channel 14 on October 20 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

23 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

13 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

12 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

09 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

06 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

04 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

04 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.1% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.9% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

0.7% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.5% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

0.4% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

Kamil Fuchs conducted a poll of 801 people with a 3.5% margin of error that was broadcast by the Channel 13 on October 20 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

26 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

11 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

05 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.4% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.4% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

1.1% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

Panels conducted a poll of 712 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was published by Maariv on October 21 2022.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu)

23 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid)

14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich)

12 [16] National Unity (Gantz)

08 [09] Shas (Deri)

07 [07] United Torah Judaism (Gafni)

07 [07] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)

05 [07] Labor (Michaeli)

05 [06] Meretz (Galon)

04 [05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh)

04 [04] Ra’am (Abbas)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

1.8% [04] Bayit Yehudi (Shaked)

1.7% [01] Balad (Abu Shachada)

1.1% [–] New Economy (Zalika)

0.5% [01] Free Economy (Kara)

0.4% [–] Burning Youth (Muchtar)

Yesh Atid makes largest gain of 0.9 and Likud takes biggest drop of 0.7 – narrowing the gap between the two bloc leaders to 7.7 seats.

Inside the Netanyahu camp, in addition to the Likud’s drop, Shas dropped slightly with a 0.1 loss. The Anti-Netanyahu Bloc continued to see fluctuation as Gantz made gains of 0.7 & Liberman went up 0.2. Both Labor & Meretz dropped 0.5 each. Another interesting development is that all of the major parties currently polling under the threshold went up slightly – Shaked, Balad, Zalika, Kara & Muchtar.

Netanyahu’s bloc stands at 60. Lapid’s bloc is at 60 with Hadash-Taal and 56 without them.

PartySeatsThis WeekLast WeekGap
Likud3232.132.8-0.7
Yesh Atid2424.423.50.9
Religious Zionist1312.812.80
National Unity1211.911.20.7
Shas88.18.2-0.1
UTJ7770
Yisrael Beitenu665.80.2
Labor555.5-0.5
Meretz54.75.2-0.5
Hadash-Taal4440
Raam4440
     
PartySeatsThis WeekLast WeekGap
Bayit Yehudi2.82.32.20.1
Balad1.71.41.10.3
Zalika Party1.210.70.3
Kara Party0.80.70.60.1
Burning Youth0.60.50.40.1
     
PartySeatsThis WeekLast WeekGap
Netanyahu Bloc606060.8-0.8
Lapid w/H-T606059.20.8
Lapid w/o H-T565655.20.8