Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Dialog conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4.1% margin of error that was published on July 21 2019 by Channel 7/Arutz 7.

The poll sample was taken from voters of United Right List (Bayit Yehudi, National Union-Tekuma & Otzma), HaYamin HeHadash and Zehut voters.

After Netanyahu which candidate would you like to see in the Prime Minister residence?

29% Shaked, 16% Bennett, 15% Saar, 15% Other candidate, 9% Smotrich, 5% Refused to answer, 4% Edelstein, 2% Erdan, 2% Regev, 2% Rabbi Peretz, 1% Y. Katz

Smith conducted a poll of 597 people with a 4.1% margin of error that was published on July 19 2019 by Maariv and broadcast on 103 FM.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
29 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
06 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
05 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

00 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll: Labor+Meretz but without Orly Levy/Gesher

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
27 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
13 [10] Labor (Peretz) + Meretz (Horowitz)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 431 people with a 4.6% margin of error that was published on July 19 2019 by Makor Rishon.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
29 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
05 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
05 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

1.7% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
1.0% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
56 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
08 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #1: Shaked leads Joint Right List, Peretz leads Labor+Barak list but without Orly Levy/Gesher.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
28 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
12 [05] United Right List (Shaked, Bennett, Peretz, Smotrich, Feiglin & Otzma)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [06] Labor (Peretz & Barak)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
05 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
08 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #2: Peretz leads Joint Right List, Barak leads Labor+Barak list but without Orly Levy/Gesher.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
29 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Labor (Peretz & Barak)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [05] United Right List (Shaked, Bennett, Peretz, Smotrich, Feiglin & Otzma)
05 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Dialog conducted a poll of 600 people with a 4.1% margin of error that was published on July 17 2019 by Arutz 7/Israel National News.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
28 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
08 [06] Labor (Peretz)
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

1% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

58 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
54 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
08 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Midgam conducted a poll of 508 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast on July 16 2019 by Channel 12.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

1.7% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #1: United Left List – Labor+Meretz+Barak

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
28 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
15 [10] Labor (Peretz), Meretz (Horowitz) & Israel Democratic Party (Barak)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)

55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #2: United Right List – HaYamin HeHadash, Zehut, Bayit Yehudi, Tekuma-National Union & Otzma led by Shaked

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
12 [05] United Right List (Shaked, Bennett, Feiglin, Otzma Peretz & Smotrich)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz)
04 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Question:

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 28% Gantz, 22% Neither, 10% Don’t know