Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Smith conducted a poll that was published in Globes on May 1^st.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [31] Likud Beitenu

19 [15] Labor

14 [19] Yesh Atid

12 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [11] Shas

10 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [04] Hadash

04 [03] Balad

00 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

65 [61] Right-Religious

55 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud Beitenu remains at the top. Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad all pass the new threshold but Livni’s party does not.

Which candidate is suitable to be the next Prime Minister?

36% none of the above, 32% Netanyahu, 13% Herzog, 8% Liberman, 6% Kachalon, 5% Lapid

Midgam conducted two polls broadcast by Channel 10 on April 17 2014.

The first poll added Kachalon as an option, has Likud & Beitenu running together and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [31] Likud Beitenu

16 [15] Labor

12 [–] Kachalon Party

11 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [11] Shas

08 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

01 [02] Kadima

58 [61] Right-Religious

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab

The second poll ran Kachalon & Beitenu together and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [11] Yisrael Beitenu + Kachalon

19 [20] Likud

18 [15] Labor

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [11] Shas

08 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

04 [04] Hadash

03 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

70 [61] Right-Religious

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Midgam conducted two polls of 500 people with a margin of error of 3.9% on April 9-10 and was published by Yediot Achronot on April 14 2014.

The polls used the new threshold of 3.25%.

The first poll added Kachalon as an option and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [31] Likud Beitenu

16 [15] Labor

12 [12] Bayit Yehudi

11 [–] Kachalon Party

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [06] Meretz

09 [11] Shas

08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

00 [02] Kadima

57 [61] Right-Religious

52 [59] Center-Left-Arab

The second poll ran Likud and Beitenu as different parties, added Kachalon as an option and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

22 [20] Likud

16 [15] Labor

11 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [11] Yisrael Beitenu

10 [06] Meretz

10 [–] Kachalon Party

08 [11] Shas

08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

00 [02] Kadima

58 [61] Right-Religious

52 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: This is the first poll of the Knesset term where Likud Beitenu running together comes out under 30 seats. Seven parties in double digits. Kachalon is running in the low double digits in the results of every polling company. The difference of opinion seems to come on where the votes are coming from. The raising of the threshold does not seem to make such an impact in this poll.

Dialgoue conducted a poll that was published by Haaretz on April 11 2014.

The poll uses the old threshold of 2% instead of the new threshold of 3.25%. It also does not include Kachalon’s new party.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

37 [31] Likud Beitenu

15 [15] Labor

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

14 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [06] Meretz

09 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [04] Hadash

03 [06] Movement

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

68 [61] Right-Religious

53 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Hard to take analyze a poll with old threshold.