Smith conducted two polls that were published in Globes in May 30th.
The poll was conucted May 26-27 (before the Presidential Deadline and Rivlin endorsements by Bennett and Netanyahu).
The first poll was with the 12 Knesset factions as they are today.
The second poll was a scenario poll with a Kachalon Party, and Likud running separate from Yisrael Beitenu.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
34 [31] Likud Beitenu
17 [15] Labor
15 [19] Yesh Atid
15 [12] Bayit Yehudi
10 [11] Shas
09 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
04 [04] Hadash
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
67 [61] Right-Religious
53 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
23 [20] Likud
15 [15] Labor
14 [–] Kachalon
13 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [19] Yesh Atid
09 [11] Yisrael Beitenu
09 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad
07 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
73 [61] Right-Religious-Kachalon
47 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: If you consider Kachalon right wing (or at least more right over Lapid) he brings 6 additional seats over to the right-religious block. Livni is not able to pass the new threshold in either poll.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
yeh, the big question is if Kachalon goes with the Right or the Left.
jeremy-you gotta stop putting the heredim with the right. they are mad about the conscription law, and are most likely going to support the left in the next election. and aryeh deri is about as left as meretz. there is no reason to put shas and agudas on the right, when they will no doubt support the left. if they don’t immediately go left, they will at least be kingmakers, deciding who forms the coalition based on who promises to give them what they want.
Randi,
First off polls show that voters who vote for Shas & UTJ are right-wing voters, not left-wing voters, even today.
Second of all most of the Shas & UTJ MKs are right wing, if you had a conversation with them you would know.
Third, indeed Aryeh Deri is more left than a majority of the Knesset, but he does not control his party, it most likely will split before next elections.
Lastly, the threat of upsetting the status quo with anti-religious legislation by the left (Meretz, Labor, Livni, Lapid) is the very reason why the Haredim will not be kingmakers and will choose the right over the left.
KnessetJeremy