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Panels conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on September 3rd 2015.

No Israeli public poll has been conducted on the distribution of seats since the March election.

Do you understand the Arrangements Bill and the State Budget?

70% No, 20% Yes

Does Sharon Gal’s resignation harm Yisrael Beytenu?

52% No impact, 21% Harm Party, 12% Help Party

Does Shai Piron’s resignation harm Yesh Atid?

42%, No impact, 25% Harm Party, 10% Help Party

Who is the most fit to lead the Right?
(Only those who define themselves as right-wing)

36% Netanyahu, 31% Bennett, 14% none of the above, 9% Liberman

(Among Likud voters)

72% Netanyahu, 12% Saar, 4% none of the above, 3% Erdan, 3% Ya’alon, 1% Shalom

I am a big baseball fan. Looking at the last year, it is easy to view the Knesset and compare it to baseball. The Knesset went to elections after a winter of MKs switching teams and the emergence of new parties. It has been a long 168-day season so far since the election of the 20th Knesset on March 17th 2015. Following the spring training, the new MKs officially took their seats on March 31st 2015. Today, on September 2nd, as the Knesset approaches the fall and marathon of budget votes, the rosters of the Knesset and cabinet members went through a series of changes. Another round of changes is expected before the fall classic, the Israeli state budget.

The Knesset took a break from their summer recess to approve the budget in its first reading. The Knesset also welcomed a new minister, a minister promotion to a ministry, three new MKs and a lot of gossip. Let’s go through it.

Cabinet Changes:

Two holes in the cabinet were created over the last week for two very different reasons.

Danny Danon (Likud) decided to accept the appointment as the Israeli Ambassador to the United Nations General Assembly in New York. After the cabinet approved the measure Danon automatically vacated a spot in Netanyahu’s 20-minister cabinet as a result of the vote. A list of five Likud MKs pushed for Danon’s spot. The two main candidates were Benny Begin (who resigned from his cabinet post earlier in the term to make room for the return of Likud’s #2 Gilad Erdan) and Coalition Chairman Tzachi Hanegbi (who is promised an appointment to a cabinet post as part of a rotation agreement with Minister Akunis). Former Minister Avi Dichter and Deputy Ministers Kara and Hotovely also thought they should get Danon’s job.

Meanwhile, thanks to a petition by opposition party Yesh Atid, the Supreme Court placed Netanyahu in a situation where he would be forced to legally appoint Ya’acov Litzman (UTJ) as a Minister. Litzman had been serving as the Deputy Health Minister who was conducting himself as the Minister under an agreement with Netanyahu. UTJ had refused to take on Minister positions for decades for what they claimed was religious reasons. UTJ’s Great Council of Sages found a loophole in the religious reasoning and approved Litzman’s appointment. Netanyahu gave Danon’s 20th spot in cabinet to Litzman instead of promoting a Likud MK. Litzman’s appointment was approved by the Knesset today.

Although Litzman had taken Danon’s position in the cabinet, Netanyahu had to make the decision which current Likud Minister would get Danon’s Science & Technology Ministry. A few Likud Ministers competed for the position. Netanyahu chose to promote Minister-without-portfolio Ophir Akunis to the Science & Technology portfolio. Akunis will still remain with the authority he was given in the Communications Ministry as well. The Akunis appointment was also brought to the Knesset today.

There are rumors that Netanyahu will seek to expand the cabinet from 20-ministers to 21 in order to add an additional Likud Minister. The Likud had 12 of the 20 cabinet spots before the Danon resignation and now have 11 of 20.

Knesset Changes:

Besides opening up a cabinet position (filled by Litzman), and a ministry position (filled by Akunis), the Danny Danon UN appointment also opened up an MK position, which was filled by Sharren Haskel, who was next in line on the Likud list. Haskel was officially sworn in during today’s Knesset session. Haskel is the 30th female MK which brings the number of female MKs to 25% of its membership for the first time in Knesset history.

Yesh Atid’s #2 Shai Piron announced today his resignation which will go into effect in 48-hours on Friday. Former Hatnua/Livni Party MK Elazar Stern is the next name on the list and will serve as a Yesh Atid MK for the rest of the term.

Yisrael Beitenu’s Sharon Gal also announced his resignation today. Gal is the second Yisrael Beitenu MK to choose to leave so far this term. The next name on the list that will take his place is Oded Forer.

Are more fresh faces on the way? There are rumors that another MK’s resignation might be imminent. Additionally, the legal troubles of Likud MK Oren Hazan are increasing with the police recommending an indictment.

Following the passage of the Norwegian Law there should be up to five new MKs before the opening of the winter recess. The law enables a minister from each coalition party to quit the Knesset in favor of the next name on their party’s list and return if they quit their cabinet post. Before the passage of the law it was impossible to return to Knesset during the same term if a minister left their cabinet post.

Shas leader Arye Deri, Bayit Yehudi chairman Naftali Bennett and Kulanu head Moshe Kahlon are expected to quit the Knesset to bring in the next people on their list. Former 3-term Shas MK Avraham Michaeli will replace Deri in the Knesset. Former Bayit Yehudi MK Shuli Mualem will replace Bennett. Former Kadima MK Akram Hasson is the next person on the Kulanu list after the person ahead of Hasson took a job as Kahlon’s CEO of the Finance Ministry. It is unclear yet who will resign for UTJ’s former MK Ya’akov Asher because of internal political disagreements. Rumors have it that Akunis will resign from Knesset to let in the next Likud member on the list, Amir Ohana, who would be the first openly gay Likud MK. The rumors claim Akunis had to agree to resign from Knesset in order to get Danon’s portfolio.

Budget

The budget passed in its first reading today by the vote of 57-53. Israel’s 2016 budget allocates for the first time more to education (NIS 60.6b) than to defense (NIS 56b) per Jerusalem Post’s Lahav Harkov.

New Panels Poll, conducted on Aug 27 2015 for Knesset Channel TV, on a range of domestic issues.

The last public opinion poll on seat distribution was back in March.

Would you like to see Ehud Barak return to politics?

Yes 11%
No 74%

Are you pleased with the conduct of Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon?

Yes 27%
No 53%

Is Minister Erdan’s decision to appoint a person from outside the police as Commissioner correct?

Correct 54%
Wrong 22%

Do you think the selection of Gal Hirsch as Commissioner is a good choice?

Good 36%
Not good 21%

What grade do you give Education Minister Naftali Bennett?

Good 48%
Average 27%
Bad 11%

Are you more pleased with Education Minister Bennett or former Education Minister Piron?

Bennett 38%
Piron 22%
Equal 11%

What is the most important issue for the education system in Israel?

Educational values 50%
Reducing class size 28%
Increasing Science & Technology classes 12%
Strengthening Mathematics 7%.

Would you define Education Minister Naftali Bennett as the Education Minister of all Israeli children?

All Israeli children 45%
Mostly for the Jewish community 15%
Mostly for the religious community 14%
Mostly for the right 8%

Who would you vote for in the Labor Party primaries?:

Option A:

(All voters)

Herzog 24%
Yachimovitz 39%
Barak 14%

(Labor Voters)

Herzog 42%
Yachimovitz 40%
Barak 12%

Option B:

(All voters)

Herzog 18%
Yachimovitz 37%
Ashkenazi 22%

(Labor Voters)

Herzog 38%
Yachimovitz 37%
Ashkenazi 20%

*Question was for “Labor voters”, not “Labor party members”.

August Voice of Israel Shows

August Shows (so far, updating daily)

1) Josh Hasten Show: Parliamentary Vitriol (Aug 4)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/parliamentary-vitriol/

2) Live @5 Panel w/Glen Ladau: Analysis of Saltan-Levy Al-Jazeera Debate (Aug 4)
Panel: Molly Livingstone, Daniel Seaman, Mottle Wolfe

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/conflict-irresolution/

3) Inside Israel Today w/Raoul Wootliff: Nodding to Israel from the Podium, First GOP Debate (Aug 10)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/nodding-to-israel-from-the-podium/?t=0

4) Live@5 Panel w/Glen Ladau: Interpretations of Law and Order (Aug 10)
Panel: Daniel Seaman, Ari Abramowitz & Mottle Wolfe

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/interpretations-of-law-and-order/

5) Mottle Wolfe Show: UNRWA & Yes Planet in Jerusaelm (Aug 11)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/right-and-left-and-wrong-all-over/

Highlight of UNRWA: http://www.voiceofisrael.com/unwras-lies-about-infant-mortality/

6) Josh Hasten Show: Foreign Ministry, fudging numbers & Saar (Aug 11)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/money-and-power/

7) Yishai Fleisher Show: Chuck Schumer & Congressmen attacked on Temple Mount (Aug 11)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/chuck-schumers-nuclear-swing/

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/the-never-ending-story/

8) Yishai Fleisher Show: Shaked’s Better Judgment & interviewing Baruch Marzel (Aug 12)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/in-her-better-judgment/

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/the-umbrage-of-ultra-nationalist-baruch-marzel/

9) Live@5 Panel w/Glen Ladau: US sides with PLO, Supreme Court decision & new IDF engagement rules:  (Aug 12)
Panel: Daniel Seaman, Mottle Wolfe, Ari Abramowitz

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/intervention-contention/

10) Jerusalem Diaries w/Judy Lash Balint: Israel’s Political System: A Primer for the Perplexed (Aug 17)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/israels-political-system-a-primer-for-the-perplexed/

11) Live@5 Panel w/Glen Ladau: Danon Appointment, Intifada?, Hunger Strike, BDS Mattisyahu (Aug 17)
Panel: Daniel Seaman, Mottle Wolfe

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/a-cancellation-and-other-controversies/

12) Yishai Fleisher Show:  A Clever and Conniving Political Move – Danon Appointment (Aug 18)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/a-clever-and-conniving-political-move/

13) Live@5 Panel w/Glen Ladau: Democrats Oppose Iran Deal, Sinai Peacekeepers, Hunger Strikes, 2-timing MK (Aug 19)
Panel: Ruthie Blum, Raoul Wootliff

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/iran-sinai-hunger-strikes-and-ashley-madison/

14) Yishai Fleisher Show:  Iran Deal & Mariah Carey/Bon Jovi (Aug 20)

http://www.voiceofisrael.com/why-mariah-carey-is-a-hero/

____________________________

Recent Interview Links:

If you want to listen to my 12 July interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2015/07/12/july-voice-of-israel-shows/

If you want to listen to my 17 June interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2015/07/12/june-voice-of-israel-shows/

If you want to listen to my 10 May interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2015/07/12/may-voice-of-israel-shows/

If you want to listen to my 7 April interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2015/07/12/april-voice-of-israel-shows/

If you want to listen to my 24 March interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2015/04/01/march-voice-of-israel-shows/

If you want to listen to my 13 February interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2015/03/03/february-voice-of-israel-shows/

If you want to listen to my 13 January interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2015/02/05/january-voice-of-israel-shows/

If you want to listen to 17 of my December interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2014/12/07/december-voice-of-israel-radio-links/

If you want to listen to 21 of my November interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2014/11/04/november-voice-of-israel-radio-links/

If you want to listen to 13 of my October interviews:

http://jeremysaltan.com/2014/10/01/latest-voice-of-israel-radio-links/

_____________________________

Recent Links in the news (last few months):

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/Bayit-Yehudi-branch-heads-want-Bennetts-power-limited-398596

http://glz.co.il/1064-61502-HE/Galatz.aspx

http://www.kipa.co.il/now/62227.html

http://www.srugim.co.il/112785-%D7%91%D7%91%D7%99%D7%AA-%D7%94%D7%99%D7%94%D7%95%D7%93%D7%99-%D7%93%D7%A0%D7%95-%D7%91%D7%A6%D7%9E%D7%A6%D7%95%D7%9D-%D7%A1%D7%9E%D7%9B%D7%95%D7%99%D7%95%D7%AA%D7%99%D7%95-%D7%A9%D7%9C-%D7%99%D7%95

http://www.diplomatist.com/articles/article003.html

http://www.themarker.com/news/politics/1.2622365

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/Bayit-Yehudi-crowdsources-tips-for-improvement-after-election-disappointments-405723

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/MK-Immigration-minister-must-stop-sale-of-Mevasseret-absorption-center-404976

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/Comptroller-to-probe-alleged-sale-of-absorption-center-building-eviction-of-immigrants-406114

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/Liberman-Haredi-parties-control-government-Israeli-society-captive-to-extremist-elements-408032

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/Knesset-Aliya-committee-criticizes-conditions-at-Mevaseret-absorption-center-408057

http://jpupdates.com/2015/07/06/conversion-law-repeal-criticized-bayit-yehudi-mk-rebels/

http://www.cctv-america.com/2015/08/12/the-heat-israels-controversial-new-laws

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/200490#.VfGbRBGqqko

http://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-future-of-europe/

http://rebmottle.com/naftali-bennett-schools-anti-semetic-news-host/

http://rebmottle.com/knesset-is-dealing-with-terrorists-from-without-and-within/

Israel was mentioned by five of the ten candidates in the Fox News Top-10 Republican Debate. Paul mentioned Israel three times and Walker twice. Moving US Embassy to Jerusalem and Netanyahu were also mentioned.

Quick Summary

Trump, the frontrunner, spoke out against the Iran deal and said “what happened with Iran is a disgrace”.

Bush, the current runner-up in the polls, also spoke out against the Iran deal.

Walker, the other top-three candidate, said he would terminate the Iran deal on day 1 and put sanctions back into play. He mentioned Israel twice during the debate.

Huckabee, currently running fourth, spoke out very strongly against Iran and mentioned Israel once.

Carson, who rounds out the top-five, talked about National Security issues, but did not get into Israel-Iran issues.

Cruz warned “Iran is on the verge of getting a nuke weapon” and pledged to cancel the Iran deal & move the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

Rubio was one of two candidates to not discuss national security related issues.

Paul mentioned Israel three times during the debate. He said he will vote against Iran deal in Senate and that “Israel is a great ally”. He stressed that Netanyahu wants Israel to be financially independent so his view on eventually cutting Israel foreign aid isn’t an anti-Israel position.

Christie said he would keep giving foreign aid to Israel and discussed other national security issues.

Kasich was one of two candidates to not discuss national security related issues.

Israel count: After two events Israel has been mentioned 18 times overall by nine candidates. Jindal leads with mentioning Israel a total of 4 times in 2 events, Paul is in second place with 3 mentions.

Events Times
Jindal 2 4
Paul 2 3
Fiorina 2 3
Walker 2 2
Cruz 2 2
Christie 2 1
Graham 2 1
Santorum 2 1
Huckabee 1 1
Carson 2 0
Bush 2 0
Rubio 2 0
Kasich 2 0
Pataki 2 0
Gilmore 1 0
Trump 1 0
Perry 2 0