Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Poll #1: Midgam conducted a poll of 540 people with a 4.2% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 2 on August 10 2017.

Do you agree with the prime minister’s claim that the media has launched a campaign to topple him?

48% No, 42% Yes, 10% Don’t know

Has Netanyahu’s speech strengthened or weakened your faith in Netanyahu?

50% No change, 27% Weakened, 12% Don’t know, 11% Strengthened

Should investigations be postponed against an incumbent prime minister?

72% No, 15% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Poll #2: Shiluv conducted a poll of 500 people that was conducted and broadcast by Kan (Channel 1) on August 10 2017.

Do you agree with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s statement that the left and the media are trying to carry out a government coup?

53% No (21% do not agree and 32% totally disagree), 47% Yes (20% strongly agree and 27% agree)

Do you believe in the innocence of the prime minister?

67% No (38% do not believe and 29% do not believe at all), 33% Yes (25% believe and 8% really believe it.

Did the prime minister’s speech last night strengthen your belief in the innocence of the prime minister or weaken it?

35% Didn’t hear about speech, 29% Don’t believe him & No Change, 17% Believe him & No Change, , 8% Strengthened, 2% Weakened

Do you think the prime minister will have to resign if he is indicted?

69% Yes, compared, 31% No.

Note: 46% of right-wing voters responded yes.

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.5% margin of error that was published by Jerusalem Post on August 10 2017. It was conducted on Aug 7-8.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
20 [24] Zionist Union
19 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
05 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #1: Yaalon and Yachad (Eli Yishai) both recieved 3 seats each but under the 3.25% electoral threshold. 13% said they could still change their mind.

If an indictment is filed against Benjamin Netanyahu, is it acceptable for you that the prime minister take a leave of absence (meaning that the prime minister will be replaced for a temporary period of time)?

67% Yes, 32% No, 1% Don’t know

Note #2: 56%-53% of Likud, UTJ, Shas parties answered yes compared to about 80% of Yesh Atid, Zionist Union and Meretz voters who answered yes. 73% of Kluanu voters and 70% of Bayit Yehudi voters answered yes.

Note #3: Overall about 50% of right voters answered yes compared to 80% of center and left voters who answered yes.

Note #4: 54% of 18-29 demographic answered yes compared to 76% of 50+ demographic that answered yes.

Which of the following people is best suited to serve as prime minister?

Scenario with Saar leading Likud

None or No opinion 31%, Gideon Sa’ar 16%, Yair Lapid 16%, Naftali Bennett 14%, Avi Gabay 14%, Avigdor Lieberman 9%

Scenario with Erdan leading Likud

No one or No opinion 34%, Naftali Bennett 16%, Yair Lapid 16%, Avi Gabay 16%, Avigdor Lieberman 10%, Gilad Erdan 8%

Note #5: Among those who mentioned Gideon Sa’ar in the first scenario: 35% did not choose any candidate in the second scenario, 27% Gilad Erdan, 16% Naftali Bennett, 10% Avi Gabbai, Lieberman and Lapid both had single digits (12% together).

Note #6: In first scenario Bennett received first place among Bayit Yehudi (52%) and Likud (28%) voters. Lapid received first place among Yesh Atid voters (65%), Gabbay received first place among Zionist Union voters (43%), Liberman received first place among Yisrael Beitenu voters (44%) and Saar did not place first in any party.

Note #7: In second scenario Bennett received first place among Bayit Yehudi (56%) and Likud (27%) voters. Lapid received first place among Yesh Atid voters (69%), Gabbay received first place among Zionist Union voters (48%), Liberman received first place among Yisrael Beitenu voters (44%) and Erdan did not place first in any party.

Smith conducted a poll of 450 people that meet the standard of a representative sample of those who define their political worldview as very right, right and center-right within the Jewish sector. The poll was conducted on August 6, 2017, published by Israel National News on August 9, and has a margin of error of 4.6%.

How do you define yourself politically?

Right 53%, Very Right 22%, Center Right 25%

Who did you vote for in 2015?

Likud 46%. Bayit Yehudi 16%, Shas, UTJ or Yachad 14%, Didn’t vote 9%, Kulanu 8%, Zionist Union or Yesh Atid 8%, Yisrael Beitenu 7%, Meretz, Joint List and Other parties 1%

Which of the following personalities do you consider the most idealist?

Naftali Bennett 39%, Other or No opinion 14%, Gideon Sa’ar 12%, Avigdor Lieberman 11%, Gilad Erdan 8%, Israel Katz 8%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 8%

Note #1: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: Male (42%), Female (36%), 18-34 (46%), 35-54 (43%), 55+ (31%), Haredi (27%), National Religious (58%), Traditional (35%), Secular (33%), Very right (44%), Right (41%), Center-Right (31%), Likud voters (36%), Zionist Union + Yesh Atid voters (27%), Kulanu (31%), Bayit Yehudi (73%) and Haredi parties (27%).

Note #2: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 43%.

Who of the following personalities is most loyal to the Land of Israel?

Naftali Bennett 48%, Other or no opinion 12%, Avigdor Lieberman 11%, Gideon Sa’ar 9%, Gilad Erdan 8%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 7%, Israel Katz 5%

Note #3: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: Male (54%), Female (41%), 18-34 (61%), 35-54 (50%), 55+ (35%), Haredi (51%), National Religious (58%), Traditional (47%), Secular (39%), Very right (49%), Right (50%), Center-Right (42%), Likud (46%), Zionist Union + Yesh Atid (36%), Kulanu (41%), Bayit Yehudi (75%) and Haredi parties (45%).

Note #4: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 39%.

Which of the following figures best reflects the values of the right?

Naftali Bennett 45%, Avigdor Lieberman 15%, Other or no opinion 10%, Gideon Sa’ar 9%, Gilad Erdan 9%, Israel Katz 8%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 4%

Note #5: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 50% Male, 41% Female. 58% 18-34, 42% 35-54. 40% 55+. 47% Haredi. 63% National Religious. 41% Traditional. 36% Secular. 48% Very Right. 44% Right. 46% Center-Right. 40% Likud. 42% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid. 45% Kulanu. 66% Bayit Yehudi and 44% Haredi Parties.

Note #6: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 48%.

Who of the following personalities will stand the strongest against Arab terrorism?

Naftali Bennett 33%, Avigdor Lieberman 27%, Other or No opinion 15%, Gilad Erdan 9%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 7%, Gideon Sa’ar 5%, Israel Katz 4%

Note #7: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 39% Male, 36% 18-34, 39% 35-54, 39% Haredi, 53% National Religious, 44% Very Right, 33% Right, 30% Likud, 31% Kulanu, 58% Bayit Yehudi and 36% Haredi Parties.

Note #8: Liberman leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 34% Female, 28% 55+, 32% Traditional, 37% Secular, 30% Center-Right, 36% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid and 65% Yisrael Beitenu voters.

Who of the following personalities will best protect a united Jerusalem?

Naftali Bennett 60%, Avigdor Lieberman 11%, Other or no opinion 10%, Gilad Erdan 6%, Gideon Sa’ar 5%, Israel Katz 5%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 3%

Note #9: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 65% Male, 54% Female, 67% 18-34, 60% 35-54, 55% 55+, 55% Haredi, 67% National Religious, 55% Traditional, 61% Secular, 62% Very Right, 58% Right, 63% Center-Right, 60% Likud, 61% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid, 55% Kulanu, 76% Bayit Yehudi and 53% Haredi Parties

Note #10: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 43%.

On the day after Netanyahu who should be the leader of the right?

Naftali Bennett 26%, Gideon Sa’ar 20%, Other or no opinion 16%, Gilad Erdan 13%, Israel Katz 12%, Avigdor Lieberman 8%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 5%

Note #11: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 22% Male, 30% Female, 33% 18-34, 26% 35-54, 47% National Religious, 24% Traditional, 34% Very Right, 28% Right, 21% Likud and 58% Bayit Yehudi.

Note #12: Saar leads all other candidates in the following demographics:  25% 55+, 35% Haredi, 31% Center-Right, 39% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid and 29% Haredi Parties.

Note #13: Katz leads among (20%) Secular and (31%) Kulanu voters.

Note #14: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 30%.

Of the following three people, on the day after Netanyahu, who should be the leader of the right?

Naftali Bennett 37%, Gideon Sa’ar 36%, Other or No opinion 14%, Avigdor Lieberman 13%

Note #15: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 40% Female, 45% 18-34, 38% 35-54, 57% National Religious, 47% Very Right, 40% Right and 66% Bayit Yehudi.

Note #16: Saar leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 40% Male, 44% 55+, 51% Haredi, 36% Secular, 56% Center-Right, 38% Likud, 45% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid, 45% Kulanu and 44% Haredi Parties.

Note #17: Bennett and Saar tied with traditional voters with 35%.

Note #18: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 61%.

Note #19: From previous question, 93% of Saar voters stayed with him, 90% of Bennett voters stayed and 82% of Liberman voters stayed. 46% of Katz voters and 41% of Yaalon voters went with Saar and 42% of Erdan voters went with Bennett.

On the day after Netanyahu, which of the following figures should be the right-wing candidate for prime minister?

Naftali Bennett 26%, Gideon Sa’ar 24%, Other or No opinion 11%, Israel Katz 11%, Gilad Erdan 10%, Avigdor Lieberman 9%, Moshe (Boogie) Ya’alon 9%

Note #20: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 27% Female, 30% 18-34. 28% 35-54, 43% National Religious, 23% Traditional, 38% Very Right, 27% Right and 56% Bayit Yehudi.

Note #21: Saar leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 29% 55+, 35% Haredi, 21% Secular, 32% Center-Right, 21% Likud, 39% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid and 38% Haredi Parties.

Note #21: Bennett and Saar tied with male voters with 24%.

Note #22: Katz leads among Kulanu voters with 28%.

Note #23: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 43%.

Of the following three people, on the day after Netanyahu, who should be the right-wing candidate for prime minister?

Naftali Bennett 36%, Gideon Sa’ar 35%, Avigdor Lieberman 15%, Other, No opinion 14%

Note #24: Bennett leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 37% Female, 40% 18-34, 39% 35-54, 52% National Religious, 35% Traditional, 46% Very Right, 39% Right and 63% Bayit Yehudi.

Note #25: Saar leads all other candidates in the following demographics: 39% Male, 43% 55+, 47% Haredi, 37% Secular, 55% Center-Right, 35% Likud, 55% Zionist Union + Yesh Atid, 45% Kulanu and 47% Haredi Parties.

Note #26: Liberman leads among Yisrael Beitenu voters with 48%.

Note #27: From previous question 94% remained with Saar, 92% with Bennett and 87% with Liberman. 44% of Erdan voters went to Bennett, 47% of Katz voters went to Saar and there was a 30% tie of Yaalon voters between Bennett and Saar.

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 751 people with a 3.6% margin of error conducted and broadcast by Channel 10 on August 6 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
22 [24] Zionist Union
18 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Panel HaMidgam Project conducted a scenario poll of 751 people with a 3.6% margin of error tconducted and broadcast by Channel 10 on August 6 2017. The scenario poll has the Likud led by Saar, Erdan or Katz.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud led by Saar, Erdan or Katz
20 [24] Zionist Union
16 [11] Yesh Atid
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Shas
05 [05] Meretz
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)

68 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
52 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Additional Questions:

Who is most suited to be the right-wing candidate for Prime Minister if Netanyahu does not run?

General Public: 23% None, 23% Saar, 20% Don’t know, 11% Bennett, 9% Liberman, 6% Erdan, 5% Shaked, 4% Katz

Likud & Bayit Yehudi Voters: 19% Bennett, 18% Saar, 16% Don’t know, 14% Liberman, 13% None, 9% Erdan, 6% Shaked, 5% Katz

Do you believe the Prime Minister’s position?

51% No, 27% Yes, 22% Don’t know

If Netanyahu is indicted should he resign?

66% Yes, 21% No, 13% Don’t know

The KnessetJeremyPollingAverage has been updated at this link: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll that was published by Makor Rishon on August 4 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [30] Likud
20 [11] Yesh Atid
16 [24] Zionist Union
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
09 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)

66 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
54 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Scenario Poll: Likud + Bayit Yehudi on joint list & Yesh Atid + Zionist Union on joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

44 [38] Likud + Bayit Yehudi
42 [35] Yesh Atid + Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
07 [10] Kulanu
05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [07] Shas
03 [06] Yisrael Beitenu (under threshold)
03 [05] Meretz (under threshold)
00 [–-] Yaalon, Yachad, Zehut (as other)

63 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
57 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Are you for or against the plan to annex to Israel settlement blocs in return for Israeli Arab blocs being transferred to the Palestinian Authority?

36% For, 34% Against, 30% Don’t know

Jews: 37% For, 32% Don’t know, 31% Against
Arabs: 60% Against, 24% For, 16% Don’t know

Note: Majority of Likud voters answered that they are for. 40% of Yisrael Beitenu voters answered they are against Liberman’s flagship program.