Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Midgam conducted a poll of 508 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast on July 16 2019 by Channel 12.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

1.7% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #1: United Left List – Labor+Meretz+Barak

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
28 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
15 [10] Labor (Peretz), Meretz (Horowitz) & Israel Democratic Party (Barak)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)

55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #2: United Right List – HaYamin HeHadash, Zehut, Bayit Yehudi, Tekuma-National Union & Otzma led by Shaked

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
28 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
12 [05] United Right List (Shaked, Bennett, Feiglin, Otzma Peretz & Smotrich)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz)
04 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
10 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Question:

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

40% Netanyahu, 28% Gantz, 22% Neither, 10% Don’t know

Smith conducted a poll of over 600 people with a 4% margin of error that was published on July 12 2019 by Maariv and broadcast by 103 FM.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
08 [08] Shas (Deri)
08 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz)
05 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

00 [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

58 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
08 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

Midgam conducted a poll of over 507 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published on July 11 2019 by Walla.

30 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz)
05 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
05 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [00] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

2.7% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)

Under 2%

00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
55 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Questions:

If there is a united right wing party that includes Rafi Peretz, Smotrich, Bennett & Shaked – who should lead it?

General Public: 31% Shaked, 25% None 16% Bennett, 14% Don’t know, 7% Peretz, 6% Smotrich

Right Voters: 36% Shaked, 21% Bennett, 21% None, 9% Don’t know, 7% Smotrich, 6% Peretz

If there is a united left wing party that includes Barak, Amir Peretz, Livni & Horowitz – who should lead it?

General Public: 29% None, 19% Don’t know, 19% Peretz, 18% Barak, 12% Livni, 2% Horowitz

Left Voters: 29% Barak, 27% Livni, 27% Peretz, 10% None, 7% Don’t know, 0% Horowitz

Who of the following people is most suited to be Prime Minister?

General Public: 42% Netanyahu, 22% Gantz, 15% None, 8% Don’t know, 7% Barak, 6% Liberman

Right Voters: 64% Netanyahu, 13% None, 10% Gantz, 8% Liberman, 4% Don’t know, 1% Barak

Center Voters: 34% Gantz, 29% Netanyahu, 15% None, 9% Don’t know, 7% Barak, 6% Liberman

Left Voters: 41% Barak, 25% Gantz, 17% Don’t know, 12% None, 3% Netanyahu

Should Blue & White break up into two parties – Israel Resilience+Telem led by Gantz & Yaalon and Yesh Atid led by Lapid?

General Public: 42% No, 38% Yes, 20% Don’t know

April Blue & White Voters: 71% No, 23% Yes, 6% Don’t know

September Blue & White Voters: 75% No, 20% Yes, 5% Don’t know

Kantar conducted a poll of over 586 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was broadcast on July 9 2019 by Channel 11/Kan.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
09 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz)
06 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
05 [00] Hayamin Hehadash + Zehut (Bennett & Feiglin)
05 [—-] Israel Democratic Party (Barak)
04 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

57 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
54 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Note: Lower turnout among Arab sector and right-wing voters.

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of over 507 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published on July 5 2019 by Yisrael Hayom.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
30 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
09 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
08 [06] Labor (Peretz)
08 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
04 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
04 [—-] Israel Democratic Party (Ehud Barak)

Under 3.25% electoral threshold

1% [00] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [00] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

57 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
07 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #1: What if all 5 right wing parties (HaYamin HeHadash, Bayit Yehudi, National Union-Tekuma, Otzma Yehudit & Zehut) joined on the same list?

31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
25 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
19 [05] United List of All 5 Right Wing Parties (Bennett, Peretz, Smotrich, Feiglin, Ben Gvir)
08 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz)
07 [04] Meretz (Horowitz)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [—-] Israel Democratic Party (Ehud Barak)

57 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
57 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
06 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Scenario Poll #2: What if Ehud Barak led a list with his party, Labor & Meretz?

31 [39] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
26 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
19 [10] Israel Democratic Party+Labor+Meretz (Barak, Peretz & Horowitz)
08 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
08 [05] United Right List (Peretz & Smotrich)
08 [00] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett)
07 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)

60 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (PM candidate is Netanyahu)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out Netanyahu as PM)
07 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Liberman)

Additional Question:

Who is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 24% Other answers, 22% Gantz, 12% Barak, 4% Peretz, 3% Liberman