Category: Polls


HaMidgam Panel Project conducted a poll of 759 people with a margin of error of 3.8% that was broadcast by Channel 13 on September 5 2019. The poll was conducted on September 5th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
11 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
06 [08] Shas (Deri)
06 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.76% [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
11 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Midgam conducted a poll of 508 people with a margin of error of 4.4% that was broadcast by Channel 12 on September 5 2019. The poll was conducted on September 4th & 5th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
32 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
06 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.5% [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)
The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

41% Netanyahu, 31% Gantz, 28% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll with a margin of error of 4.4% that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on September 5 2019. The poll was conducted on September 4th.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
10 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
05 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
05 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)
04 [–] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

The other parties are all under 1%

Phase 2 Recommendations:

60 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
51 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

34% Netanyahu, 24% Gantz, 16% None, 9% Don’t know, 7% Saar, 6% Ashkenazi, 2% Lapid, 2% Lieberman

Would you prefer a government with Haredim or without?

50% Without, 32% With, 18% Don’t know

By Party (Without is no; With is yes):

Yisrael Beitenu: 92% No, 4% Yes
Blue & White: 88% No, 6% Yes
Democratic Union: 73% No, 7% Yes
Joint List: 69% No, 3% Yes
Labor: 64% No, 36% Yes
Yamina: 45% Yes, 45% No
Likud: 47% Yes, 28% No
Shas: 80% Yes, 13% No
UTJ: 100% Yes, 0% No

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls (Updated September 3rd)

PlacePartyLeaderSeatsAVGApril ResultsDifference
1stLikudNetanyahu313139-8
2ndBlue & WhiteGantz303035-5
3rdThe Joint ListOdeh1110.8100.8
4thYaminaShaked1110.655.6
5thYisrael BeitenuLiberman109.954.9
6thDemocratic UnionHorwitz77.343.3
7thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman77.38-0.7
8thShasDeri77.28-0.8
9thLaborPeretz65.96-0.1
10thOtherBen Gvir/Etc.0000
Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM5656.160-3.9
Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM545455-1
Pushing Unity Government109.954.9

Note #1: This average is based on the last 24 polls that were conducted from July 30th until September 3 (last month): 8 Midgam, 5 Smith, 3 Maagar Mochot, 3 Teleseker, 3 Dialog/Panel Project HaMidgam, 2 Direct Polls & 0 Panels.

Note #2: 32 parties registered to participate in the September 17th Election. The Zehut list has agreed to resign but has yet to do so officially.

Note #3: Voter exchange/surplus agreements have been signed between A) Labor & Democratic Union, B) Blue and White & Yisrael Beitenu, C) Likud & Yamina. Shas & UTJ are expected to sign before the deadline on September 6th. The Joint List announced they will not sign with any other list.

Midgam conducted a poll of 521 people with a margin of error of 4.3% that was published by Walla on September 3 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [38] Likud (Netanyahu & Kahlon)
31 [35] Blue & White (Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
10 [10] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh, Tibi & Abbas)
09 [06] Yamina (Shaked, Peretz, Smotrich & Bennett)
09 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Lieberman)
08 [08] United Torah Judaism (Litzman & Gafni)
07 [08] Shas (Deri)
07 [06] Labor (Peretz & Levy)
07 [04] Democratic Union (Horowitz, Shafir & Barak)

Under 3.25% Electoral Threshold

2.7% [00] Otzma (Ben Gvir)

Phase 2 Recommendations:

56 [60] Right-Religious Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Gantz for PM)
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab Bloc (Have ruled out nominating Netanyahu for PM)
09 [05] Pushing Unity Government (Lieberman)

Additional Questions:

Who is more suited to serve as Prime Minister?

39% Netanyahu, 30% Gantz, 17% Neither, 9% Don’t know, 5% Same

Right: 65% Netanyahu, 15% Gantz, 11% None, 5% Same, 4% Don’t know

Center & Left: 54% Gantz, 27% Neither, 7% Netanyahu, 7% Don’t know, 5% Same

Are Netanyahu’s attacks on Channel 12 & journalist Guy Peleg justified?

49% No, 31% Don’t know, 20% Yes

Right: 36% No, 33% Don’t know, 31% Yes

Center & Left: 74% No, 18% Don’t know, 8% Yes